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Match analysis

FranceLigue 1

Nantes vs Le Havre

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Full time2:0HT 2–0

Match Timeline

3'
Y. Zouaoui⚽
Own Goal
14'
Fabien Centonze🟨
Yellow Card
32'
Lucas Gourna-Douath🟨
Yellow Card
34'
I. Ganago
Penalty
46'
D. Machado🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Tabibou
46'
F. Doucoure🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Quetant
46'
T. Pembele🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Samatta
53'
I. Ganago🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Guirassy
62'
Y. Zouaoui🔄
Substitution 3 → E. K. Vinette
63'
Ali Youssef🟨
Yellow Card
63'
S. Boufal🔄
Substitution 4 → Y. Kechta
65'
Nicolas Cozza🟨
Yellow Card
78'
Dehmaine Tabibou🟨
Yellow Card
81'
L. Leroux🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Coquelin
82'
Yassine Kechta🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
Enzo Koffi🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal1
2Shots off Goal3
9Total Shots6
5Blocked Shots2
7Shots insidebox6
2Shots outsidebox0
17Fouls13
5Corner Kicks6
0Offsides4
29Ball Possession71
4Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves1
205Total passes521
130Passes accurate444
63Passes %85
1.33expected_goals0.44
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonWon

Under 2.5 Goals Value in Ligue 1 Basement Battle

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
66%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+14.2%

Howzit boet! Grab a cold one and pull up a chair because this Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Le Havre has all the makings of a proper defensive arm-wrestle rather than a goal-fest. We're looking at a basement battle where one team forgot how to win at home and the other can't…

Value VinnyWon

Mathematical Edge on a Tight Affair in Nantes

The pickBTTS No

Chance
59%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+15.0%

Value hunters, gather round. We've got a relegation-six-pointer disguised as a mathematics exam, and the odds compilers have left the door ajar on a market they're pricing with their hearts rather than their calculators. Nantes are in absolute tatters. Seventeenth place…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Nantes

2W 1D 7L0.70 pts/game

Le Havre

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Nantes at home vs Le Havre away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Ligue 1

Overall edge
+124Le Havre
Venue edge
+79Le Havre
Rating period
Match snapshot
Nantes versus Le Havre: long term Elo, before the match
NantesHomeRatingLe HavreAway
Strength
1,419Overall1,543
1,419Match venue1,497
1,419At home1,488
1,467Away1,497
Attack & defence
1,434Attack1,458
1,510Defence1,577
1,420Home attack1,455
1,439Away attack1,457
1,514Home defence1,519
1,521Away defence1,554
Match profile
1,257Goal environment1,530
1,342Home goals1,513
1,415Away goals1,517
1,482Possession1,485
Specialist ratings
1,451Set-piece attack1,498
1,452Set-piece defence1,498
1,451Close games1,520
1,407Winning margin1,547

Match venue compares Nantes at home with Le Havre away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

NantesNantes1:1

Starting XI

1A. LopesG
3N. CozzaD
27D. MachadoM
37I. GanagoF
2Ali Youssef2:2
66L. LerouxM
19Y. El ArabiF
6C. AwaziemD
21M. KabaM
8J. LepenantM
18F. CentonzeM

Le HavreLe Havre1:1

Starting XI

99M. DiawG
18Y. ZouaouiD
14R. NdiayeM
17S. BoufalF
4G. LlorisD
19L. Gourna-DouathM
45I. SoumareF
32T. PembeleD
26S. EbonogM
13F. DoucoureF
7L. NegoD