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Match analysis

FranceLigue 1

Toulouse vs Lille

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Full time0:4HT 0–1

Match Timeline

23'
T. Meunier⚽
Normal Goal → H. Haraldsson
48'
Mark McKenzie🟥
Red Card
50'
R. Perraud⚽
Normal Goal
55'
M. Fernandez-Pardo⚽
Normal Goal → B. Andre
59'
D. Sidibe🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Cresswell
60'
A. Donnum🔄
Substitution 2 → W. Kamanzi
60'
P. Demba🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Vossah
63'
Emersonn🟨
Yellow Card
71'
Emersonn🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Russell-Rowe
71'
N. Mukau🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Mbappe
71'
F. Correia🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Perrin
76'
Y. Gboho🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Hidalgo
76'
B. Andre🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Giroud
80'
Dayann Methalie🟨
Yellow Card
82'
T. Meunier🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Santos
83'
R. Perraud🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Verdonk
87'
Ethan Mbappé
Penalty confirmed
88'
O. Giroud
Penalty
90+5'
Gaëtan Perrin⚽
Goal cancelled

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal9
3Shots off Goal2
9Total Shots15
5Blocked Shots4
4Shots insidebox9
5Shots outsidebox6
13Fouls12
4Corner Kicks2
0Offsides3
37Ball Possession63
2Yellow Cards0
1Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
371Total passes641
307Passes accurate578
83Passes %90
0.96expected_goals1.84
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

OracleWon

Toulouse vs Lille: Oracle's Match Preview

The pickLille win

Chance
60%
Odds
2.30
Model EV
+38.0%

In the quiet moments between the roar of the crowd, patterns emerge. Football is not merely chance; it is a tapestry woven from history and current form. Today, we examine the clash between Toulouse and Lille. The data speaks with a clarity that few ignore. Lille stands tall in…

Mr SimpleWon

Toulouse vs Lille - Match Preview & Betting Tips

The pickLille win

Chance
60%
Odds
2.30
Model EV
+38.0%

Right then, let's have a proper chinwag about this Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lille. It's a tricky one, but the numbers are telling us some interesting stories. We're looking at a match on 12th April 2026, and the form book is heavily stacked in favour of the visitors…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Toulouse vs Lille - Match Preview

The pickLille win

Chance
65%
Odds
2.30
Model EV
+49.5%

Listen to the Force of statistics, you must. In the Ligue 1 standings, Lille sits in third place with 50 points, while Toulouse struggles in tenth with 37 points. A gap of 13 points, significant it is. Form, recent we look at. Lille has won 6 of their last 10 games, earning 1.90…

Value VinnyWon

Toulouse vs Lille: Value Bet Analysis

The pickLille win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.30
Model EV
+26.5%

Odds don't lie — but bookies do. That's the mantra I live by. Today, we're looking at Toulouse vs Lille in Ligue 1, and the math is screaming value on the visitors. Let's cut through the noise. Toulouse sits 10th in the table with 37 points, while Lille is comfortably 3rd with…

PajimonWon

Toulouse vs Lille: Match Preview & Bet

The pickLille win

Chance
52%
Odds
2.30
Model EV
+19.6%

Goeie dag, friends! Welcome to the preview for Toulouse vs Lille. It’s Braai time, but first, let’s look at the numbers. No politics, no racism, just football and meat! Toulouse sits 10th in Ligue 1 with 37 points. Their last 10 games show a 30% win rate. At home, they score…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Toulouse

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Lille

6W 1D 3L1.90 pts/game

Per game

Toulouse at home vs Lille away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Ligue 1

Overall edge
+140Lille
Venue edge
+109Lille
Rating period
Match snapshot
Toulouse versus Lille: long term Elo, before the match
ToulouseHomeRatingLilleAway
Strength
1,545Overall1,685
1,491Match venue1,600
1,491At home1,705
1,542Away1,600
Attack & defence
1,491Attack1,525
1,593Defence1,635
1,466Home attack1,566
1,502Away attack1,490
1,567Home defence1,635
1,581Away defence1,607
Match profile
1,518Goal environment1,378
1,548Home goals1,493
1,470Away goals1,385
1,473Possession1,520
Specialist ratings
1,485Set-piece attack1,553
1,486Set-piece defence1,552
1,475Close games1,652
1,570Winning margin1,696

Match venue compares Toulouse at home with Lille away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ToulouseToulouse1:1

Starting XI

1G. RestesG
2R. NicolaisenD
24D. MethalieM
10Y. GbohoF
20EmersonnF
35S. KoumbassaD
18P. DembaM
15A. DonnumF
3M. McKenzieD
23C. CasseresM
19D. SidibeM

LilleLille1:1

Starting XI

1B. OzerG
15R. PerraudD
21B. AndreM
27F. CorreiaM
7M. Fernandez-PardoF
23A. MandiD
6N. BentalebM
10H. HaraldssonM
3N. NgoyD
17N. MukauM
12T. MeunierD