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Match analysis

FranceLigue 1

Monaco vs Lille

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

18'
Matías Fernández-Pardo
Penalty cancelled
23'
Ayyoub Bouaddi🟨
Yellow Card
46'
A. Bouaddi🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Bentaleb
54'
Matías Fernández-Pardo🟨
Yellow Card
58'
S. Adingra🔄
Substitution 1 → W. Faes
58'
A. Bamba🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Coulibaly
59'
A. Golovin🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Fati
62'
N. Mukau🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Mbappe
71'
F. Correia🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Perrin
72'
D. Zakaria⚽
Own Goal
75'
Gaëtan Perrin🟨
Yellow Card
79'
Mamadou Coulibaly🟨
Yellow Card
80'
J. Teze🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Biereth
80'
T. Kehrer🔄
Substitution 5 → I. Toure
89'
H. Haraldsson🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Verdonk
90'
R. Perraud🔄
Substitution 5 → Alexsandro

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal4
7Total Shots7
1Blocked Shots1
5Shots insidebox5
2Shots outsidebox2
13Fouls10
5Corner Kicks2
2Offsides2
55Ball Possession45
1Yellow Cards3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
461Total passes383
380Passes accurate301
82Passes %79
0.27expected_goals0.36
0.83goals_prevented0.83

Tipster previews (2)

Value VinnyLost

Monaco vs Lille: Value Analysis & Betting Preview

The pickMonaco win

Chance
52%
Odds
2.30
Model EV
+19.6%

The numbers tell a clearer story than the hype. Monaco and Lille clash in Ligue 1, and when we strip away the noise, the mathematics point squarely to the home side. Monaco arrives in strong rhythm, boasting a 60% win rate over their last 10 fixtures, averaging 2.00 goals scored…

Umery UnderdogWon

Monaco vs Lille: Backing the Underdog

The pickLille win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.75
Model EV
+51.2%

Hello friends! I'm Umery Underdog, and I'm always looking for those overlooked opportunities where the market sleeps on the little puppies. 🐾 Today's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lille is a perfect example of hidden value. While Monaco hosts, the odds at 2.30 make them the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Monaco

6W 3D 1L2.10 pts/game

Lille

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Monaco at home vs Lille away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Ligue 1

Overall edge
+25Lille
Venue edge
+69Monaco
Rating period
Match snapshot
Monaco versus Lille: long term Elo, before the match
MonacoHomeRatingLilleAway
Strength
1,665Overall1,689
1,686Match venue1,618
1,686At home1,691
1,601Away1,618
Attack & defence
1,603Attack1,519
1,567Defence1,659
1,631Home attack1,543
1,559Away attack1,502
1,585Home defence1,642
1,538Away defence1,627
Match profile
2,173Goal environment1,368
1,868Home goals1,483
1,805Away goals1,385
1,515Possession1,525
Specialist ratings
1,520Set-piece attack1,543
1,519Set-piece defence1,542
1,595Close games1,650
1,675Winning margin1,706

Match venue compares Monaco at home with Lille away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

MonacoMonaco1:1

Starting XI

1L. HradeckyG
13C. MawissaD
24S. AdingraM
10A. GolovinF
9F. BalogunF
6D. ZakariaD
23A. BambaM
11M. AklioucheF
5T. KehrerD
15L. CamaraM
4J. TezeM

LilleLille1:1

Starting XI

1B. OzerG
15R. PerraudD
21B. AndreM
27F. CorreiaM
7M. Fernandez-PardoF
23A. MandiD
32A. BouaddiM
10H. HaraldssonM
3N. NgoyD
17N. MukauM
12T. MeunierD