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Match analysis

GermanyBundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Bundesliga fixture.

Match Timeline

15'
Philipp Lienhart🟨
Yellow Card
22'
E. Poku⚽
Normal Goal → A. Garcia
38'
Aleix García🟨
Yellow Card
46'
J. Adamu🔄
Substitution 1 → Y. Suzuki
52'
E. Tapsoba⚽
Normal Goal → A. Grimaldo
67'
J. Hofmann🔄
Substitution 1 → I. Maza
67'
E. Fernandez🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Andrich
67'
L. Kubler🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Rosenfelder
67'
J. Manzambi🔄
Substitution 3 → I. Matanovic
74'
Philipp Lienhart🟨
Yellow Card
74'
Philipp Lienhart🟥
Red Card
77'
J. Quansah🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Belocian
77'
C. M. Kofane🔄
Substitution 4 → P. Schick
77'
D. Scherhant🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Gunter
85'
E. Poku🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Ben Seghir
85'
L. Holer🔄
Substitution 5 → V. Grifo

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal4
19Total Shots10
7Blocked Shots3
10Shots insidebox6
9Shots outsidebox4
9Fouls8
2Corner Kicks3
1Offsides0
69Ball Possession31
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
759Total passes338
710Passes accurate274
94Passes %81
1.42expected_goals0.72
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

Leverkusen vs Freiburg: Goals on the Menu

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
75%
Odds
1.76
Model EV
+32.0%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this Bundesliga clash! Leverkusen are sitting pretty in 5th with 14 points, while Freiburg are lingering in 10th on 9 points - there's a clear gap in quality here, but football's not played on paper, boet! Leverkusen's recent form…

The Big "O"Lost

Goal Fest Expected When Leverkusen Hosts Freiburg

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.83
Model EV
+24.4%

Alright, my fellow goal-lovers, The Big O here with a match that's got my excitement meter buzzing! Bayer Leverkusen versus SC Freiburg is shaping up to be exactly the kind of high-scoring spectacle we live for. Let's talk numbers, because they don't lie. Leverkusen's home games…

Umery UnderdogLost

Freiburg Ready to Bite Leverkusen at Home

The pickSC Freiburg win

Chance
26%
Odds
4.70
Model EV
+22.2%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone's looking at the big dogs in Leverkusen, my eyes are firmly fixed on the plucky puppies from Freiburg. Let me tell you why there's hidden value in backing the underdog this Sunday! First, let's talk about recent form…

Mr SimpleLost

Leverkusen vs Freiburg: Goal Fest on the Cards?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.83
Model EV
+18.9%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and SC Freiburg. The home side are sitting pretty in 5th with 14 points, while Freiburg are lingering in 10th on 9 points, but don't let that table fool you - this could be a right old barn…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Bayer Leverkusen

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

SC Freiburg

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Bayer Leverkusen at home vs SC Freiburg away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Bundesliga

Overall edge
+158Bayer Leverkusen
Venue edge
+111Bayer Leverkusen
Rating period
Match snapshot
Bayer Leverkusen versus SC Freiburg: long term Elo, before the match
Bayer LeverkusenHomeRatingSC FreiburgAway
Strength
1,753Overall1,595
1,675Match venue1,564
1,675At home1,576
1,754Away1,564
Attack & defence
1,656Attack1,528
1,595Defence1,558
1,614Home attack1,568
1,667Away attack1,453
1,615Home defence1,517
1,588Away defence1,584
Match profile
2,420Goal environment2,013
2,030Home goals1,767
1,890Away goals1,747
1,510Possession1,499
Specialist ratings
1,494Set-piece attack1,496
1,494Set-piece defence1,497
1,643Close games1,604
1,784Winning margin1,596

Match venue compares Bayer Leverkusen at home with SC Freiburg away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen1:1

Starting XI

1Mark FlekkenG
12Edmond TapsobaD
20Alejandro GrimaldoM
19Ernest PokuF
35Christian KofaneF
5Loïc BadéD
6Ezequiel FernándezM
7Jonas HofmannF
4Jarell QuansahD
24Aleix GarcíaM
13ArthurM

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg1:1

Starting XI

1Noah AtuboluG
33Jordy MakengoD
44Johan ManzambiM
7Derry ScherhantM
20Junior AdamuF
3Philipp LienhartD
8Maximilian EggesteinM
9Lucas HölerM
28Matthias GinterD
29Philipp TreuM
17Lukas KüblerD