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Match analysis

GermanyBundesliga

RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Bundesliga fixture.

Match Timeline

38'
Christoph Baumgartner🟨
Yellow Card
45'
J. Chabot⚽
Own Goal → Y. Diomande
53'
Y. Diomande⚽
Normal Goal → C. Baumgartner
57'
Deniz Undav🟨
Yellow Card
58'
M. Mittelstadt🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Nartey
58'
C. Fuhrich🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Tomas
65'
T. Tomas⚽
Normal Goal → L. Jaquez
71'
A. Ouedraogo🔄
Substitution 1 → X. Schlager
71'
A. Nusa🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Bakayoko
77'
D. Undav🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Leweling
84'
Ramon Hendriks🟨
Yellow Card
85'
C. Baumgartner🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Banzuzi
88'
A. Karazor🔄
Substitution 4 → B. Bouanani
90'
Romulo Cardoso⚽
Normal Goal
90+2'
R. Baku🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Klostermann
90+2'
Romulo Cardoso🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Harder

Match Statistics

9Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal6
16Total Shots14
2Blocked Shots4
14Shots insidebox7
2Shots outsidebox7
8Fouls10
5Corner Kicks5
0Offsides7
42Ball Possession58
1Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves7
417Total passes552
327Passes accurate485
78Passes %88
2.24expected_goals1.49
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonWon

Leipzig vs Stuttgart: Goal Fest Expected!

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
72%
Odds
1.44
Model EV
+3.7%

Ag, this is going to be a proper cracker of a match! Two teams right at the top of the Bundesliga table going head-to-head - what more could you want for your Saturday afternoon? Leipzig has been absolutely bossing it at home, boet! They've won their last 3 home games and are…

Mr SimpleWon

Leipzig Look Too Hot To Handle For Stuttgart

The pickRB Leipzig win

Chance
58%
Odds
2.03
Model EV
+17.7%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this cracker! Second takes on third in the Bundesliga, and honestly, this could be an absolute belter. Both sides are bang in form, but someone's got to drop points, and my money's on it not being Leipzig at home. Leipzig are absolutely…

Umery UnderdogLost

Stuttgart Ready to Bark at Leipzig's Door

The pickVfB Stuttgart win

Chance
35%
Odds
3.61
Model EV
+26.4%

Oh, what a treat we have here! Everyone's looking at Leipzig with their fancy 2nd place position and explosive 6-0 thrashing of Augsburg, but I've got my eyes on the real value - our plucky underdogs from Stuttgart! 🐾 Let me tell you why these puppies shouldn't be overlooked…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

RB Leipzig

8W 1D 1L2.50 pts/game

VfB Stuttgart

7W 0D 3L2.10 pts/game

Per game

RB Leipzig at home vs VfB Stuttgart away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Bundesliga

Overall edge
+26RB Leipzig
Venue edge
+111RB Leipzig
Rating period
Match snapshot
RB Leipzig versus VfB Stuttgart: long term Elo, before the match
RB LeipzigHomeRatingVfB StuttgartAway
Strength
1,667Overall1,641
1,697Match venue1,586
1,697At home1,612
1,618Away1,586
Attack & defence
1,573Attack1,602
1,627Defence1,585
1,640Home attack1,609
1,523Away attack1,568
1,618Home defence1,592
1,628Away defence1,548
Match profile
2,083Goal environment2,245
1,807Home goals1,838
1,777Away goals1,907
1,498Possession1,514
Specialist ratings
1,509Set-piece attack1,506
1,509Set-piece defence1,506
1,556Close games1,555
1,691Winning margin1,668

Match venue compares RB Leipzig at home with VfB Stuttgart away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig1:1

Starting XI

1Péter GulácsiG
22David RaumD
14Christoph BaumgartnerM
7Antonio NusaF
23Castello LukebaD
13Nicolas SeiwaldM
40RômuloF
4Willi OrbánD
20Assan OuédraogoM
49Yan DiomandeF
17Ridle BakuD

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart1:1

Starting XI

33Alexander NübelG
3Ramon HendriksD
7Maximilian MittelstädtM
11Bilal El KhannoussF
10Chris FührichF
24Jeff ChabotD
6Angelo StillerM
26Deniz UndavF
14Luca JaquezD
16Atakan KarazorM
4Josha VagnomanM