Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 14:30
Bundesliga
Germany
Germany
Full Time

Match Timeline

38'
Christoph Baumgartner🟨
Yellow Card
45'
J. Chabot
Own Goal → Y. Diomande
53'
Y. Diomande
Normal Goal → C. Baumgartner
57'
Deniz Undav🟨
Yellow Card
58'
M. Mittelstadt🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Nartey
58'
C. Fuhrich🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Tomas
65'
T. Tomas
Normal Goal → L. Jaquez
71'
A. Ouedraogo🔄
Substitution 1 → X. Schlager
71'
A. Nusa🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Bakayoko
77'
D. Undav🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Leweling
84'
Ramon Hendriks🟨
Yellow Card
85'
C. Baumgartner🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Banzuzi
88'
A. Karazor🔄
Substitution 4 → B. Bouanani
90'
Romulo Cardoso
Normal Goal
90+2'
R. Baku🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Klostermann
90+2'
Romulo Cardoso🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Harder

Match Statistics

9Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal6
16Total Shots14
2Blocked Shots4
14Shots insidebox7
2Shots outsidebox7
8Fouls10
5Corner Kicks5
0Offsides7
42Ball Possession58
1Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves7
417Total passes552
327Passes accurate485
78Passes %88
2.24expected_goals1.49
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig1:1

Starting XI

1Péter GulácsiG
22David RaumD
14Christoph BaumgartnerM
7Antonio NusaF
23Castello LukebaD
13Nicolas SeiwaldM
40RômuloF
4Willi OrbánD
20Assan OuédraogoM
49Yan DiomandeF
17Ridle BakuD

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart1:1

Starting XI

33Alexander NübelG
3Ramon HendriksD
7Maximilian MittelstädtM
11Bilal El KhannoussF
10Chris FührichF
24Jeff ChabotD
6Angelo StillerM
26Deniz UndavF
14Luca JaquezD
16Atakan KarazorM
4Josha VagnomanM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Form: W-W-W-D-W
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Form: W-W-L-W-W
Record
8 W
1 D
1 L
7 W
0 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
2.4
Scored
vs
1.4
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
0.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.3
Away:2.4
Conceded
Home:0.7
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:0.3
Away:1.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1697
Good
1612
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1719
↑ Momentum (+21)
1657
↑ Momentum (+45)
Expected Outcome
43%
Home Win
30%
Draw
27%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1640
Attack
1609
1627
Defence
1585
Recent Form
1678
Attack
1613
1650
Defence
1603
Post-Match Changes
+9
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Leipzig vs Stuttgart: Goal Fest Expected!
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.44
Expected Value:+3.7%

Ag, this is going to be a proper cracker of a match! Two teams right at the top of the Bundesliga table going head-to-head - what more could you want for your Saturday afternoon? Leipzig has been absolutely bossing it at home, boet! They've won their last 3 home games and are scoring goals for fun. Did you see that 6-0 demolition of Augsburg? That's what I call a proper braai performance! They're averaging 2.40 goals per game overall, and at home they're even tighter at the back, only letting in 0.67 per game. Stuttgart is no pushover though, hey. They're sitting pretty in 3rd place with a solid defensive record - only conceding 0.80 goals per game. But here's the thing, they're a bit more conservative away from home, scoring just 1.33 goals per game on their travels. Still, they've been getting results, winning half their away matches. When these two teams meet, it's usually goals galore! Out of their last 9 head-to-heads, both teams have found the net in 7 of them. The recent matches have been absolute bangers - 2-3, 1-3, 1-2, 2-5, and even a 5-1 thriller! This tells me we're in for some entertainment. Leipzig's attack is firing on all cylinders right now, and even though Stuttgart is solid defensively, they're not perfect. The goal expectancy suggests around 2.75 goals in this match, which means both teams should get on the scoresheet. The home advantage is huge here - Leipzig hasn't lost at home in ages, and they're coming off a 4-1 win in the cup. Stuttgart has had a tougher schedule with more games recently, so fatigue might play a factor. I'm backing both teams to score here. Leipzig's attack is too potent to keep out, and Stuttgart has shown they can score even against tough opposition. At 1.44, it's not a massive price, but I reckon there's value in it given the attacking form of both sides and their head-to-head history.

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📝 Match Preview

Leipzig Look Too Hot To Handle For Stuttgart
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.03
Expected Value:+17.7%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this cracker! Second takes on third in the Bundesliga, and honestly, this could be an absolute belter. Both sides are bang in form, but someone's got to drop points, and my money's on it not being Leipzig at home. Leipzig are absolutely flying at the moment, aren't they? Eight wins in their last ten games, and they're scoring goals for fun - 2.40 per game on average. Just look at their recent results: they absolutely demolished Augsburg 6-0, then went and stuck four past Cottbus in the cup. Their only slip-up was that 6-0 hammering by Bayern, but let's be honest, everyone's getting turned over by Bayern this season. At home, Leipzig are proper solid - 100% win rate in their last three at their own gaff, scoring 2.33 per game while keeping it tight at the back (only 0.67 conceded). They're creating chances too, averaging nearly 17 shots per game. Stuttgart are no mugs though, sitting third with 18 points. They've been grinding out results, but their away form is a bit hit and miss - 50% win rate on the road, and they're only scoring 1.33 goals away from home. They've had some decent results lately, beating Mainz twice, but those losses in the Europa League might have taken a bit of wind out of their sails. When these two have met, it's been pretty even overall, but Leipzig have the edge at home with a 3-0-1 record. And let's talk goals - seven of their last nine meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, so we're usually in for a treat. The stats tell a story here. Leipzig are averaging 2.40 goals per game, Stuttgart just 1.40. Leipzig are scoring more, creating more, and they're at home where they're unbeaten. Stuttgart's away attack looks a bit toothless compared to what Leipzig will throw at them. Yeah, I'm leaning towards the home win here. Leipzig look like they've got too much firepower for Stuttgart to handle on their own patch. **Key Points:** - Leipzig scoring 2.40 goals per game vs Stuttgart's 1.40 - Leipzig 100% home win rate in last 3 games - Stuttgart only 50% away win rate, scoring just 1.33 away - Leipzig dominate H2H at home (3-0-1 record) - Recent meetings tend to be high-scoring (7/9 over 2.5 goals) **Summary:** Leipzig's home form and attacking firepower make them the value pick here. They're scoring for fun, Stuttgart's away attack is modest, and the head-to-head suggests Leipzig have the edge at home. The 2.03 for a home win looks about right to me.

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📝 Match Preview

Leipzig's Home Fortress Faces Stuttgart's Challenge
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.03
Expected Value:+17.7%

Hmmm, a battle of titans in the Bundesliga, this is. Second place versus third place, much at stake there is. RB Leipzig, strong at home they have been. Perfect their record remains in their last three home encounters. A fortress their stadium has become. Recent form, impressive it has been for Leipzig. Eight wins in ten games, showing their dominance. Six goals they scored against Augsburg, four against Cottbus. Their attack flows like a river, 2.40 goals per game they average. At home, even more formidable they become, with only 0.67 goals conceded per game. VfB Stuttgart, worthy opponents they are too. Seven wins in ten games, no draws they have. A team of extremes, win or lose they do. Away from home, half their games they win, half they lose. Their defense stands strong though, 0.80 goals per game they concede. Clean sheets in half their games, impressive this is. Head to head, balanced the force has been. Four wins each, one draw. But at home, Leipzig dominates Stuttgart - three wins in four meetings. Goals flow when these teams meet, seven of nine matches seeing over 2.5 goals. Last time they met, Stuttgart won 3-2, but away from home that was. The Bundesliga table shows how close these teams are. Leipzig with 19 points, Stuttgart with 18. Only Bayern Munich stands above them. Much motivation this match brings. Leipzig's recent momentum, strong it is. Four goals per game in their last three matches they score. Stuttgart arrives with less rest, three days compared to Leipzig's four. In football, such advantages matter they do. The odds favor Leipzig slightly at home, 2.03 they offer. Value in this I see, given Leipzig's perfect home form and Stuttgart's mixed away record. The force of home advantage, powerful it is in this league.

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📝 Match Preview

Stuttgart Ready to Bark at Leipzig's Door
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.61
Expected Value:+26.4%

Oh, what a treat we have here! Everyone's looking at Leipzig with their fancy 2nd place position and explosive 6-0 thrashing of Augsburg, but I've got my eyes on the real value - our plucky underdogs from Stuttgart! 🐾 Let me tell you why these puppies shouldn't be overlooked. Sure, Leipzig is scoring goals for fun (2.4 per game), but Stuttgart is sitting just ONE point behind them in the table with a rock-solid defense that's kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 games. That's a 50% clean sheet rate, folks! The head-to-head record tells a beautiful story of balance - 9 meetings, 4 wins each, 1 draw. And get this - Stuttgart has actually won 3 of the last 5 encounters! They even took the last meeting 3-2, showing they're not afraid to go toe-to-toe with Leipzig. Stuttgart's recent form shows they know how to grind out results. They've kept clean sheets against Mainz (twice), Wolfsburg, and Heidenheim. Their defensive record of conceding just 0.8 goals per game is impressive, and they've shown they can win tough away matches. Yes, Leipzig has been dominant at home (100% win rate in last 10), but every dog has its day! At 3.61 odds, Stuttgart represents fantastic value for a team that's statistically neck-and-neck with Leipzig in the standings and has proven they can beat them. The market is underestimating Stuttgart's resilience and defensive organization. This is exactly the kind of underdog bet that brings long-term value - backing the overlooked team that's much better than the odds suggest!

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