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Match analysis

GermanyBundesliga

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1. FC Köln

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Bundesliga fixture.

Match Timeline

11'
Rocco Reitz🟨
Yellow Card
34'
Denis Huseinbašić🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Franck Honorat
Penalty confirmed
45'
P. Sander⚽
Normal Goal
46'
S. El Mala🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Sebulonsen
46'
F. Kainz🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Ache
60'
Nico Elvedi
Penalty confirmed
61'
K. Diks
Penalty
63'
P. Sander🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Friedrich
64'
H. Tabakovic⚽
Normal Goal → F. Honorat
67'
K. Lund🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Maina
67'
C. Ozkacar🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Waldschmidt
75'
Kevin Diks🟨
Yellow Card
75'
Sebastian Sebulonsen🟨
Yellow Card
75'
Ragnar Ache🟨
Yellow Card
75'
F. Neuhaus🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Reyna
76'
F. Honorat🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Machino
80'
I. Johannesson🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Castro-Montes
90'
L. Waldschmidt
Penalty
90+6'
R. Reitz🔄
Substitution 4 → O. Fraulo

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal6
9Total Shots19
2Blocked Shots8
8Shots insidebox12
1Shots outsidebox7
11Fouls13
2Corner Kicks6
3Offsides2
36Ball Possession64
2Yellow Cards3
4Goalkeeper Saves1
339Total passes593
275Passes accurate526
81Passes %89
2.98expected_goals2.05
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Rhineland Derby: Form Meets Fortune

The pick1. FC Köln win

Chance
45%
Odds
3.20
Model EV
+44.0%

In the grand theater of Bundesliga destiny, two sides from the Rhineland converge with contrasting fortunes. Borussia Mönchengladbach, languishing in the shadows of 16th place with but 6 points from 9 matches, seeks redemption upon their home ground. Yet the Force of home…

PajimonLost

Köln To Sink Struggling Gladbach

The pick1. FC Köln win

Chance
45%
Odds
3.20
Model EV
+44.0%

Listen up boet! This one looks like a braai where one team brought the wors and the other forgot the fire. Gladbach is sitting in 16th place with only 6 points from 9 games - that's worse than finding a salad at a braai! Their home form is shocking, winning just 16.67% of their…

Umery UnderdogLost

Köln Ready to Pounce on Struggling Gladbach

The pick1. FC Köln win

Chance
35%
Odds
3.20
Model EV
+12.0%

Oh, what a delightful underdog story we have here! While the bookmakers might see Borussia Mönchengladbach as favorites playing at home, my puppy-loving eyes see something completely different. Let me tell you why 1.FC Köln is the real value pick in this Rheinland derby! Looking…

Value VinnyLost

Value Found in Köln's Away Attack

The pick1. FC Köln win

Chance
42%
Odds
3.20
Model EV
+34.4%

The numbers don't lie here, and they're pointing squarely at value on the visitors. Let's break this down mathematically. Borussia Mönchengladbach sit rock bottom of the home form table with a dismal 16.67% win rate at their own ground. They're shipping goals at an alarming rate…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Borussia Mönchengladbach

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

1. FC Köln

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Borussia Mönchengladbach at home vs 1. FC Köln away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Bundesliga

Overall edge
+261. FC Köln
Venue edge
+17Borussia Mönchengladbach
Rating period
Match snapshot
Borussia Mönchengladbach versus 1. FC Köln: long term Elo, before the match
Borussia MönchengladbachHomeRating1. FC KölnAway
Strength
1,486Overall1,512
1,513Match venue1,496
1,513At home1,488
1,483Away1,496
Attack & defence
1,510Attack1,459
1,509Defence1,543
1,493Home attack1,461
1,542Away attack1,444
1,514Home defence1,533
1,486Away defence1,533
Match profile
2,307Goal environment1,823
1,907Home goals1,600
1,900Away goals1,723
1,493Possession1,491
Specialist ratings
1,494Set-piece attack1,472
1,494Set-piece defence1,473
1,469Close games1,508
1,492Winning margin1,521

Match venue compares Borussia Mönchengladbach at home with 1. FC Köln away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach1:1

Starting XI

33Moritz NicolasG
26Lukas UllrichD
10Florian NeuhausM
15Haris TabakovićF
4Kevin DiksD
6Yannik EngelhardtM
9Franck HonoratF
30Nico ElvediD
27Rocco ReitzM
16Philipp SanderD
29Joseph ScallyD

1. FC Köln1. FC Köln1:1

Starting XI

1Marvin SchwäbeG
39Cenk ÖzkaçarD
32Kristoffer LundM
13Said El MalaF
6Eric MartelD
11Florian KainzM
30Marius BülterF
2Joel SchmiedD
8Denis HuseinbašićM
18Ísak Bergmann JóhannessonM
16Jakub KamińskiM