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Match analysis

GermanyBundesliga

Bayern München vs SC Freiburg

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Bundesliga fixture.

Bayern MünchenHome
Full time6:2HT 2–2
SC FreiburgAway

Match Timeline

12'
Y. Suzuki⚽
Normal Goal → M. Ginter
17'
J. Manzambi⚽
Normal Goal → J. Beste
22'
L. Karl⚽
Normal Goal → M. Olise
40'
Aleksandar Pavlović🟨
Yellow Card
45'
M. Olise⚽
Normal Goal → L. Karl
46'
L. Goretzka🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Laimer
55'
D. Upamecano⚽
Normal Goal → M. Olise
60'
H. Kane⚽
Normal Goal → A. Pavlovic
64'
J. Manzambi🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Osterhage
64'
D. Scherhant🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Dinkci
64'
L. Holer🔄
Substitution 3 → I. Matanovic
71'
L. Karl🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Jackson
77'
D. Upamecano🔄
Substitution 3 → Kim Min-Jae
77'
M. Rosenfelder🔄
Substitution 4 → P. Lienhart
77'
Y. Suzuki🔄
Substitution 5 → V. Grifo
78'
N. Jackson⚽
Normal Goal → M. Olise
83'
H. Kane🔄
Substitution 4 → W. Mike
83'
A. Pavlovic🔄
Substitution 5 → H. Ito
84'
M. Olise⚽
Normal Goal → H. Ito

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal3
22Total Shots8
8Blocked Shots3
15Shots insidebox4
7Shots outsidebox4
9Fouls7
3Corner Kicks5
1Offsides3
72Ball Possession28
1Yellow Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
779Total passes297
711Passes accurate229
91Passes %77
2.45expected_goals0.57
-2goals_prevented-2

Tipster previews (3)

Mr SimpleLost

Bayern's Home Fortress vs Freiburg's Travel Woes

The pickBTTS No

Chance
68%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+29.9%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Bundesliga bash! Bayern München are absolutely tearing it up this season, sitting pretty at the top with 28 points from 10 games. They've been scoring goals for fun - 3.2 per game on average - and barely letting any in at the other…

Value VinnyWon

Bayern vs Freiburg: Value Found in BTTS Market

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+14.6%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Bayern München sit atop the Bundesliga with a near-perfect record (9W-1D-0L), scoring at a blistering 3.2 goals per game while conceding just 0.6. Their home form has been absolutely flawless - 100% win rate in…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Bayern München

9W 1D 0L2.80 pts/game

SC Freiburg

4W 5D 1L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Bayern München at home vs SC Freiburg away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Bundesliga

Overall edge
+254Bayern München
Venue edge
+287Bayern München
Rating period
Match snapshot
Bayern München versus SC Freiburg: long term Elo, before the match
Bayern MünchenHomeRatingSC FreiburgAway
Strength
1,847Overall1,593
1,843Match venue1,556
1,843At home1,585
1,746Away1,556
Attack & defence
1,801Attack1,509
1,678Defence1,566
1,790Home attack1,572
1,728Away attack1,435
1,689Home defence1,519
1,606Away defence1,591
Match profile
3,015Goal environment2,005
2,440Home goals1,768
2,075Away goals1,737
1,529Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,518Set-piece attack1,508
1,517Set-piece defence1,508
1,648Close games1,612
1,914Winning margin1,592

Match venue compares Bayern München at home with SC Freiburg away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Bayern MünchenBayern München1:1

Starting XI

1Manuel NeuerG
20Tom BischofD
8Leon GoretzkaM
14Luis DíazM
9Harry KaneF
4Jonathan TahD
45Aleksandar PavlovićM
42Lennart KarlM
2Dayot UpamecanoD
17Michael OliseM
44Josip StanišićD

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg1:1

Starting XI

1Noah AtuboluG
33Jordy MakengoD
44Johan ManzambiM
7Derry ScherhantM
9Lucas HölerF
37Max RosenfelderD
8Maximilian EggesteinM
14Yuito SuzukiM
28Matthias GinterD
19Jan-Niklas BesteM
29Philipp TreuD

Quick Links

Bayern München Team Page →SC Freiburg Team Page →View Bundesliga Overview →View Standings →