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Match analysis

GermanyBundesliga

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs RB Leipzig

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Bundesliga fixture.

Match Timeline

45'
Christoph Baumgartner🟨
Yellow Card
49'
Franck Honorat⚽
Goal cancelled
52'
Ridle Baku🟨
Yellow Card
61'
Xaver Schlager🟨
Yellow Card
66'
X. Schlager🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Banzuzi
66'
A. Nusa🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Bakayoko
73'
F. Neuhaus🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Reyna
73'
H. Tabakovic🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Machino
76'
Shuto Machino
Penalty cancelled
82'
C. Harder🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Gomis
83'
J. Castrop🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Friedrich
90'
F. Honorat🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Kleindienst
90+1'
R. Baku🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Klostermann

Match Statistics

0Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal10
7Total Shots20
3Blocked Shots6
5Shots insidebox10
2Shots outsidebox10
9Fouls9
5Corner Kicks6
5Offsides4
42Ball Possession58
0Yellow Cards3
4Goalkeeper Saves0
402Total passes568
317Passes accurate509
79Passes %90
0.42expected_goals0.93
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Leipzig to Continue Dominant Form

The pickRB Leipzig win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.15
Model EV
+18.3%

Right then, let's get straight to it! We've got a proper mismatch here on paper - 2nd vs 12th in the Bundesliga. Gladbach have been a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde side lately, smashing teams 4-0 one week then getting hammered 4-6 the next. They've had some decent results though…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Leipzig's Force vs Gladbach's Home Wisdom

The pickRB Leipzig win

Chance
48%
Odds
2.15
Model EV
+3.2%

In the grand tapestry of the Bundesliga, two paths converge. One, RB Leipzig, stands tall in second place with 25 points, their form as steady as the ancient trees - eight victories in their last ten encounters, their attack flowing like a river with 2.40 goals per game. The…

Mr CertaintyLost

Leipzig's Form Makes Away Win The Logical Choice

The pickRB Leipzig win

Chance
70%
Odds
2.15
Model EV
+50.5%

This Bundesliga clash presents a clear mismatch in current form, despite Borussia Mönchengladbach's historical home advantage in this fixture. RB Leipzig arrives in devastating form, having won 8 of their last 10 matches (80% win rate) and sitting comfortably in 2nd place with…

Value VinnyLost

Leipzig Away Win Offers Statistical Value

The pickRB Leipzig win

Chance
58%
Odds
2.15
Model EV
+24.7%

Let's cut through the noise and focus on what matters: cold, hard numbers. The market seems to be getting distracted by Borussia Mönchengladbach's historical home record against RB Leipzig (3-0-1), but that's ancient history in betting terms. Right now, we're looking at two…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Borussia Mönchengladbach

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

RB Leipzig

8W 1D 1L2.50 pts/game

Per game

Borussia Mönchengladbach at home vs RB Leipzig away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Bundesliga

Overall edge
+157RB Leipzig
Venue edge
+76RB Leipzig
Rating period
Match snapshot
Borussia Mönchengladbach versus RB Leipzig: long term Elo, before the match
Borussia MönchengladbachHomeRatingRB LeipzigAway
Strength
1,516Overall1,673
1,524Match venue1,600
1,524At home1,714
1,494Away1,600
Attack & defence
1,540Attack1,582
1,523Defence1,625
1,509Home attack1,651
1,554Away attack1,514
1,516Home defence1,632
1,499Away defence1,610
Match profile
2,313Goal environment2,092
1,912Home goals1,810
1,902Away goals1,782
1,490Possession1,498
Specialist ratings
1,487Set-piece attack1,512
1,488Set-piece defence1,512
1,469Close games1,556
1,534Winning margin1,698

Match venue compares Borussia Mönchengladbach at home with RB Leipzig away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach1:1

Starting XI

33Moritz NicolasG
20Luca NetzD
10Florian NeuhausM
15Haris TabakovićF
4Kevin DiksD
6Yannik EngelhardtM
9Franck HonoratF
30Nico ElvediD
27Rocco ReitzM
29Joseph ScallyD
17Jens CastropM

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig1:1

Starting XI

1Péter GulácsiG
22David RaumD
14Christoph BaumgartnerM
7Antonio NusaF
23Castello LukebaD
13Nicolas SeiwaldM
11Conrad HarderF
4Willi OrbánD
24Xaver SchlagerM
49Yan DiomandeF
17Ridle BakuD