Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 14:30
Bundesliga
Germany
Germany
Full Time

Match Timeline

2'
Ameen Al-Dakhil🟨
Yellow Card
4'
Jamie Leweling🟨
Yellow Card
11'
K. Laimer
Normal Goal → M. Olise
39'
Tom Bischof🟨
Yellow Card
43'
Nikolas Nartey
Goal cancelled
44'
Dayot Upamecano🟨
Yellow Card
46'
T. Bischof🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Stanisic
58'
Leon Goretzka🟨
Yellow Card
60'
N. Jackson🔄
Substitution 2 → H. Kane
61'
N. Nartey🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Fuhrich
61'
R. Guerreiro🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Karl
61'
L. Goretzka🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Pavlovic
62'
Luis Díaz🟨
Yellow Card
66'
H. Kane
Normal Goal → J. Kimmich
74'
J. Vagnoman🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Assignon
74'
B. El Khannouss🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Tomas
78'
J. Stanisic
Normal Goal → L. Diaz
81'
Lorenz Assignon🟥
Red Card
82'
H. Kane
Normal Goal → H. Kane
83'
D. Upamecano🔄
Substitution 5 → H. Ito
88'
H. Kane
Normal Goal → M. Olise
89'
D. Undav🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Jeltsch
89'
J. Leweling🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Karazor

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal11
7Shots off Goal5
13Total Shots20
5Blocked Shots4
8Shots insidebox16
5Shots outsidebox4
6Fouls11
3Corner Kicks4
5Offsides5
41Ball Possession59
2Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
378Total passes565
305Passes accurate490
81Passes %87
0.88expected_goals3.52
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart1:1

Starting XI

33Alexander NübelG
7Maximilian MittelstädtD
6Angelo StillerM
18Jamie LewelingM
26Deniz UndavF
3Ramon HendriksD
30Chema AndrésM
11Bilal El KhannoussM
2Ameen Al-DakhilD
28Nikolas NarteyM
4Josha VagnomanD

Bayern MünchenBayern München1:1

Starting XI

40Jonas UrbigG
20Tom BischofD
8Leon GoretzkaM
14Luis DíazM
11Nicolas JacksonF
3Min-jae KimD
6Joshua KimmichM
22Raphaël GuerreiroM
2Dayot UpamecanoD
17Michael OliseM
27Konrad LaimerD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Form: W-L-W-D-W
Bayern München
Bayern München
Form: W-W-L-W-D
Record
6 W
1 D
3 L
8 W
1 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
2.0
Scored
vs
3.1
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.3
Away:1.9
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.3
Scored
Home:4.0
Away:2.5
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.5

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1619
Good
1850
Strong
Short Term Elo Rating
1673
↑ Momentum (+54)
1928
↑ Momentum (+79)
Expected Outcome
16%
Home Win
23%
Draw
61%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1620
Attack
1804
1537
Defence
1661
Recent Form
1637
Attack
1872
1505
Defence
1683
Post-Match Changes
-8
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

When Giants Clash: Goals Flow Like Rivers
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.33
Expected Value:+3.7%

Hmmm, a meeting of forces this is. The unstoppable object meets the immovable force, or so it would seem. Bayern München, perfect they are not, but mighty they remain. Eleven wins from twelve matches, a testament to their power. Yet Stuttgart at home, a fortress they have built. Three home games, three victories - the force strong with them on their own ground. Look to the recent battles, one must. Stuttgart shows both strength and vulnerability. A 4-0 triumph over GO Ahead Eagles in the Europa League, followed by a 3-3 dance with Borussia Dortmund. The 2-1 defeat to Hamburger SV reveals cracks in their armor. Yet they return to win 2-0 against VfL Bochum - resilient they are. Bayern's journey speaks of dominance, yet not without challenges. The 3-1 loss to Arsenal in the Champions League shows even the mighty can fall. But their response? A 6-2 destruction of SC Freiburg, a 3-0 victory over Bayer Leverkusen. The force of their attack, tremendous it is - 31 goals in ten games. The history between these two tells a story. Nine meetings they have had, and nine times the net has bulged three times or more. A pattern this is, not a coincidence. Stuttgart has but one victory against Bayern in nine attempts. Yet at home, they have tasted victory once - hope this brings. The numbers speak truth. Stuttgart scores 2.33 goals at home, Bayern 2.50 on their travels. Both concede, both attack. The expected goals combine to 3.67 - a feast of goals this promises to be. Wisdom tells us that when Bayern travels to Stuttgart, goals flow like rivers. The odds of 1.33 for Over 2.5 goals may seem small, but the pattern is strong. Nine times they have met, nine times the total has exceeded 2.5. The force of this pattern cannot be ignored.

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📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Incoming: Stuttgart vs Bayern Set to Deliver Big O's!
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.33
Expected Value:+6.4%

Oh baby, The Big O is getting excited just looking at this fixture! When Stuttgart hosts Bayern, we're not just talking about football - we're talking about goal festivals, and the numbers don't lie! Let's start with the most delicious statistic: NINE matches between these two, and ALL NINE have gone Over 2.5 goals. That's a 100% record that makes The Big O tingle with anticipation! We're talking averages of 3.78 goals per game in their head-to-head encounters. Stuttgart at home has been an absolute goal machine, netting 2.33 per game while still conceding a goal per match. Recent results show they're not shy about shootouts - that 3-3 thriller against Dortmund and 3-2 victory over Augsburg prove these boys love to play The Big O's way! Bayern might be showing a slight decline in their away goal-scoring (down to 2.00 per game on the road), but they're still averaging 2.80 goals overall across their last 10. And let's not forget that 6-2 demolition of Freiburg - Bayern can still explode for big numbers when they want to! Both teams have been finding the net consistently - Stuttgart at 50% BTTS rate and Bayern at 60%. With Stuttgart's perfect home record (100% wins in last 3 at home) and Bayern's relentless attack, we've got all the ingredients for a goal spectacular. The market has Over 2.5 at 1.33, which might seem short, but when you consider that EVERY SINGLE MEETING between these sides has delivered three or more goals, The Big O sees value in this near-certainty! Get ready for fireworks, folks - this match has "OVER" written all over it in big, bold letters!

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📝 Match Preview

Can Stuttgart's Home Fortress Shock Bayern?
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:5.75
Expected Value:+15.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone will be flocking to back the league leaders Bayern München, my attention is firmly fixed on the plucky underdogs from Stuttgart. Let me tell you why this could be one of those special days when the little puppies bite back! Stuttgart have been absolutely formidable at home recently, winning their last three matches on their own patch. They've been scoring freely too, netting 2.33 goals per game at home. Just look at their recent home performances - a 3-2 victory over FC Augsburg and a 2-0 win against Feyenoord in the Europa League. These aren't just wins; they're statements of intent! The head-to-head record might look daunting for Stuttgart fans, but numbers can be deceiving. In their last meeting back in August, Stuttgart pushed Bayern all the way, losing only 2-1. More importantly, both teams have scored in 6 of their 9 encounters, suggesting Stuttgart know how to find the net against the Bavarians. Bayern's away form, while still strong, shows some cracks. They've won just 50% of their last 6 away games and have been conceding regularly on the road - 1.17 goals per game away from home. They even dropped points in a 2-2 draw at Union Berlin recently. This isn't the invincible machine everyone expects! Stuttgart's attacking form has been impressive too. They've scored 18 goals in their last 10 games, including that spectacular 4-0 thrashing of GO Ahead Eagles. Their 3-3 draw with Borussia Dortmund showed they can compete with the very best. The goal expectancy data suggests this could be an open game (1.75 vs 1.50), and with Stuttgart's home advantage and Bayern's defensive vulnerabilities away from home, we could be in for a treat. The odds of 5.75 for a Stuttgart home win seem far too generous for a team that's been so dominant at home recently!

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