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Match analysis

GermanyBundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Bundesliga fixture.

Match Timeline

8'
G. Promel⚽
Normal Goal → W. Burger
29'
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer🟨
Yellow Card
31'
O. Kabak⚽
Normal Goal → G. Promel
46'
G. Gocholeishvili🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Philippe
65'
Nicolás Capaldo🟨
Yellow Card
65'
T. Lemperle⚽
Normal Goal → B. Toure
67'
A. Kramaric🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Asllani
67'
B. Toure🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Prass
67'
J. Meffert🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Elfadli
72'
F. Asllani⚽
Normal Goal → A. Prass
74'
Grischa Prömel🟨
Yellow Card
77'
Albert Sambi Lokonga🟨
Yellow Card
78'
R. Konigsdorffer🔄
Substitution 3 → Y. Poulsen
78'
F. Balde🔄
Substitution 4 → B. Jatta
80'
T. Lemperle🔄
Substitution 3 → I. Bebou
80'
G. Promel🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Hlozek
82'
R. Philippe⚽
Normal Goal → F. Vieira
88'
V. Coufal🔄
Substitution 5 → V. Gendrey
88'
N. Capaldo🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Soumahoro
90'
R. Philippe⚽
Normal Goal → R. Philippe

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal6
10Total Shots14
2Blocked Shots3
9Shots insidebox8
1Shots outsidebox6
16Fouls10
3Corner Kicks3
2Offsides1
59Ball Possession41
1Yellow Cards3
4Goalkeeper Saves2
560Total passes389
488Passes accurate309
87Passes %79
1.31expected_goals1.31
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonWon

Hoffenheim vs Hamburg: Home Fortress to Hold Firm?

The pick1899 Hoffenheim win

Chance
68%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+13.6%

Alright, my braai buddies and football fanatics, let's get straight into the meat of this Bundesliga clash. Hoffenheim hosting Hamburg is a matchup that, on paper, has 'home win' written all over it like a well-marinated sosatie. Let's look at the facts, no fluff, just the stats…

Mr CertaintyWon

Hoffenheim's Fortress Meets Hamburg's Road Woes

The pick1899 Hoffenheim win

Chance
70%
Odds
1.70
Model EV
+19.0%

The Bundesliga presents a classic clash of form versus struggle as fifth-placed 1899 Hoffenheim hosts thirteenth-placed Hamburger SV. With both teams separated by eight points after 13 matches, this fixture appears heavily skewed toward the home side based on current…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

1899 Hoffenheim

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Hamburger SV

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

1899 Hoffenheim at home vs Hamburger SV away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Bundesliga

Overall edge
+1001899 Hoffenheim
Venue edge
+1331899 Hoffenheim
Rating period
Match snapshot
1899 Hoffenheim versus Hamburger SV: long term Elo, before the match
1899 HoffenheimHomeRatingHamburger SVAway
Strength
1,570Overall1,470
1,511Match venue1,378
1,511At home1,511
1,537Away1,378
Attack & defence
1,586Attack1,412
1,505Defence1,523
1,558Home attack1,457
1,562Away attack1,349
1,470Home defence1,546
1,503Away defence1,486
Match profile
2,660Goal environment1,623
2,093Home goals1,512
2,067Away goals1,612
1,508Possession1,494
Specialist ratings
1,498Set-piece attack1,482
1,498Set-piece defence1,483
1,486Close games1,517
1,598Winning margin1,461

Match venue compares 1899 Hoffenheim at home with Hamburger SV away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim1:1

Starting XI

1Oliver BaumannG
21Albian HajdariD
29Bazoumana TouréM
27Andrej KramarićF
5Ozan KabakD
18Wouter BurgerM
19Tim LemperleF
2Robin HranáčD
7Leon AvdullahuM
34Vladimír CoufalD
6Grischa PrömelM

Hamburger SVHamburger SV1:1

Starting XI

1Daniel Heuer FernandesG
25Jordan TorunarighaD
28Miro MuheimM
45Fabio BaldéF
44Luka VuškovićD
23Jonas MeffertM
11Ransford Yeboah KönigsdörfferF
24Nicolás CapaldoD
6Albert Sambi LokongaM
20Fábio VieiraF
16Giorgi GocholeishviliM