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Match analysis

GermanyBundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim vs Bayern München

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Bundesliga fixture.

Match Timeline

15'
J. Stanisic⚽
Normal Goal → J. Tah
32'
M. Olise⚽
Normal Goal → H. Ito
46'
L. Kerber🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Ibrahimovic
46'
M. Honsak🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Schimmer
63'
L. Karl🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Gnabry
66'
M. Pieringer🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Conteh
66'
M. Busch🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Niehues
66'
J. Schoppner🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Kaufmann
72'
R. Guerreiro🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Daiber
73'
H. Ito🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Davies
86'
L. Diaz⚽
Normal Goal → J. Stanisic
90'
H. Kane⚽
Normal Goal → S. Gnabry
90+1'
D. Upamecano🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Kiala
90+1'
M. Olise🔄
Substitution 5 → W. Mike

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal11
6Shots off Goal5
7Total Shots23
0Blocked Shots7
6Shots insidebox15
1Shots outsidebox8
8Fouls6
0Corner Kicks6
2Offsides2
26Ball Possession74
6Goalkeeper Saves1
268Total passes777
202Passes accurate709
75Passes %91
0.96expected_goals4.12
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

Umery UnderdogLost

Heidenheim's Home Hope Against Bavarian Giants

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

On paper, this Bundesliga fixture looks like the most predictable of the weekend. The league leaders, unbeaten Bayern München, travel to face a Heidenheim side languishing in 17th place. The odds of 13.00 for a home win tell their own story. But as a tipster who lives for the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

1. FC Heidenheim

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Bayern München

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

Per game

1. FC Heidenheim at home vs Bayern München away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Bundesliga

Overall edge
+392Bayern München
Venue edge
+297Bayern München
Rating period
Match snapshot
1. FC Heidenheim versus Bayern München: long term Elo, before the match
1. FC HeidenheimHomeRatingBayern MünchenAway
Strength
1,457Overall1,849
1,457Match venue1,754
1,457At home1,840
1,469Away1,754
Attack & defence
1,444Attack1,813
1,480Defence1,662
1,440Home attack1,799
1,472Away attack1,737
1,473Home defence1,660
1,507Away defence1,621
Match profile
1,643Goal environment3,045
1,575Home goals2,462
1,568Away goals2,083
1,482Possession1,547
Specialist ratings
1,502Set-piece attack1,541
1,502Set-piece defence1,539
1,507Close games1,639
1,442Winning margin1,917

Match venue compares 1. FC Heidenheim at home with Bayern München away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim1:1

Starting XI

41D. RamajG
19J. FohrenbachD
20L. KerberM
18M. PieringerF
5B. GimberD
30N. DorschM
17M. HonsakF
6P. MainkaD
3J. SchoppnerM
2M. BuschD
23O. H. TraoreD

Bayern MünchenBayern München1:1

Starting XI

40J. UrbigG
21H. ItoD
22R. GuerreiroM
14L. DiazM
9H. KaneF
4J. TahD
8L. GoretzkaM
42L. KarlM
2D. UpamecanoD
17M. OliseM
44J. StanisicD