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Match analysis

GermanyBundesliga

RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Bundesliga fixture.

Full time2:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

14'
Yuito Suzuki🟨
Yellow Card
52'
Philipp Treu🟨
Yellow Card
53'
W. Orbanâš½
Normal Goal → D. Raum
55'
Y. Suzuki🔄
Substitution 1 → V. Grifo
56'
Romulo Cardosoâš½
Normal Goal
60'
T. Gomis🔄
Substitution 1 → Y. Diomande
60'
A. Ouedraogo🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Nusa
65'
P. Treu🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Beste
65'
L. Holer🔄
Substitution 3 → I. Matanovic
74'
Romulo Cardoso🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Harder
77'
Jan-Niklas Beste🟨
Yellow Card
85'
C. Gunter🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Makengo
85'
P. Osterhage🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Scherhant
88'
C. Baumgartner🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Bitshiabu
88'
C. Lukeba🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Banzuzi
90+6'
Maximilian Eggestein🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal1
21Total Shots3
8Blocked Shots1
19Shots insidebox3
2Shots outsidebox0
12Fouls16
7Corner Kicks2
0Offsides2
64Ball Possession36
0Yellow Cards4
1Goalkeeper Saves5
552Total passes315
485Passes accurate238
88Passes %76
2.24expected_goals0.17
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

Mr SimpleWon

Leipzig to Continue Freiburg Hoodoo at Home

The pickRB Leipzig win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Bundesliga clash. RB Leipzig, sitting pretty in third, welcome SC Freiburg, who are a respectable eighth. On paper, it's a top-half tussle, but the history books and the recent form tell a very different story. First off, let's talk…

Value VinnyLost

Leipzig vs Freiburg: The Over 2.5 Goal Banker

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
78%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+26.4%

The Bundesliga returns after the winter break with a fixture that screams goals. RB Leipzig, sitting pretty in third, host an SC Freiburg side clinging to the top half. On paper, it's a classic top vs mid-table clash, but the numbers reveal a betting opportunity so juicy it's…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

RB Leipzig

6W 1D 3L1.90 pts/game

SC Freiburg

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

RB Leipzig at home vs SC Freiburg away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Bundesliga

Overall edge
+38RB Leipzig
Venue edge
+164RB Leipzig
Rating period
Match snapshot
RB Leipzig versus SC Freiburg: long term Elo, before the match
RB LeipzigHomeRatingSC FreiburgAway
Strength
1,646Overall1,607
1,709Match venue1,545
1,709At home1,602
1,584Away1,545
Attack & defence
1,569Attack1,548
1,613Defence1,552
1,651Home attack1,581
1,498Away attack1,461
1,629Home defence1,538
1,600Away defence1,556
Match profile
2,105Goal environment2,035
1,827Home goals1,773
1,778Away goals1,762
1,501Possession1,505
Specialist ratings
1,520Set-piece attack1,518
1,520Set-piece defence1,517
1,552Close games1,614
1,666Winning margin1,614

Match venue compares RB Leipzig at home with SC Freiburg away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig1:1

Starting XI

1Péter GulácsiG
22David RaumD
14Christoph BaumgartnerM
20Assan OuédraogoF
23Castello LukebaD
13Nicolas SeiwaldM
40RômuloF
4Willi OrbánD
24Xaver SchlagerM
27Tidiam GomisF
17Ridle BakuD

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg1:1

Starting XI

1Noah AtuboluG
30Christian GünterD
6Patrick OsterhageM
44Johan ManzambiM
9Lucas HölerF
5Anthony JungD
8Maximilian EggesteinM
14Yuito SuzukiM
43Bruno OgbusD
29Philipp TreuM
17Lukas KüblerD