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Match analysis

GermanyBundesliga

Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Bundesliga fixture.

Match Timeline

16'
N. Schlotterbeck🟨
Yellow Card
38'
E. Smith🟨
Yellow Card
43'
K. Adeyemi🟨
Yellow Card
45+1'
J. Brandt⚽
Normal Goal → K. Adeyemi
54'
K. Adeyemi⚽
Normal Goal → F. Silva
62'
J. Sands⚽
Normal Goal → E. Smith
64'
A. Dzwigala🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Ando
64'
L. Ritzka🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Oppie
64'
M. Kaars🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Jones
69'
J. Bellingham🟨
Yellow Card
71'
K. Adeyemi🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Beier
71'
F. Silva🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Guirassy
71'
J. Ryerson🔄
Substitution 3 → Y. Couto
72'
R. Jones⚽
Normal Goal → E. Smith
83'
F. Nmecha🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Ozcan
83'
J. Brandt🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Chukwuemeka
90+6'
E. Can
Penalty

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal1
10Total Shots9
1Blocked Shots3
7Shots insidebox7
3Shots outsidebox2
9Fouls11
5Corner Kicks5
1Offsides2
63Ball Possession37
3Yellow Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
648Total passes364
559Passes accurate268
86Passes %74
3.09expected_goals0.54
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonWon

Dortmund to Dominate at Home Against Struggling St. Pauli

The pickBorussia Dortmund win

Chance
80%
Odds
1.36
Model EV
+8.8%

Listen up, braai masters and beer lovers! We've got a classic Bundesliga matchup that smells like a sizzling boerewras on the grill. Borussia Dortmund, sitting pretty in 2nd place, host the relegation-threatened FC St. Pauli. On paper, this looks like a mismatch, and the data…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Borussia Dortmund

5W 4D 1L1.90 pts/game

FC St. Pauli

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Per game

Borussia Dortmund at home vs FC St. Pauli away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Bundesliga

Overall edge
+298Borussia Dortmund
Venue edge
+282Borussia Dortmund
Rating period
Match snapshot
Borussia Dortmund versus FC St. Pauli: long term Elo, before the match
Borussia DortmundHomeRatingFC St. PauliAway
Strength
1,731Overall1,433
1,742Match venue1,460
1,742At home1,451
1,636Away1,460
Attack & defence
1,655Attack1,395
1,631Defence1,544
1,689Home attack1,409
1,604Away attack1,431
1,645Home defence1,519
1,560Away defence1,558
Match profile
2,907Goal environment1,453
2,313Home goals1,473
2,093Away goals1,480
1,507Possession1,488
Specialist ratings
1,494Set-piece attack1,496
1,494Set-piece defence1,496
1,593Close games1,459
1,773Winning margin1,422

Match venue compares Borussia Dortmund at home with FC St. Pauli away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund1:1

Starting XI

1Gregor KobelG
4Nico SchlotterbeckD
24Daniel SvenssonM
10Julian BrandtF
21Fábio SilvaF
3Waldemar AntonD
8Felix NmechaM
27Karim AdeyemiF
23Emre CanD
7Jobe BellinghamM
26Julian RyersonM

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli1:1

Starting XI

22Nikola VasiljG
3Karol MetsD
21Lars RitzkaM
28Mathias Pereira LageF
19Martijn KaarsF
5Hauke WahlD
8Eric SmithM
16Joel Chima FujitaF
25Adam DźwigałaD
6James SandsM
11Arkadiusz PyrkaM