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Match analysis

GermanyBundesliga

FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Bundesliga fixture.

Match Timeline

7'
Adam Dźwigała🟨
Yellow Card
14'
A. Rossing-Lelesiit🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Balde
24'
Nicolai Remberg🟨
Yellow Card
46'
M. Kaars🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Jones
65'
A. Dzwigala🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Irvine
65'
M. Pereira Lage🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Sinani
68'
Unknown Player🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Dompe
68'
D. Downs🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Glatzel
68'
R. Konigsdorffer🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Philippe
88'
F. Vieira🔄
Substitution 5 → A. S. Lokonga

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal1
8Total Shots5
1Blocked Shots2
5Shots insidebox2
3Shots outsidebox3
15Fouls13
5Corner Kicks4
0Offsides3
43Ball Possession57
1Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
423Total passes581
327Passes accurate495
77Passes %85
0.26expected_goals0.35
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

St. Pauli vs Hamburg: Home Derby Delight on the Cards?

The pickFC St. Pauli win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.45
Model EV
+10.3%

Dis 'n lekker derby, my braai buddies! The Bundesliga's basement battle sees FC St. Pauli welcome Hamburger SV, and while the table makes for ugly reading, the numbers tell a different story. I'm here for the win, not the veggies, and I'm smelling value in the air thicker than…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Derby of Despair, Under the Stars it Falls

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
70%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+16.9%

A profound clash, this is. At the foot of the Bundesliga, two ships adrift meet. FC St. Pauli, in last place with 12 points, welcomes Hamburger SV, floating just above with 17. Yet, in the mirror of recent form, a clearer picture we see. The home side, at their fortress, a…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

FC St. Pauli

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Hamburger SV

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Per game

FC St. Pauli at home vs Hamburger SV away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Bundesliga

Overall edge
+30Hamburger SV
Venue edge
+86FC St. Pauli
Rating period
Match snapshot
FC St. Pauli versus Hamburger SV: long term Elo, before the match
FC St. PauliHomeRatingHamburger SVAway
Strength
1,428Overall1,459
1,451Match venue1,365
1,451At home1,513
1,456Away1,365
Attack & defence
1,409Attack1,402
1,534Defence1,530
1,409Home attack1,441
1,444Away attack1,351
1,519Home defence1,564
1,549Away defence1,474
Match profile
1,462Goal environment1,623
1,473Home goals1,502
1,488Away goals1,622
1,486Possession1,491
Specialist ratings
1,496Set-piece attack1,494
1,496Set-piece defence1,494
1,449Close games1,507
1,419Winning margin1,448

Match venue compares FC St. Pauli at home with Hamburger SV away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli1:1

Starting XI

22Nikola VasiljG
3Karol MetsD
23Louis OppieM
28Mathias Pereira LageF
5Hauke WahlD
8Eric SmithM
19Martijn KaarsF
25Adam DźwigałaD
6James SandsM
16Joel Chima FujitaF
11Arkadiusz PyrkaM

Hamburger SVHamburger SV1:1

Starting XI

1Daniel Heuer FernandesG
28Miro MuheimD
21Nicolai RembergM
38Alexander Røssing-LelesiitM
19Damion DownsF
25Jordan TorunarighaD
20Fábio VieiraM
11Ransford Yeboah KönigsdörfferM
44Luka VuškovićD
18Bakery JattaM
24Nicolás CapaldoD