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Match analysis

GermanyBundesliga

RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Bundesliga fixture.

Match Timeline

-5'
Marius Müller🟨
Yellow Card
29'
P. Gulacsi🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Vandevoordt
48'
Saël Kumbedi🟨
Yellow Card
52'
M. Amoura⚽
Normal Goal → A. Daghim
60'
K. Shiogai🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Svanberg
63'
Xaver Schlager🟨
Yellow Card
63'
B. Henrichs🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Baku
63'
C. Harder🔄
Substitution 3 → Romulo Cardoso
70'
Y. Diomande⚽
Normal Goal → B. Gruda
78'
M. Svanberg⚽
Normal Goal → J. Belocian
82'
N. Seiwald🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Lukeba
82'
A. Nusa🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Bakayoko
83'
M. Amoura🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Koulierakis
84'
L. Majer🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Pejcinovic
89'
B. Gruda⚽
Normal Goal
90+5'
A. Daghim🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Adjetey

Match Statistics

10Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
19Total Shots10
3Blocked Shots1
16Shots insidebox3
3Shots outsidebox7
6Fouls10
6Corner Kicks2
68Ball Possession32
1Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves8
686Total passes330
604Passes accurate255
88Passes %77
2.62expected_goals0.59
1goals_prevented1

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonWon

Leipzig to Light Up Wolfsburg in Goal Fest

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
75%
Odds
1.42
Model EV
+6.5%

Alright, braai masters and beer lovers, let's talk some proper football! This Saturday in the Bundesliga, fourth-placed RB Leipzig host a struggling VfL Wolfsburg side that's been leaking goals like a sieve. On paper, this looks like a classic case of the hunters versus the…

Mr SimpleLost

Leipzig to Feast on Wolfsburg's Woeful Away Defence?

The pickRB Leipzig win

Chance
72%
Odds
1.50
Model EV
+8.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Bundesliga clash. On paper, it's a bit of a no-brainer, innit? Fourth-placed RB Leipzig at home to fifteenth-placed VfL Wolfsburg. Twenty points separate them in the table, and the recent form book tells a story that's even more…

Value VinnyWon

Leipzig vs Wolfsburg: The Goal-Fest Value Play

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
75%
Odds
1.42
Model EV
+6.5%

The Bundesliga table paints a clear picture: fourth-placed RB Leipzig, with a solid +12 goal difference, host a struggling VfL Wolfsburg side languishing in 15th with a concerning -15 differential. On paper, this is a mismatch. But for us value hunters, paper is for scribbling…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

RB Leipzig

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

VfL Wolfsburg

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

RB Leipzig at home vs VfL Wolfsburg away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Bundesliga

Overall edge
+168RB Leipzig
Venue edge
+159RB Leipzig
Rating period
Match snapshot
RB Leipzig versus VfL Wolfsburg: long term Elo, before the match
RB LeipzigHomeRatingVfL WolfsburgAway
Strength
1,638Overall1,470
1,686Match venue1,527
1,686At home1,459
1,596Away1,527
Attack & defence
1,573Attack1,516
1,611Defence1,491
1,636Home attack1,529
1,513Away attack1,497
1,617Home defence1,462
1,605Away defence1,546
Match profile
2,118Goal environment2,170
1,838Home goals1,885
1,780Away goals1,785
1,513Possession1,489
Specialist ratings
1,504Set-piece attack1,440
1,504Set-piece defence1,441
1,543Close games1,447
1,660Winning margin1,477

Match venue compares RB Leipzig at home with VfL Wolfsburg away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig1:1

Starting XI

1P. GulacsiG
35M. FinkgrafeD
14C. BaumgartnerM
7A. NusaM
11C. HarderF
13N. SeiwaldD
24X. SchlagerM
10B. GrudaM
4W. OrbanD
49Y. DiomandeM
39B. HenrichsD

VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg1:1

Starting XI

1K. GrabaraG
6J. BelocianD
27M. ArnoldM
7K. ShiogaiM
9M. AmouraF
15M. JenzD
24C. EriksenM
10L. MajerM
3D. VavroD
11A. DaghimM
26S. KumbediD