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Match analysis

Germany2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this 2. Bundesliga fixture.

Match Timeline

28'
Jesper Daland🟨
Yellow Card
33'
Anouar El Azzouzi🟨
Yellow Card
57'
K. Davidsen⚽
Normal Goal
62'
M. Zimmermann🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Heyer
62'
A. El Azzouzi🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Appelkamp
68'
J. Therkelsen🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Knudsen
73'
K. Schmidt🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Suso
74'
C. Rasmussen🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Raimund
77'
M. Komenda🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Ivezic
77'
A. Kapralik🔄
Substitution 3 → P. Harres
82'
T. Breithaupt🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Egouli
84'
S. Schwab🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Wagner
84'
L. Rosenboom🔄
Substitution 5 → N. Niehoff
87'
Elias Egouli
Penalty cancelled
90+3'
Tim Christopher Oberdorf🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
Jonas Krumrey🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal4
13Total Shots17
5Blocked Shots7
6Shots insidebox11
7Shots outsidebox6
9Fouls16
3Corner Kicks5
2Offsides1
45Ball Possession55
1Yellow Cards3
6Goalkeeper Saves3
343Total passes415
258Passes accurate344
75Passes %83

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonWon

Kiel vs Düsseldorf: Bottom Half Battle

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
2.15
Model EV
+29.0%

Ag man, this is like watching two braais that can't get the fire going properly! Both these teams are stuck in the mud at the bottom of the table, and neither looks like they know where the back of the net is most days. Holstein Kiel comes into this sitting 11th with 12 points…

Umery UnderdogLost

Düsseldorf's Away Form Offers Underdog Value

The pickFortuna Düsseldorf win

Chance
32%
Odds
3.60
Model EV
+15.2%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! Two teams struggling in the bottom half, but I've spotted something special that the market might be overlooking. While everyone's looking at Holstein Kiel as the home favorite, my underdog senses are tingling about Fortuna…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Holstein Kiel

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Fortuna Düsseldorf

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Holstein Kiel at home vs Fortuna Düsseldorf away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within 2. Bundesliga

Overall edge
+56Holstein Kiel
Venue edge
+65Fortuna Düsseldorf
Rating period
Match snapshot
Holstein Kiel versus Fortuna Düsseldorf: long term Elo, before the match
Holstein KielHomeRatingFortuna DüsseldorfAway
Strength
1,574Overall1,518
1,508Match venue1,572
1,508At home1,519
1,593Away1,572
Attack & defence
1,519Attack1,498
1,598Defence1,514
1,525Home attack1,493
1,526Away attack1,542
1,513Home defence1,502
1,602Away defence1,558
Match profile
1,952Goal environment1,823
1,727Home goals1,700
1,725Away goals1,623
1,507Possession1,495
Specialist ratings
1,495Set-piece attack1,495
1,495Set-piece defence1,496
1,528Close games1,553
1,595Winning margin1,496

Match venue compares Holstein Kiel at home with Fortuna Düsseldorf away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel1:1

Starting XI

21Jonas KrumreyG
3Marco KomendaD
47John TolkinM
10Jonas TherkelsenF
20Adrián KaprálikF
5Carl JohanssonD
22Stefan SchwabM
11Alexander BernhardssonF
26David ZecD
15Kasper DavidsenM
23Lasse RosenboomM

Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1:1

Starting XI

33Florian KastenmeierG
19Emmanuel IyohaD
4Kenneth SchmidtM
24Florent MuslijaM
13Cédric IttenF
2Jesper DalandD
6Tim BreithauptM
8Anouar El AzzouziM
15Tim Christopher OberdorfD
10Christian RasmussenM
25Matthias ZimmermannD