Skip to main content

Match analysis

Germany2. Bundesliga

Dynamo Dresden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this 2. Bundesliga fixture.

Dynamo DresdenHome
Full time2:1HT 1–0
Fortuna DüsseldorfAway

Match Timeline

19'
Florian Kastenmeier🟨
Yellow Card
45'
A. Rossipal⚽
Normal Goal
53'
V. Vermeij⚽
Normal Goal → N. Hauptmann
59'
Friedrich Muller🟨
Yellow Card
63'
L. Raimund🔄
Substitution 1 → Z. Celar
63'
M. Heyer🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Rasmussen
71'
L. Herrmann🔄
Substitution 1 → V. Sapina
71'
J. Lemmer🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Froling
73'
S. Suso🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Appelkamp
73'
F. Muslija🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Schmidt
78'
T. Breithaupt🔄
Substitution 5 → H. Anhari
84'
C. Rasmussen⚽
Normal Goal → C. Itten
85'
K. Amoako🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Casar
85'
V. Vermeij🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Daferner
90'
N. Hauptmann🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Oehmichen
90+12'
Jesper Daland🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal7
16Total Shots13
3Blocked Shots4
11Shots insidebox10
5Shots outsidebox3
12Fouls13
4Corner Kicks0
2Offsides3
43Ball Possession57
1Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves2
355Total passes488
285Passes accurate414
80Passes %85

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonWon

Dresden to Edge Relegation Battle

The pickDynamo Dresden win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.45
Model EV
+10.3%

Right then, let's get down to business! We've got ourselves a proper basement battle here - Dresden sitting 16th with 10 points, Fortuna just above them in 13th with 14 points. This is exactly the kind of match where three points can make all the difference come season end…

Mr CertaintyWon

Dresden vs Düsseldorf: BTTS Value Analysis

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
68%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+4.0%

This bottom-half clash presents a fascinating statistical puzzle for the disciplined analyst. Dynamo Dresden sits 16th with just 10 points, while Fortuna Düsseldorf occupies 13th place with 14 points, both teams struggling for consistency this season. Dresden's recent form shows…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Dynamo Dresden

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Fortuna Düsseldorf

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Dynamo Dresden at home vs Fortuna Düsseldorf away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within 2. Bundesliga

Overall edge
+126Fortuna Düsseldorf
Venue edge
+161Fortuna Düsseldorf
Rating period
Match snapshot
Dynamo Dresden versus Fortuna Düsseldorf: long term Elo, before the match
Dynamo DresdenHomeRatingFortuna DüsseldorfAway
Strength
1,393Overall1,518
1,396Match venue1,558
1,396At home1,531
1,421Away1,558
Attack & defence
1,416Attack1,493
1,476Defence1,521
1,408Home attack1,499
1,415Away attack1,526
1,506Home defence1,505
1,464Away defence1,562
Match profile
1,597Goal environment1,820
1,538Home goals1,702
1,558Away goals1,618
1,498Possession1,494
Specialist ratings
1,492Set-piece attack1,490
1,492Set-piece defence1,491
1,432Close games1,548
1,380Winning margin1,499

Match venue compares Dynamo Dresden at home with Fortuna Düsseldorf away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden1:1

Starting XI

22Lennart GrillG
42Friedrich MullerD
19Alexander RossipalM
27Niklas HauptmannF
9Vincent VermeijF
29Lukas BoederD
8Luca HerrmannM
10Jakob LemmerF
13Julian PauliD
6Kofi Jeremy AmoakoM
2Konrad FaberM

Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1:1

Starting XI

33Florian KastenmeierG
4Kenneth SchmidtD
6Tim BreithauptM
19Emmanuel IyohaM
13Cédric IttenF
2Jesper DalandD
46Sima SusoM
24Florent MuslijaM
15Tim Christopher OberdorfD
7Luca RaimundM
5Moritz HeyerD

Quick Links

Dynamo Dresden Team Page →Fortuna Düsseldorf Team Page →View 2. Bundesliga Overview →View Standings →