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Match analysis

Germany2. Bundesliga

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this 2. Bundesliga fixture.

Match Timeline

4'
Sotiris Alexandropoulos🟨
Yellow Card
15'
Marin Ljubičić⚽
Goal cancelled
45+1'
Aaron Opoku🟨
Yellow Card
46'
A. Opoku🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Ranos
46'
E. Yardimci🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Mijatovic
61'
S. Alexandropoulos🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Paulina
62'
R. Heusser⚽
Normal Goal
64'
Jordi Paulina🟨
Yellow Card
67'
Fabio Di Michele Sanchez⚽
Goal cancelled
72'
J. Gomez🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Sane
77'
Elias Egouli🟨
Yellow Card
79'
M. Heyer🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Raimund
86'
F. Di Michele Sanchez🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Bell Bell
86'
J. Daland🔄
Substitution 3 → Z. Celar
90'
M. Marie🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Kaufmann
90+2'
Ron-Thorben Hoffmann🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal3
16Total Shots9
6Blocked Shots4
12Shots insidebox7
4Shots outsidebox2
10Fouls14
4Corner Kicks5
4Offsides2
51Ball Possession49
2Yellow Cards3
2Goalkeeper Saves5
399Total passes384
331Passes accurate293
83Passes %76
1.14expected_goals0.44
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Away Win You Must: Fortuna's Force Strong Is

The pickFortuna Düsseldorf win

Chance
48%
Odds
2.15
Model EV
+3.2%

Trapped in the relegation zone, Eintracht Braunschweig is. Fifteenth place, merely 26 points from 25 battles, with a goal difference of minus fifteen. Fear leads to anger, anger leads to hate, and hate leads to suffering—suffering of the back four, that is. Seventeen goals…

Mr SimpleLost

Fortuna Favourites to Extend Braunschweig Hoodoo

The pickFortuna Düsseldorf win

Chance
48%
Odds
2.15
Model EV
+3.2%

Saturday lunchtime in the 2. Bundesliga sees Eintracht Braunschweig desperate for points as they host a Fortuna Düsseldorf side that's been purring lately. With Bratwurst in hand and the maths in mind, let's see where the smart money lies. Braunschweig are in the mire, sat 15th…

Value VinnyLost

Düsseldorf's H2H Dominance Offers Value at 2.15

The pickFortuna Düsseldorf win

Chance
52%
Odds
2.15
Model EV
+11.8%

The 2. Bundesliga throws up a fascinating mathematical puzzle this weekend as struggling Eintracht Braunschweig host a resurgent Fortuna Düsseldorf. While the table shows a five-point gap, the underlying numbers and historical patterns suggest the market has underestimated the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Eintracht Braunschweig

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Fortuna Düsseldorf

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Eintracht Braunschweig at home vs Fortuna Düsseldorf away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within 2. Bundesliga

Overall edge
+79Fortuna Düsseldorf
Venue edge
+48Fortuna Düsseldorf
Rating period
Match snapshot
Eintracht Braunschweig versus Fortuna Düsseldorf: long term Elo, before the match
Eintracht BraunschweigHomeRatingFortuna DüsseldorfAway
Strength
1,455Overall1,534
1,477Match venue1,525
1,477At home1,558
1,406Away1,525
Attack & defence
1,439Attack1,463
1,476Defence1,558
1,432Home attack1,486
1,422Away attack1,496
1,500Home defence1,535
1,454Away defence1,560
Match profile
1,590Goal environment1,803
1,493Home goals1,692
1,597Away goals1,612
1,477Possession1,496
Specialist ratings
1,475Set-piece attack1,503
1,475Set-piece defence1,503
1,500Close games1,552
1,438Winning margin1,523

Match venue compares Eintracht Braunschweig at home with Fortuna Düsseldorf away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig1:1

Starting XI

1Ron-Thorben HoffmannG
22Fabio Di Michele SanchezD
15Max MarieM
44Johan Arath GomezM
9Erencan YardımcıF
4Andi HotiD
6Florian FlickM
30Robin HeußerM
21Kevin EhlersD
17Aaron OpokuM
8Mehmet AydınD

Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1:1

Starting XI

1Marcel LotkaG
2Jesper DalandD
16Satoshi TanakaM
24Florent MuslijaM
23Shinta Karl AppelkampF
44Elias EgouliD
46Sima SusoM
20Marin LjubičićF
15Tim Christopher OberdorfD
14Sotiris AlexandropoulosM
5Moritz HeyerM