Sun, 3 May 2026, 11:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

37'
Herbert Bockhorn🟨
Yellow Card
42'
Deyovaisio Zeefuik🟨
Yellow Card
54'
D. Zeefuik🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Eitschberger
61'
L. Ulrich
Normal Goal
68'
Kevin Sessa🟨
Yellow Card
68'
L. Schuler🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Gronning
69'
F. Reese🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Krattenmacher
69'
K. Sessa🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Demme
72'
Diego Demme🟨
Yellow Card
73'
A. Nollenberger🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Hercher
78'
Josip Brekalo🟨
Yellow Card
81'
Jean Hugonet🟨
Yellow Card
82'
L. Ulrich🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Stalmach
85'
M. Winkler🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Dudziak
88'
M. Zukowski🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Holmstrom
88'
B. Atik🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Tachie
89'
L. Musonda🔄
Substitution 5 → N. Pesch

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal6
7Total Shots14
3Blocked Shots6
3Shots insidebox9
4Shots outsidebox5
7Fouls11
1Corner Kicks7
1Offsides0
47Ball Possession53
2Yellow Cards4
2Goalkeeper Saves1
409Total passes443
341Passes accurate369
83Passes %83
0.65expected_goals0.86
-0.24goals_prevented-0.24

Starting Lineups

1. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg1:1

Starting XI

1Dominik ReimannG
19Lubambo MusondaD
25Silas GnakaM
23Barış AtikF
24Jean HugonetD
21Falko MichelM
22Mateusz ŻukowskiF
16Marcus MathisenD
8Laurin UlrichM
17Alexander NollenbergerF
7Herbert BockhornD

Hertha BSCHertha BSC1:1

Starting XI

1Tjark ErnstG
33Michał KarbownikD
8Kevin SessaM
11Fabian ReeseM
18Jan Luca SchulerF
31Márton DárdaiD
10Michaël CuisanceM
7Josip BrekaloM
44Linus GechterD
22Marten WinklerM
42Deyovaisio ZeefuikD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Magdeburg
Form: L-W-L-W-W
Hertha BSC
Hertha BSC
Form: L-D-L-W-W
Record
3 W
1 D
6 L
4 W
2 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.7
Scored
vs
1.6
Scored
1.9
Conceded
vs
1.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:2.4
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:2.2
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:1.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1452
Average
1496
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1442
↓ Momentum (-9)
1459
↓ Momentum (-36)
Expected Outcome
29%
Home Win
33%
Draw
38%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1484
Attack
1434
1492
Defence
1566
Recent Form
1500
Attack
1380
1491
Defence
1580
Post-Match Changes
+17
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Magdeburg vs Hertha: The Force Favors the Visitors
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.00
Expected Value:+20.0%
Confidence:65

The Force flows through the 2. Bundesliga, it does. A clash of contrasting fortunes, this is. 1. FC Magdeburg, 16th they sit, with 33 points gathered. Hertha BSC, 6th they rest, with 48 points secured. To the pitch they come, but to the bookmaker's table, we look closely. Home soil, Magdeburg calls. Yet, 40% win rate they hold. 1.60 goals per game they score, 1.40 they concede. Declining trends, the data shows. Points per game: 1.00. Steady, they are not. Last time out, a 0-1 defeat to 1. FC Nürnberg they suffered. Their home attack averages 16.40 shots, but only 5.40 find the target. Possession, 55.6% they command, yet efficiency, lacking it is. Hertha BSC, the visitors, stronger in the away air. 60% win rate they boast. 2.20 goals per game they score, 1.80 they concede. Their form, more consistent it is. 1.40 points per game they average. The Force of momentum, with Hertha it rests. Though a 0-1 loss to Holstein Kiel they recently endured, their away attack averages 2.20 goals and 11.00 shots per match. Shot accuracy, 43.2% they maintain. The visitors, sharper they appear. Head-to-head, a balanced history we see. Five meetings, two wins for Magdeburg, two for Hertha, one draw. Goals, plentiful they are. Over 2.5 goals in three of five clashes. Both teams scoring, in four of five. Yet, the value, we must find. Odds for the away victory, 3.00 they stand. The implied probability, 33.3% it suggests. Our calculations, deeper they go. Expected goals: 1.70 for the home side, 1.80 for the visitors. The mathematical truth, 39.9% chance for an away win it reveals. A 6.6% edge, present it is. Bet with wisdom, you must. Hedge your positions, the master says. Do or do not bet, there is no try, but hedge your bets, you should. Key Points: - Hertha BSC boasts a 60% away win rate and averages 2.20 goals per away game. - Magdeburg's home form is inconsistent, averaging only 1.00 points per game with a declining trend. - Poisson models indicate a ~40% probability for an away win, offering value against the 3.00 odds. - Head-to-head record is evenly split, but Hertha's current momentum and away attacking output favor the visitors. - Wise bettors hedge their positions, as the Force is unpredictable. The path is clear. Back the visitors, you should. Hertha BSC to win, the wise choice it is.

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