Sun, 10 May 2026, 11:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

8'
S. Yamada
Normal Goal → J. Hendrix
9'
P. Pfeiffer🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Dettoni
14'
Matej Maglica🟨
Yellow Card
15'
I. Lidberg
Normal Goal
28'
Jorrit Hendrix🟥
Red Card
46'
M. Schulz🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Meyerhofer
61'
Luca Bolay🟨
Yellow Card
62'
N. Schmidt🔄
Substitution 2 → F. Lakenmacher
65'
L. Bolay🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Raschl
76'
S. Yamada🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Vilhelmsson
85'
M. Maglica🔄
Substitution 3 → B. Bialek
88'
Torge Paetow🟨
Yellow Card
90+4'
Y. Bouchama🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Lokotsch

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal7
2Shots off Goal9
10Total Shots22
4Blocked Shots6
6Shots insidebox12
4Shots outsidebox10
11Fouls10
5Corner Kicks7
1Offsides0
27Ball Possession73
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves3
211Total passes569
147Passes accurate510
70Passes %90
1.02expected_goals2.33
-0.16goals_prevented-0.16

Starting Lineups

Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1:1

Starting XI

1Johannes SchenkG
25Luca BolayD
5Yassine BouchamaM
9Shin YamadaF
24Niko KoulisD
20Jorrit HendrixM
29Imad RondićF
16Torge PaetowD
10Marvin SchulzM
22Jannis HeuerD
14Charalampos MakridisD

SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 981:1

Starting XI

1Marcel SchuhenG
5Matej MaglicaD
18Raoul PetrettaM
34Killian CorredorF
7Isac LidbergF
6Patric PfeifferD
31Niklas SchmidtM
23Marco RichterF
17Kai KlefischD
16Hiroki AkiyamaM
44Yosuke FurukawaM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Preußen Münster
Preußen Münster
Form: D-L-L-D-D
SV Darmstadt 98
SV Darmstadt 98
Form: L-D-L-L-L
Record
1 W
3 D
6 L
2 W
3 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
1.4
Scored
2.5
Conceded
vs
1.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
80%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:2.2
Away:2.8
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:2.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1450
Average
1641
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1406
↓ Momentum (-44)
1669
↑ Momentum (+29)
Expected Outcome
19%
Home Win
25%
Draw
56%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1446
Attack
1551
1486
Defence
1511
Recent Form
1436
Attack
1574
1445
Defence
1464
Post-Match Changes
+0
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Preußen Münster vs SV Darmstadt 98 Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.57
Expected Value:+3.6%
Confidence:6

Welcome to the pitch, goal-hunters! The Big O is back, and let's get one thing straight: life’s too short for nil-nil. When I scan the tape for Preußen Münster versus SV Darmstadt 98, the numbers scream for action. The Poisson model projects a combined goal expectancy of 3.40, which is exactly the kind of high-scoring environment I live for. Münster is languishing at the foot of the 2. Bundesliga table with 29 points, and their defense has been thoroughly exposed. Over the last 10 matches, they’ve conceded 2.50 goals per game, managing just two clean sheets. Their recent results are a goal-fest: a 3-3 draw with Hannover, a 2-3 loss to Bielefeld, and a 4-1 defeat to Schalke. They average 11.60 shots per game with 3.70 on target, showing they aren't afraid to attack, even if the backline leaks. Darmstadt, sitting comfortably in 5th place with 51 points, brings its own flavor to the pot. On the road, they concede 2.20 goals per game and score 1.20. Their last 10 fixtures feature scores like 3-3, 3-2, and 2-1, proving they participate in open, fluid matches. Both clubs show improving goals-scored trends, and their BTTS percentages sit at 70% and 80% respectively. The head-to-head record backs this view: 4 of the last 8 meetings exceeded 2.5 goals. With both teams having 7 days rest and no fixture congestion, there’s no fatigue to blunt the attack. The bookmakers price Over 2.5 Goals at 1.57. While odds below 1.6 require certainty, the mathematical expectancy of 3.40 goals, combined with leaky defenses and a history of open play, gives us a clear edge. I’m locking this in. Expect fireworks, not a bore draw. Key Points: - Münster concedes 2.50 goals/game; Darmstadt concedes 2.20 away. - Poisson goal expectancy sits at a juicy 3.40 total goals. - 4 of the last 8 H2H matches went Over 2.5 goals. - Both teams boast high BTTS rates (70% and 80% respectively). - Odds of 1.57 offer a calculated edge given the goal projections. Final Verdict: Over 2.5 Goals.

Read Full Preview →