Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 12:00
Ligue 2
France
France
Full Time

Match Timeline

26'
Bradley Danger🟨
Yellow Card
61'
H. BenaliπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ J. Ikanga
62'
J. MaggiottiπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ M. Tchokounte
62'
S. E. KhaouiπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ D. Durand
66'
Ylies Aradj🟨
Yellow Card
75'
K. CabralπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ S. Renel
79'
S. SannaπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ T. Thomas
79'
M. CamaraπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ E. Maddy
82'
Giovanni Haag🟨
Yellow Card
86'
Y. AradjπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ L. Samb
87'
M. SelloukiπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ A. Faurand-Tournaire
89'
D. SyllaπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ M. Huard
90'
D. Durand⚽
Normal Goal β†’ R. Hachem

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal3
9Total Shots8
6Blocked Shots2
6Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox3
9Fouls8
6Corner Kicks5
1Offsides3
47Ball Possession53
1Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
415Total passes470
317Passes accurate396
76Passes %84

Starting Lineups

LavalLaval1:1

Starting XI

30M. SamassaG
21Y. AradjD
6S. SannaM
9M. CamaraF
4P. OuanehD
28J. MaggiottiM
23Y. TavaresD
14C. MandoukiM
3W. BiandaD
10M. SelloukiM
7T. VargasD

RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931:1

Starting XI

16G. PoussinG
20D. DurivauxD
81G. HaagM
11K. CisseM
29H. BenaliF
24P. LemonnierD
98R. HachemM
91K. CabralF
27B. DangerD
10S. E. KhaouiM
22D. SyllaM

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Laval
Laval
Form: D-L-L-L-W
RED Star FC 93
RED Star FC 93
Form: D-W-L-W-W
Record
2 W
5 D
3 L
β€’
6 W
2 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
1.7
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:2.2
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:0.5

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1471
Average
1440
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1451
↓ Momentum (-20)
1447
↑ Momentum (+7)
Expected Outcome
36%
Home Win
34%
Draw
30%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1455
Attack
1418
1562
Defence
1534
Recent Form
1439
Attack
1410
1568
Defence
1564
Post-Match Changes
-12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

RED Star to Feast on Struggling Laval
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.70
Expected Value:+80.9%
Confidence:85

Ag man, this one looks like a braai where one team brought the meat and the other brought... well, nothing! Let me break it down for you. Laval is sitting in 17th place with a measly 8 points from 9 games. They've won just ONE game all season! At home, it's even worse - they haven't won a single home match in their last 4 attempts. Their recent home form reads like a bad joke: 0-0 draw with Annecy, 0-1 loss to Montpellier, 0-1 loss to PAU, and 0-3 hammering by Amiens. They're scoring only 0.75 goals per game at home while conceding 1.75. That's not just bad, that's "pass the beer, I can't watch" bad! Now RED Star FC 93... these boys are cooking with gas! They're 4th in the league with 17 points, and their away form is absolutely insane. 83.33% win rate on the road! They've been smashing teams away from home - 3-0 at Nancy, 3-0 at PAU, 4-0 at Guingamp. They're averaging 2.17 goals per game away and only letting in 0.5. That's the kind of form that makes you want to throw another steak on the fire! The head-to-head might be even historically (3-3-3), but right now? There's only one team in form and it's not Laval. RED Star is scoring goals for fun while Laval can't buy a goal at home. The bookies have got this wrong too - RED Star at 2.70 with that away form? That's like finding a cold beer in the desert! Value doesn't get much better than this.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

The Force Strong With RED Star on Their Travels
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.75
Expected Value:+10.0%
Confidence:65

In the grand theater of Ligue 2, much to learn from the patterns of the Force, we have. Laval, struggling at 17th place with but 8 points from 9 games, finds themselves in a precarious position. Their recent form reveals a team that has forgotten the path to victory at home - zero wins in their last four home encounters, with goals flowing like a dry riverbed at merely 0.75 per game. RED Star FC 93, however, rides a different current. Sitting 4th with 17 points, their away form speaks of mastery - five victories in six away journeys, scoring 2.17 goals per game while conceding only 0.5. The contrast in form is stark, like light and darkness. Laval's recent results show three losses in four games, including a 0-3 home defeat to Amiens and a 0-1 loss to Montpellier. RED Star, meanwhile, has conquered PAU 3-0 away and Nancy 1-0 on their travels. The head-to-head record tells a balanced tale historically (3 wins each, 3 draws), yet Laval's home record against RED Star shows weakness - but one victory in five meetings. The statistical omens point toward RED Star's superiority: better shot accuracy (48.9% away vs Laval's 41.1% home), higher possession (56.3% vs 52.6%), and a goal difference that speaks volumes (+7 vs -4). Remember, the wise bettor looks beyond the surface. Laval's home form has been poor, their defense conceding 1.75 goals per game at their own ground. RED Star arrives not as visitors, but as conquerors, with an away win percentage of 83.33% that commands respect. The odds may not fully reflect this dominance, creating value for those who see the true nature of these teams.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

RED Star's Away Dominance Exposes Value
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.75
Expected Value:+4.5%
Confidence:65

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The bookies have priced this match too closely, and that's where we find our edge. Laval sits 17th in Ligue 2 with a measly 8 points, while RED Star FC 93 occupies 4th place with 17 points - that's a 9-point gap that tells a story. The real story is in the venue-specific performance. Laval has been abysmal at home - zero wins from their last 4 home games, scoring just 0.75 goals per game while conceding 1.75. They've managed draws against Annecy and Clermont Foot, but losses to Montpellier, PAU, and a 3-0 thrashing by Amiens show their defensive frailties. Now look at RED Star's away form: it's nothing short of spectacular. Five wins and one draw from their last six away matches, scoring 2.17 goals per game while conceding only 0.50. They've put four past Guingamp, three past PAU, and systematically dismantled teams on their home turf. The head-to-head record might show an even 3-3-3 split, but current form trumps history every time. Laval's home win rate against RED Star is just 20%, and that was with better Laval sides than this one. The goal expectancy models have this at 0.62-1.96, which aligns perfectly with what we're seeing. RED Star should dominate possession (56.3% vs 52.6% average) and create more chances (13.22 vs 9.11 shots per game). The market has RED Star as slight underdogs at 2.75, but the statistical reality suggests they should be favorites. That's our value - the bookies are looking at the even H2H record while ignoring the massive current form disparity. Key Points: - RED Star boasts 83.33% away win rate vs Laval's 0% home win rate - Goal difference: RED Star scores 2.17 away, Laval concedes 1.75 at home - 9-point league gap reflects genuine quality difference - Laval's recent home form: 0W-2D-2L with just 1 goal scored - RED Star's away form: 5W-1D-0L with 13 goals scored The numbers don't lie here. RED Star's away dominance combined with Laval's home struggles creates clear betting value. The odds compilers have been too conservative, likely influenced by historical head-to-head rather than current reality.

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