Fri, 24 Oct 2025, 18:00
Ligue 2
France
France
Full Time

Match Timeline

36'
Donatien Gomis🟨
Yellow Card
39'
Cheick Konaté🟨
Yellow Card
47'
I. Fakili
Normal Goal → J. Gastien
53'
A. Sagna🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Ott
53'
J. Hatchi🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Kielt
60'
J. Astic🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Hunou
64'
Johan Gastien🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Alpha Sissoko🟨
Yellow Card
69'
J. Gastien🔄
Substitution 2 → H. Saivet
69'
I. Fakili🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Bamba
71'
E. Koffi🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Demouchy
71'
D. Louiserre🔄
Substitution 4 → D. N'Landu
77'
K. Sidibe🔄
Substitution 5 → T. Ahile
85'
Allan Ackra🟨
Yellow Card
86'
K. Boto🔄
Substitution 4 → V. Nsimba
86'
A. Camblan🔄
Substitution 5 → O. Diop

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal2
20Total Shots4
10Blocked Shots1
12Shots insidebox2
8Shots outsidebox2
10Fouls11
6Corner Kicks1
1Offsides0
63Ball Possession37
2Yellow Cards3
0Goalkeeper Saves3
620Total passes373
543Passes accurate302
88Passes %81

Starting Lineups

GuingampGuingamp1:1

Starting XI

1Teddy BartoucheG
23Dylan OuregaD
20Jérémy HatchiM
9Louis MafoutaF
22Alpha SissokoD
8Kalidou SidibéM
10Amine HemiaF
7Donatien GomisD
4Dylan LouiserreM
2Erwin KoffiD
11Amadou SagnaM

Clermont FootClermont Foot1:1

Starting XI

30Théo GuivarchG
97Kenji Van BotoD
25Johan GastienM
29Ilhan FakiliM
94Loic SockaF
21Yoann SalmierD
44Allan AckraM
28Ivan M'BahiaD
13Julien AsticM
15Cheick KonatéD
7Axel CamblanM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Guingamp
Guingamp
Form: D-D-W-W-L
Clermont Foot
Clermont Foot
Form: L-L-D-L-W
Record
4 W
3 D
3 L
2 W
4 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.8
Scored
vs
0.9
Scored
2.1
Conceded
vs
1.4
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:2.2
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1525
Average
1499
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1553
↑ Momentum (+28)
1430
↓ Momentum (-69)
Expected Outcome
36%
Home Win
33%
Draw
31%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1544
Attack
1449
1492
Defence
1526
Recent Form
1559
Attack
1389
1453
Defence
1503
Post-Match Changes
-13
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Guingamp vs Clermont: Goals Galore Expected
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+17.0%

Right then, let's get down to business! We've got Guingamp sitting pretty in 6th place with 15 points, while Clermont are struggling down in 16th with just 10 points. That's a proper gap in quality right there, and I'm here to help you cash in on it. Guingamp have been scoring for fun this season - averaging 1.8 goals per game. Sure, they leak a few at the back (2.1 per game), but that just means we're in for some proper entertainment! They've put three past Saint Etienne away and smashed Bastia 3-1 on the road. At home, they've been decent too, beating Dunkerque 2-1 and Montpellier 1-0. Clermont, on the other hand, are struggling to find the net. Only 0.9 goals per game tells you everything you need to know. They've lost three of their last six and could only manage one goal against Annecy in their last match. Away from home, they're even worse - scoring just one goal per game on their travels. Now here's the juicy bit - these two teams love a goal-fest when they meet. Six of their last eight encounters have gone over 2.5 goals. Guingamp's games this season are averaging nearly 4 goals per match, and with Clermont's defensive issues on the road, I'm rubbing my hands with glee here. The stats don't lie: Guingamp take 11 shots per game to Clermont's 8.7, and their shot accuracy is much better at 42% compared to 29%. Both teams have been scoring in 70% of Guingamp's games and 60% of Clermont's matches. This has all the makings of a proper Friday night shootout. Guingamp should have too much firepower for a struggling Clermont side, but both teams should find the net in what should be an open affair.

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📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Expected When Guingamp Hosts Clermont
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+11.6%

Get ready for some serious goal action, folks! The Big O is getting excited about this Ligue 2 clash, and for good reason. Guingamp have been treating their home fans to goal fests this season, averaging a whopping 3.6 total goals per game at their own patch (1.60 scored, 2.00 conceded). Their recent form reads like a striker's dream: 2-2 draws, a 3-2 win at Saint Etienne, and that memorable 5-2 thriller against Estac Troyes. With only one clean sheet in their last ten matches, their defense is basically an open invitation for opponents. Clermont Foot might not be scoring buckets, but they're certainly contributing to the goal count on their travels. They're shipping 1.80 goals per away game while managing to find the net themselves at a goal per game. Their recent away results show plenty of goal action too - 1-3 at PAU, 1-4 at Reims, and that 2-2 draw at Dunkerque. When these two teams meet, history tells us we're in for a treat. The head-to-head record is music to my ears - 6 out of their last 8 meetings have gone Over 2.5 goals! Recent encounters have been particularly juicy: 3-1, 1-4, and even a 0-5 demolition. The goal expectancies are pointing to 3.20 total goals, and with both teams showing such porous defenses, I'm expecting the net to bulge regularly. Key Points: - Guingamp's home games average 3.6 total goals - Clermont concede 1.80 goals per away game - 75% of H2H meetings have gone Over 2.5 goals - Both teams have scored in 70% (Guingamp) and 60% (Clermont) of recent games - Combined goal expectancy stands at 3.20 goals This match has all the ingredients for a goal spectacular - leaky defenses, decent attacking output, and a history of high-scoring encounters. The Big O is rubbing his hands with glee!

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📝 Match Preview

Balance of Force, This Match Will Show
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+22.4%

In the grand tapestry of Ligue 2, two teams stand at different points on their journey. Guingamp, sitting sixth with 15 points, seeks to climb higher. Clermont Foot, sixteenth with 10 points, fights to escape the shadows below. Recent form tells a story of contrasts. Guingamp has found the net 18 times in their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Yet their defense, like a faulty shield, has conceded 21 times - 2.1 per game. Only once in ten matches have they kept a clean sheet. Their recent results show both promise and vulnerability: a 3-2 victory at Saint Etienne demonstrates their attacking prowess, but a 5-2 defeat to Estac Troyes reveals defensive frailties. Clermont Foot's journey has been more challenging. With only 9 goals scored in 10 matches (0.9 per game), their attack lacks potency. However, they have managed 3 clean sheets, showing defensive resolve that Guingamp lacks. Their recent form concerns me - losses to Annecy (0-1), PAU (3-1), and Reims (4-1) suggest a team struggling to find its rhythm. The head-to-head record speaks of balance - three wins each, two draws in eight meetings. But the goal numbers tell another story: Guingamp has scored 10, conceded 14. In their home encounters, the pattern continues evenly. Statistics reveal Guingamp's attacking superiority: 11 shots per game to Clermont's 8.7, 4.7 shots on target to 2.4. Their shot accuracy of 42.1% far exceeds Clermont's 29.6%. Yet football, like life, is not just about statistics. The goal expectancies suggest 1.70 for Guingamp, 1.50 for Clermont - a total of 3.2 goals expected. Combined with both teams' tendencies to both score and concede, the path becomes clearer. Remember, young bettor: "In betting, as in life, the wise see beyond the obvious. The force of statistics guides us, but intuition completes the journey." Key Points: - Guingamp scores freely (1.8/game) but defends poorly (2.1 conceded/game) - Clermont struggles to score (0.9/game) but keeps more clean sheets (30% vs 10%) - 70% of Guingamp's recent games see both teams score - Head-to-head shows 6/8 matches went over 2.5 goals - Guingamp has superior attacking stats (11 shots vs 8.7, 42.1% vs 29.6% accuracy) - Recent form favors Guingamp despite defensive concerns The balance of attack and defense, the flow of form and history - all point toward both teams finding the net in this encounter.

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📝 Match Preview

Goals Galore When Guingamp Host Clermont
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+17.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Ligue 2 clash between Guingamp and Clermont Foot. The home side are sitting pretty in 6th place with 15 points, while Clermont are struggling down in 16th with just 10 points on the board. Guingamp have been a right mixed bag lately, but one thing's for certain - their games are never boring! They're averaging 1.8 goals scored but also letting in 2.1 per game. Just look at their recent results: a 3-2 win at Saint Etienne, a 5-2 thumping at Troyes, and a 3-3 draw with Le Mans. They're basically playing basketball out there! Clermont, on the other hand, are having a right old time finding the back of the net. They're only managing 0.9 goals per game and have gone goalless in three of their last ten matches. Their recent form reads like a proper horror story: losses to Annecy (0-1), PAU (1-3), and Reims (1-4). Now, here's where it gets interesting. Guingamp at home have been scoring 1.6 per game but conceding 2.0. Clermont away from home are scoring just 1.0 but letting in 1.8. When you put those together, you're looking at a recipe for goals, goals, goals! The head-to-head between these two has been proper entertaining too. Recent meetings have seen scores like 3-1, 1-4, and even a 0-5 thriller. Six of their eight meetings have gone over 2.5 goals. Guingamp are creating more chances too - averaging 11 shots per game compared to Clermont's 8.7, and their shot accuracy is much better at 42.1% versus Clermont's 29.6%. With Guingamp's leaky defense at home and Clermont's struggles to score but facing that very same leaky defense, I'm expecting both teams to get on the scoresheet here. The stats show 70% of Guingamp's games see both teams score, and at 1.80 for BTTS Yes, that looks like proper value to me.

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📝 Match Preview

Value Found in BTTS Market as Guingamp Hosts Struggling Clermont
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+17.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Guingamp sits 6th in Ligue 2 with 15 points, while Clermont Foot languishes in 16th with just 10 points. The table tells us one story, but the betting value might be hiding elsewhere. Guingamp's recent form has been anything but boring. They've scored 18 goals in their last 10 matches (1.80 per game) but have also leaked 21 (2.10 per game). Their recent results read like a goal festival: that 5-2 hammering by Troyes, a 3-3 draw with Le Mans, and a 3-2 victory at Saint Etienne. At home, they're averaging 1.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded. This isn't a team that keeps things tight - they've managed just one clean sheet in 10 matches. Clermont Foot, meanwhile, has been struggling to find the net with only 9 goals in 10 games (0.90 per game). However, they've shown they can score, particularly away from home where they're averaging 1.00 goal per game. Their recent form includes a 1-3 loss to PAU and a 0-1 home defeat to Annecy, but they did manage to score against Reims in a 4-1 loss and found the net against Grenoble in a 2-1 win. The head-to-head record between these sides is particularly telling for our analysis. In 8 previous meetings, both teams have scored in 5 of them (62.5%). The recent encounters have been high-scoring affairs: 3-1, 1-4, 0-5, and 1-2 results suggest that when these teams meet, goals tend to flow. Looking at the statistical trends, Guingamp has seen both teams score in 70% of their recent matches, while Clermont sits at 60%. The goal expectancy model projects 1.70 goals for Guingamp and 1.50 for Clermont - suggesting a decent probability both sides find the net. The market is offering 1.80 for Both Teams to Score - Yes, which implies a 55.6% probability. My calculations, based on the data, suggest the real probability is closer to 65%. That's where the value lies. Guingamp's defensive record at home (2.00 goals conceded per game) combined with Clermont's ability to score away from home (1.00 per game) creates a mathematical edge that the bookmakers seem to have underestimated. Meanwhile, Guingamp's potent home attack (1.60 goals per game) against a Clermont side that concedes 1.80 goals away from home further strengthens this position. This isn't about picking a winner - it's about finding the mathematical edge. The numbers point to both teams scoring as the smart play here.

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