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Match analysis

FranceLigue 2

Guingamp vs PAU

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Ligue 2 fixture.

Full time2:2HT 2–1

Match Timeline

10'
Cheikh Fall🟨
Yellow Card
14'
L. Mafouta⚽
Normal Goal
26'
A. Hemia⚽
Normal Goal
29'
C. Fall🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Touzghar
38'
T. Pouilly⚽
Normal Goal → D. Meddah
39'
Darly Nlandu🟨
Yellow Card
57'
A. Bobichon🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Zuliani
57'
K. Dong🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Sadik
66'
D. N'Landu🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Ahile
66'
D. Ourega🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Ott
68'
Edhy Zuliani🟨
Yellow Card
74'
Anthony Briançon🟨
Yellow Card
76'
R. Messi🔄
Substitution 4 → O. Sissoko
77'
L. Mafouta🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Kielt
78'
A. Sagna🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Koffi
90'
O. Sissoko⚽
Normal Goal
90+3'
Amine Hemia🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
Daylam Meddah🟨
Yellow Card
90+4'
Tom Pouilly🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal2
7Total Shots9
0Blocked Shots2
5Shots insidebox3
2Shots outsidebox6
7Fouls18
6Corner Kicks2
6Offsides0
52Ball Possession48
2Yellow Cards5
3Goalkeeper Saves2
501Total passes460
430Passes accurate400
86Passes %87

Tipster previews (3)

Umery UnderdogLost

Guingamp Ready to Bite Higher-Ranked PAU

The pickGuingamp win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.05
Model EV
+12.8%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While the table might suggest PAU has the edge sitting pretty in 4th place, I've got my eyes on the real value - our plucky underdogs Guingamp! 🐾 Looking at recent form, there's a fascinating story unfolding. Guingamp have been…

Value VinnyWon

Goal Value Alert in Guingamp vs PAU Clash

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
64%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+15.2%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The bookies have priced this up, but I'm seeing value where others might miss it. Guingamp sits 9th with 19 points, but their home form tells a different story - 60% win rate at their own patch, though they've been…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Guingamp

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

PAU

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Guingamp at home vs PAU away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Ligue 2

Overall edge
+6Guingamp
Venue edge
+46Guingamp
Rating period
Match snapshot
Guingamp versus PAU: long term Elo, before the match
GuingampHomeRatingPAUAway
Strength
1,544Overall1,538
1,524Match venue1,479
1,524At home1,548
1,549Away1,479
Attack & defence
1,544Attack1,492
1,518Defence1,496
1,536Home attack1,485
1,520Away attack1,495
1,530Home defence1,530
1,526Away defence1,459
Match profile
1,527Goal environment1,552
1,555Home goals1,487
1,472Away goals1,565
1,509Possession1,503
Specialist ratings
1,521Set-piece attack1,517
1,521Set-piece defence1,517
1,513Close games1,581
1,547Winning margin1,520

Match venue compares Guingamp at home with PAU away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

GuingampGuingamp1:1

Starting XI

1T. Bartouche-SelbonneG
29A. AbdallahD
23D. OuregaM
9L. MafoutaF
36A. DemouchyD
6D. N'LanduM
10A. HemiaF
7D. GomisD
4D. LouiserreM
22A. SissokoD
11A. SagnaM

PAUPAU1:1

Starting XI

30E. SallesG
3J. KaluluD
21S. BeusnardM
9K. DongM
7R. MessiF
97D. MeddahD
6C. FallM
14A. BobichonM
23A. BrianconD
10G. VersiniM
2T. PouillyD