Fri, 5 Dec 2025, 19:00
Ligue 2
France
France
Full Time

Match Timeline

28'
Cheick Konaté🟨
Yellow Card
46'
A. Baallal🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Astic
50'
Axel Camblan🟨
Yellow Card
52'
Julien Boyer🟨
Yellow Card
61'
A. El Farissi
Normal Goal → A. Uriev
63'
A. Platret🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Kouassi
63'
F. Diedhiou
Normal Goal → A. Camblan
66'
C. O. Konate🔄
Substitution 2 → I. Coulibaly
72'
F. Diedhiou🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Socka Bongue
72'
A. El Farissi🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Boiteau
83'
J. Bultel🔄
Substitution 3 → H. Toure
83'
C. Fatou🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Boulet
83'
J. Boyer🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Mpembele Boula
84'
I. Fakili🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Hunou

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal7
10Total Shots17
0Blocked Shots5
5Shots insidebox13
5Shots outsidebox4
10Fouls12
3Corner Kicks8
0Offsides4
65Ball Possession35
2Yellow Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
614Total passes314
538Passes accurate235
88Passes %75

Starting Lineups

Clermont FootClermont Foot1:1

Starting XI

30Théo GuivarchG
12Vital NsimbaD
2Abdellah BaallalM
29Ilhan FakiliM
7Axel CamblanF
21Yoann SalmierD
10Henri SaivetM
32Abdoul Kader BambaM
28Ivan M'BahiaD
18Famara DiédhiouM
15Cheick KonatéD

BoulogneBoulogne1:1

Starting XI

30Azamat UrievG
12Julien BoyerD
3Vincent BurletM
10Amine El FarissiF
5Nathan ZohoréD
14Joffrey BultelM
17Corentin FatouF
25Siad GourvilleD
19Nolan BinetM
18Demba ThiamD
21Aurelien PlatretM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Clermont Foot
Clermont Foot
Form: D-D-W-L-D
Boulogne
Boulogne
Form: W-D-D-D-L
Record
2 W
4 D
4 L
3 W
4 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.0
Scored
vs
1.6
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
80%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:2.6
Away:0.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1510
Average
1446
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1470
↓ Momentum (-40)
1421
↓ Momentum (-25)
Expected Outcome
41%
Home Win
31%
Draw
28%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1454
Attack
1467
1536
Defence
1504
Recent Form
1413
Attack
1476
1527
Defence
1517
Post-Match Changes
-2
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Both Teams To Score In Mid-Table Battle
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+43.3%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Ligue 2 scrap between Clermont and Boulogne. Two sides stuck in the middle of the table with only three points separating them, and frankly, both look about as solid as a chocolate teapot at the back. Clermont come into this having picked up just 1 point per game over their last ten matches. They've managed only two wins in that run, and defensively they've been all over the shop - just one clean sheet in ten games is shocking stuff. They've been shipping 1.5 goals per game on average, and interestingly, both teams have found the net in 70% of their recent matches. At home, they've been drawing more than winning, with a 25% win rate in their last four at their own patch. Boulogne, meanwhile, have been slightly better with 1.3 points per game recently. They've got three wins in their last ten, but again, their defence is about as reliable as a cheap watch - also just one clean sheet in ten matches. What's telling though is that both teams have scored in a whopping 80% of their recent games. On their travels, they've actually been decent, winning 40% of their last five away matches and only conceding 0.8 goals per game on the road. When these two have met before, it's been goals galore - all three previous meetings have seen both teams get on the scoresheet. Clermont have actually never beaten Boulogne at home, losing their only previous encounter on their own patch. Looking at the recent form, Clermont drew 2-2 with third-placed RED Star but also lost 1-0 to bottom side Bastia. Boulogne had that shocking 6-2 home defeat to Reims but also went to sixth-placed Montpellier and won 3-1. Both teams are inconsistent, both leak goals, and both tend to score. The stats paint a clear picture here - we've got two sides who can't keep clean sheets and both have high both teams to score percentages. With the head-to-head record backing this up too, it looks like we're in for goals at both ends.

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📝 Match Preview

Both Teams To Score Value in Mid-Table Battle
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+5.1%

Alright boets, let's break down this Ligue 2 clash between Clermont Foot and Boulogne! Both sides are stuck in the middle of the table with not much separating them - just 3 points difference. Clermont comes into this one sitting 11th with 18 points, but their recent form has been pretty average, hey. Looking at their last 10 games, they've only managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses. They've been leaking goals too - 15 conceded in that period. At home, they're not exactly setting the world alight with only a 25% win rate in their last 4 home games. They did manage a decent 2-2 draw against 3rd-placed RED Star FC, but also lost 0-1 to bottom-side Bastia, which tells you this team can be inconsistent. Boulogne, sitting 16th with 15 points, actually looks better in recent form despite being lower in the table. They've picked up 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10. What's interesting is their away form - they've been solid on the road with a 40% win rate and only conceding 0.80 goals per away game. They even went to Montpellier (6th place) and won 3-1, showing they can compete with the better teams. When these two have met before, it's always been entertaining - both teams have scored in all 3 of their previous encounters. The last meeting ended 2-1 to Boulogne. Looking at the stats, Boulogne takes more shots (13.44 vs 9.11) and has better shot accuracy, especially away from home. Clermont might have more possession at home (56.8% vs 43.6% for Boulogne away), but they're not making it count enough. Both teams have high BTTS percentages - Clermont at 70% and Boulogne at 80% in their recent games. With Clermont's defensive issues at home and Boulogne's decent away attacking record, I'm expecting both sides to find the net here. Key Points: • Both teams have scored in all 3 previous head-to-head meetings • Boulogne has better recent form (3W, 4D, 3L vs 2W, 4D, 4L) • Boulogne surprisingly concedes fewer goals away (0.80) than at home (2.60) • High BTTS percentages: Clermont 70%, Boulogne 80% • Clermont has poor home win rate of just 25% • Boulogne takes more shots and has better shot accuracy The odds for both teams to score at 1.91 offer decent value given the stats and head-to-head record. Both sides have shown they can score but also concede, making this a solid betting opportunity.

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📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Expected When Clermont Hosts Boulogne
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.25
Expected Value:+8.0%
Confidence:65

Alright folks, The Big O here, and I'm getting excited about this Ligue 2 clash! When I look at Clermont Foot versus Boulogne, I see two teams that absolutely love to let the goals flow - and that's exactly what I like to see! Let's break it down. Clermont might be sitting mid-table with 18 points, but their recent form tells a story of goals, goals, and more goals. In their last 10 matches, they've scored 10 and conceded 15 - that's an average of 2.5 goals per game involving them! Look at their recent results: a 2-2 draw with RED Star, a 2-1 win over Amiens, a 1-1 draw with Montpellier. The pattern is clear - they rarely keep clean sheets (only 10% of the time) but they usually find the net too. Now for Boulogne - these guys are even more fun from my perspective! They're averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game recently. Their recent matches have been absolute goal fests: that wild 2-6 loss to Reims, a 3-1 win over Grenoble, multiple 2-2 draws. Like Clermont, they only manage clean sheets 10% of the time, but they're scoring in 80% of their matches! Here's what really gets my motor running - the head-to-head history. In three meetings between these sides, both teams have scored EVERY SINGLE TIME. Two out of three went Over 2.5 goals, with an average of 3 goals per match. The last meeting ended 1-2, continuing the trend of both teams finding the net. The stats don't lie here. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities that can be exploited, and both have shown they can score. Clermont at home concedes 1.00 per game, while Boulogne away scores 1.20. When you factor in both teams' recent form and their inability to keep clean sheets, we're looking at a perfect setup for goals. The market has Over 2.5 at 2.25, but I think that's undervaluing the goal potential here. With both teams scoring in 70-80% of their recent matches and their defensive records being what they are, I'm expecting fireworks!

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📝 Match Preview

Boulogne Ready to Bark Upset at Clermont
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.80
Expected Value:+12.0%

Hello fellow underdog enthusiasts! Today we've got a delightful little matchup where the numbers are whispering sweet nothings about our favorite puppies from Boulogne. While the league table might suggest Clermont has the edge, a deeper dive reveals a much more interesting story! Let's talk about recent form, shall we? Boulogne has been quietly impressive with 1.30 points per game over their last 10 matches, including a smashing 3-1 victory over Grenoble in their latest outing. They've also shown resilience with draws against solid sides like Dunkerque and Annecy. Meanwhile, our hosts Clermont are struggling along with just 1.00 point per game, though they did grab a creditable 2-2 draw at high-flying RED Star FC 93. Here's where it gets really exciting for us underdog lovers: Boulogne's away form (40% win rate) actually OUTPERFORMS Clermont's home record (just 25% win rate)! The visitors have been keeping things tight on the road too, conceding only 0.8 goals per game away from home. And let's not forget the head-to-head history - Boulogne won the last meeting 2-1 and have never lost at Clermont's ground! The stats show both teams love to find the net (70% BTTS for Clermont, 80% for Boulogne), and with Boulogne averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to Clermont's 1.0, there's real potential for an upset here. The market seems to be underestimating Boulogne based on league position alone, ignoring their superior recent form and excellent away record. This is exactly the kind of situation where we find value - when the little guy is performing better than the odds suggest!

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📝 Match Preview

Wisdom of Both Teams Finding the Net
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+24.1%

In the grand tapestry of Ligue 2, two teams separated by mere points yet worlds apart in form converge. Clermont Foot, sitting 11th with 18 points, has stumbled through their recent journey with but 2 victories in 10 contests. Their path reveals a team that concedes 1.5 goals while scoring only 1.0 per game - a balance that brings neither glory nor safety. Yet wisdom teaches us to look deeper. In their last encounter, they held strong against RED Star FC 93, the league's third-placed side, earning a 2-2 draw. Before this, a 2-1 victory over Amiens showed flashes of capability. But the defensive frailties remain, with only one clean sheet in their last ten matches. Boulogne, though lower in 16th place with 15 points, carries a different energy. Their recent form speaks of 3 wins and 4 draws from 10 games, accumulating 1.30 points per game. More importantly, they arrive with attacking intent, scoring 1.6 goals per game. A recent 3-1 triumph over Grenoble and draws against Dunkerque and Annecy demonstrate their ability to compete. The head-to-head records whisper truths that statistics alone cannot reveal. In three meetings, both teams have found the net every time. The pattern of goals flows consistently, with over 2.5 goals in two of these encounters. Boulogne claimed victory in their last meeting 2-1, suggesting they hold the psychological edge. Clermont's home fortress has proven weak, with only a 25% victory rate on their own soil. Boulogne, meanwhile, has shown resilience away from home, securing 40% of their away contests. The goal expectancy models suggest Boulogne may score 1.10 goals to Clermont's 0.90 - a narrow advantage that speaks volumes. Both teams arrive with similar rest periods and neither shows signs of fatigue. The trends indicate Clermont's defense is slowly improving while conceding fewer goals, yet Boulogne's attacking momentum continues to build. In the balance of forces, goals appear inevitable from both sides. Key Points: • Both teams scored in 100% of head-to-head meetings (3/3) • Boulogne has superior recent form (1.30 vs 1.00 PPG) • Clermont's defensive record: 1.5 goals conceded per game • Boulogne's attacking output: 1.6 goals scored per game • BTTS rates: Clermont 70%, Boulogne 80% in recent games • Boulogne won last H2H encounter 2-1 The path of wisdom leads us to expect both teams to find the net. The patterns of history, the flow of recent form, and the nature of both sides' defensive vulnerabilities all point toward goals from both corners.

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📝 Match Preview

BTTS Value in Mid-Table Battle
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+20.3%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers here. The bookmakers have priced this as a tight contest between two mid-table sides separated by just three points, but the real value lies elsewhere. Clermont Foot sits 11th with 18 points, showing decent recent form with draws against RED Star FC 93 (2-2) and Blois (1-1), plus a solid 2-1 win over Amiens. However, their defensive record tells a different story - just one clean sheet in their last 10 matches and they're conceding 1.5 goals per game on average. Boulogne, despite sitting 16th, actually boasts better recent form with 1.30 points per game compared to Clermont's 1.00. They've found the net in 8 of their last 10 matches and are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game. Crucially, their away form (40% win rate) outperforms Clermont's home record (25% win rate). The head-to-head data is particularly telling - in three meetings, both teams have scored every single time. This pattern aligns perfectly with both sides' current defensive vulnerabilities. Statistically, both teams are shipping goals regularly and finding the net frequently. Clermont has seen both teams score in 70% of their recent matches, while Boulogne sits at 80%. The shot data shows Boulogne creates more chances (13.44 vs 9.11 shots per game), though both sides struggle with shot accuracy around 30-34%. The market has BTTS Yes at 1.91, implying a 52.4% probability. Given both teams' defensive records, recent scoring patterns, and head-to-head history, I calculate the true probability closer to 62-65%. That's where the value lies.

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