Sat, 9 May 2026, 18:00
Ligue 2
France
France
Full Time

Match Timeline

43'
Nesta Zahui🟨
Yellow Card
46'
N. Zahui🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Maurin
66'
S. Diawara🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Gozzi
67'
U. Bonnet🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Djitte
67'
M. Detourbet🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Diawara
67'
R. Ripart🔄
Substitution 3 → M. El Idrissy
72'
L. Bernadou🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Mion
76'
T. Bentayeb🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Odede
81'
S. Delos🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Paquiez
82'
S. Diba🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Bechikh
86'
M. Djitte
Normal Goal → M. Bechikh

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal5
7Total Shots11
2Blocked Shots3
4Shots insidebox6
3Shots outsidebox5
11Fouls5
2Corner Kicks10
0Offsides2
43Ball Possession57
1Yellow Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
412Total passes540
350Passes accurate471
85Passes %87

Starting Lineups

GrenobleGrenoble1:1

Starting XI

13M. DiopG
27M. XantippeD
30S. DibaM
7Y. DiabyM
12U. BonnetF
21A. TchaptchetD
6L. BernadouM
8J. BenetM
24L. MouyokoloD
19N. ZahuiM
17S. DelosD

Estac TroyesEstac Troyes1:1

Starting XI

40H. KonateG
3A. OuzenadjiD
11M. DetourbetM
20R. RipartF
38S. DiawaraD
26A. PhliponeauM
21T. BentayebF
44Y. TitiD
17A. MilleM
2L. MaronnierD
10M. IfnaouiM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Grenoble
Grenoble
Form: W-D-L-D-D
Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes
Form: W-W-W-L-D
Record
1 W
6 D
3 L
8 W
1 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
0.8
Scored
vs
2.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:3.2
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1544
Average
1645
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1550
↑ Momentum (+6)
1722
↑ Momentum (+77)
Expected Outcome
25%
Home Win
30%
Draw
45%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1419
Attack
1562
1546
Defence
1606
Recent Form
1391
Attack
1613
1557
Defence
1616
Post-Match Changes
+12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Grenoble vs Estac Troyes: Away Win Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+13.8%
Confidence:7

Right then, grab a pint and let’s have a proper look at this Ligue 2 clash between Grenoble and Estac Troyes. It’s a straightforward affair on paper, but the numbers tell a tale of two teams at completely opposite ends of the momentum spectrum. Estac Troyes are strutting around the top of the table like they own the place. They sit pretty at number one with 67 points from 33 games, and their recent run is simply devastating. In their last ten fixtures, they’ve bagged eight wins, drawn one, and only lost once. They’re averaging a cracking 2.60 goals per game while keeping clean sheets in four of those ten matches. When they travel, they’re no slouches either—winning 60% of their away games and averaging 2.00 goals per outing. Their defensive trend is also improving, conceding just 1.00 goals per away game. Troyes also boast a 40% clean sheet rate over their last ten games, and their pass accuracy sits at a crisp 82.9%. They control the ball with 52.4% average possession, dictating play from the first whistle. Grenoble, on the other hand, are stuck in a bit of a rut. They’re sitting 12th with 36 points, and their last ten games read like a catalogue of stalemates: just one win, six draws, and three losses. At home, they haven’t actually won a single match in their last four outings, settling for four straight draws. They’re only managing 0.75 goals per game on their own patch and conceding 0.75. Their goals scored trend is actually declining, which explains why they struggle to break down stubborn defences. They’re grinding out points but lacking the cutting edge to take games by the throat. Head-to-head, Troyes have the upper hand historically, winning four of the last nine meetings. The last time these two met back in August 2025, Troyes came away with a 2-1 victory. Given Grenoble’s current inability to secure home wins and Troyes’ relentless attacking form, the away side look like the clear favourites. The bookies have the away win priced at 1.75, which reflects the massive form gap. With Troyes averaging two goals on the road and Grenoble struggling to find the net, backing the visitors to win is a solid, no-nonsense play. Key Points: - Estac Troyes sit top of Ligue 2 with 67 points and have won 8 of their last 10 matches. - Grenoble are stuck in a draw-heavy phase, with 0 wins in their last 4 home games. - Troyes average 2.00 goals per game away from home, while Grenoble manage just 0.75 at home. - Head-to-head record favours Troyes, who won the last meeting 2-1. - The away win at 1.75 offers solid value given the stark contrast in momentum and league position. Summary: With Troyes flying high and Grenoble stuck in a draw rut, the away win is the clear pick. Back Estac Troyes to secure the three points.

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📝 Match Preview

Grenoble vs Estac Troyes: Away Win Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+19.0%
Confidence:7

Welcome to the pitch! It’s Grenoble versus Estac Troyes in Ligue 2, kicking off on 9 May 2026. If you’re after a clean win and hate draws like I hate vegetables, this fixture is your main course. Estac Troyes are sitting pretty at the top of the table with 67 points from 33 games, and their recent form is absolutely scorching. Over their last 10 matches, they’ve won 8, drawn 1, and lost just 1, averaging a massive 2.50 points per game. Their attack is firing on all cylinders, scoring 2.60 goals per match while keeping 40% clean sheets. On the other side, Grenoble are struggling to find the net. They sit 12th with 36 points. Their last 10 games show just 1 win, 6 draws, and 3 losses. More importantly, their home form is a recipe for stalemate: their last 4 home games ended in draws, with an average of just 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. They’re averaging 0.80 goals per game overall, which is hardly enough to trouble a top-tier defense. The numbers back the visitors comfortably. Estac Troyes average 14.70 shots per game compared to Grenoble’s 8.70, and their shot accuracy sits at a crisp 40.2% versus 28.7% for the hosts. Possession also heavily favors Troyes at 52.4% against 41.8%. Head-to-head history shows Troyes have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, including the most recent clash which ended 2-1 in Troyes’ favor. With Grenoble winless at home and Troyes rolling away (60% win rate, 2.00 goals scored per away game), the path to three points for the visitors is clear. At odds of 1.75, the away win offers genuine value. The market implies a 57% chance, but Troyes’ 80% win rate over the last 10 games and Grenoble’s complete lack of home victories point to a true probability well above 65%. That gives us a comfortable edge that clears our 6% threshold. It’s time to lock in the away win. No need for fancy accumulators; this one stands on its own merit. Key Points: - Estac Troyes are top of Ligue 2 with 67 points and have won 8 of their last 10 matches. - Grenoble are winless in their last 4 home games, averaging just 0.75 goals scored per home match. - Troyes dominate key metrics: 14.70 shots/game vs 8.70, 52.4% possession vs 41.8%, and 40.2% shot accuracy vs 28.7%. - Head-to-head record favors Troyes (4 wins to 3), with the last meeting ending 2-1 to the visitors. - Away win odds of 1.75 present clear value given the stark contrast in recent form and statistical dominance. Based on the data, the recommended play is an Away Win.

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