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Match analysis

AustriaBundesliga

FC BW Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Bundesliga fixture.

Match Timeline

19'
P. Ratkov⚽
Normal Goal
46'
Y. Vertessen🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Bischoff
65'
Alem Pašić🟨
Yellow Card
69'
D. Reiter🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Bumberger
70'
S. Weissman🔄
Substitution 2 → Ronivaldo
70'
E. Baidoo⚽
Normal Goal → C. Bischoff
75'
Fabio Varesi-Strauss🟨
Yellow Card
76'
M. K. Yeo🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Kitano
78'
C. Cvetko🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Fofana
83'
P. Ratkov🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Onisiwo
83'
E. Baidoo🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Trummer
86'
F. Strauss🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Wetschka
86'
N. Maier🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Huskovic
90'
F. Kratzig🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Rasmussen
90+3'
Alexander Schlager🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal8
6Shots off Goal0
14Total Shots10
6Blocked Shots2
11Shots insidebox7
3Shots outsidebox3
14Fouls8
7Corner Kicks2
2Offsides1
41Ball Possession59
2Yellow Cards1
6Goalkeeper Saves2
335Total passes498
216Passes accurate380
64Passes %76

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Bottom Feeders vs League Leaders - Goal Fest Incoming?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+13.8%

Right then, let's get straight to business! We've got a proper mismatch on paper here - bottom of the table FC BW Linz hosting the league leaders Red Bull Salzburg. But hold your horses, this ain't as straightforward as it looks! Linz are having an absolute shocker of a season…

Mr SimpleLost

Bottom Boys vs Top Dogs: Can Linz Trouble Salzburg?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+5.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. It's the classic bottom-of-the-table versus top-of-the-table clash, but don't be fooled by the league positions - this might be more interesting than you think. FC BW Linz are having a right old time of it down in 12th place…

Value VinnyLost

Value Found in BTTS Market Despite League Gap

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+5.0%

The numbers don't lie - there's a 16-point gap between these sides in the Bundesliga table, but the betting market has overlooked some crucial statistical patterns. Let me break down where the real value lies. FC BW Linz sits rock bottom with just 10 points from 15 games, and…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

FC BW Linz

2W 1D 7L0.70 pts/game

Red Bull Salzburg

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Per game

FC BW Linz at home vs Red Bull Salzburg away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Bundesliga

Overall edge
+255Red Bull Salzburg
Venue edge
+187Red Bull Salzburg
Rating period
Match snapshot
FC BW Linz versus Red Bull Salzburg: long term Elo, before the match
FC BW LinzHomeRatingRed Bull SalzburgAway
Strength
1,436Overall1,691
1,489Match venue1,676
1,489At home1,753
1,429Away1,676
Attack & defence
1,456Attack1,637
1,505Defence1,594
1,502Home attack1,669
1,418Away attack1,576
1,536Home defence1,627
1,499Away defence1,617
Match profile
1,515Goal environment2,667
1,502Home goals2,200
1,513Away goals1,967
1,498Possession1,524
Specialist ratings
1,478Set-piece attack1,504
1,479Set-piece defence1,504
1,458Close games1,597
1,431Winning margin1,721

Match venue compares FC BW Linz at home with Red Bull Salzburg away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FC BW LinzFC BW Linz1:1

Starting XI

1V. BaierG
2F. StraussD
60S. PirklM
20S. SeidlF
18S. WeissmanF
15M. MarandaD
19A. BriedlM
30N. MaierF
17A. PasicD
14C. CvetkoM
29D. ReiterM

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1:1

Starting XI

1A. SchlagerG
13F. KratzigD
18M. BidstrupM
49M. K. YeoM
21P. RatkovF
44J. SchusterD
5S. DiabateM
11Y. VertessenM
23J. GadouD
20E. BaidooM
22S. LainerD