Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 16:00
Bundesliga
Austria
Austria
Full Time

Match Timeline

6'
T. Kainz
Normal Goal → E. Havel
23'
Fabian Wilfinger🟨
Yellow Card
25'
E. Havel
Normal Goal → M. Hennig
32'
K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen
Normal Goal → G. Bello
41'
Alemão🟥
Red Card
46'
M. Hennig🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Fillafer
49'
Maximilian Fillafer🟨
Yellow Card
55'
Tom Hülsmann🟨
Yellow Card
60'
S. Adeniran🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Kalajdzic
60'
K. Danek🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Entrup
67'
S. Kalajdzic
Normal Goal → S. Kalajdzic
68'
Y. Diarra🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Prokop
74'
Tom Hülsmann🟥
Red Card
76'
M. Hoffmann🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Helac
82'
Melayro Bogarde🟨
Yellow Card
84'
George Bello🟨
Yellow Card
90'
D. Kovacevic🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Golles
90'
M. Usor
Normal Goal → A. Andrade
90+1'
Tobias Kainz🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal11
11Total Shots29
3Blocked Shots12
7Shots insidebox20
4Shots outsidebox9
10Fouls12
4Corner Kicks6
1Offsides2
32Ball Possession68
4Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
237Total passes495
167Passes accurate444
70Passes %90

Starting Lineups

TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1:1

Starting XI

40T. HulsmannG
33M. HennigD
23T. KainzM
7E. HavelF
18F. WilfingerD
4B. MarkusM
22M. Hoffmann4:2
19L. SpendlhoferD
5Y. DiarraM
3D. VinczeD
95D. KovacevicD

Lask LinzLask Linz1:1

Starting XI

1L. JungwirthG
16A. AndradeD
2G. BelloM
9K. DanekF
7S. AdeniranF
43AlemaoD
30S. HorvathM
8M. UsorF
48M. CisseD
6M. BogardeM
20K. P. Molgaard JorgensenM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg
Form: L-W-W-W-D
Lask Linz
Lask Linz
Form: W-W-W-W-W
Record
3 W
5 D
2 L
8 W
1 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
1.8
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
0.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
70%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
20%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.3
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:0.4

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1520
Average
1641
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1565
↑ Momentum (+45)
1694
↑ Momentum (+52)
Expected Outcome
24%
Home Win
28%
Draw
48%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1495
Attack
1561
1577
Defence
1624
Recent Form
1509
Attack
1587
1604
Defence
1649
Post-Match Changes
+2
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Lask Linz to Continue Dominant Form
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.00
Expected Value:+30.0%

Right then, let's get down to business with this Bundesliga clash! TSV Hartberg welcome Lask Linz, and I've got to say, the numbers are telling a pretty clear story here. Hartberg have been decent enough lately with 3 wins, 5 draws, and just 2 losses in their last 10 games. They've had some solid results like that 2-0 win over Ried and a good 2-1 victory against Austria Vienna. But let's be honest, they've also dropped points against teams they should be beating - drawing with Grazer AK and SCR Altach doesn't exactly scream title contender, does it? At home, they're winning 50% of their recent matches, which is alright but nothing special. Now Lask Linz... these boys are on fire! 8 wins, 1 draw, and just 1 loss in their last 10 games. That's proper winning form right there. They're absolutely smashing teams - 3-0 against Rapid Vienna, 3-1 at Sturm Graz, another 2-0 win over Rapid Vienna away. This is the kind of form that gets you into the European spots, and they're sitting pretty in 3rd place for a reason. The head-to-head tells us everything we need to know. Hartberg have NEVER beaten Lask at home. Not once! Overall it's 1 win, 4 draws, and 4 losses for Hartberg against these guys. Even that 3-3 draw in October was a bit of a fluke result - before that, Lask had won three straight against Hartberg. Defensively, Lask are rock solid - conceding just 0.5 goals per game with a 70% clean sheet rate. Hartberg are letting in 1.2 goals per game and only keeping clean sheets 20% of the time. Lask are also winning 80% of their away games this season. That's not just good, that's dominant. Looking at the stats, Lask average more shots, better possession, and just look more clinical overall. Hartberg might have home advantage, but historically that means nothing against Lask. Key Points: • Lask Linz in outstanding form with 8 wins in last 10 games • Hartberg have never beaten Lask at home (0W-1D-3L record) • Lask's defense is exceptional - 0.5 goals conceded per game • Lask winning 80% of away matches this season • Recent H2H shows Lask dominance despite 3-3 draw last time The value here is clear. Lask are playing some brilliant football, their defense is solid as a rock, and they've got Hartberg's number historically. At 2.00, that's good odds for a team in this kind of form with this head-to-head advantage.

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📝 Match Preview

Lask Linz Set to Continue Dominant Form
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.00
Expected Value:+36.0%

This Bundesliga clash presents a clear opportunity based on recent form and historical patterns. Lask Linz arrives in exceptional form, having secured 8 wins from their last 10 matches while maintaining an outstanding defensive record with 7 clean sheets. Their recent performances include impressive victories over Rapid Vienna (3-0) and Sturm Graz (3-1), demonstrating their ability to dominate strong opposition. TSV Hartberg, while enjoying home advantage, has shown inconsistent form with 5 draws in their last 10 games. Their recent 0-1 loss to Sturm Graz highlights their struggles against top-tier teams. Although they secured a 2-0 win against Ried, their overall defensive record (1.2 goals conceded per game) suggests vulnerability. The head-to-head record heavily favors Lask Linz, particularly at this venue where Hartberg has managed just 1 draw and 3 losses in 4 meetings. Lask's away form has been formidable this season, with an 80% win rate and only 0.4 goals conceded per away game. While the previous encounter ended 3-3, this appears to be an anomaly given Lask's defensive solidity throughout the campaign. Their statistical dominance in shots, possession, and corners further indicates their superiority. Key Points: - Lask Linz boasts 80% away win rate this season - Lask has kept 7 clean sheets in last 10 matches (70% rate) - Hartberg's home record vs Lask: 0W, 1D, 3L - Lask averaging 2.50 points per game vs Hartberg's 1.40 - Lask conceded only 5 goals in last 10 matches Given Lask's exceptional form, defensive stability, and historical dominance in this fixture, the away win represents the most reliable betting opportunity. The odds of 2.00 provide adequate value for a selection with such strong statistical backing.

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📝 Match Preview

Wisdom of the Force: Hartberg vs Lask Linz
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.00
Expected Value:+30.0%

In the grand tapestry of Austrian football, two paths converge. One team, TSV Hartberg, finds themselves in the middle ground - neither soaring nor falling. With 22 points from 15 matches, they tread carefully, having drawn 5 of their last 10 encounters. Their recent form speaks of resilience, yet lacks the killer instinct. A 0-1 loss to Sturm Graz, followed by victories over Ried (2-0) and Austria Vienna (2-1), shows flashes of brilliance but not consistency. Ah, but Lask Linz, they walk a different path. Third in the league with 25 points, their recent form has been nothing short of masterful. Eight wins in their last ten matches, with only one defeat - that speaks of a team in harmony with themselves. Their defensive fortress has been breached but five times in ten games, with seven clean sheets demonstrating their discipline. The 3-0 dismantling of Rapid Vienna and the 3-1 victory at Sturm Graz's domain show their quality against the league's finest. The Force of history favors Lask Linz strongly. In nine meetings, Hartberg has never tasted victory on their home ground against Lask (0-1-3 record). Though their last encounter ended in a 3-3 spectacle, Lask's form since has ascended to higher planes. Statistical wisdom reveals much. Lask averages 1.8 goals per game while conceding merely 0.5 - a balance that speaks of tactical mastery. Their away form reads like a warrior's tale: 80% victory rate on hostile territory. Hartberg, while respectable at home, cannot match this level of consistency. The numbers tell us that Lask creates more opportunities (13.67 shots vs 10) and controls possession better (48.1% vs 35.4%). In football, as in life, those who control the flow usually dictate the outcome. Key Points: - Lask Linz has won 8 of their last 10 matches, showing exceptional form - Hartberg has never beaten Lask Linz at home in 4 attempts (0-1-3 record) - Lask boasts 7 clean sheets in their last 10 games (70% rate) - Lask's away form is dominant with 80% win rate - Hartberg has drawn 5 of their last 10 matches, showing inconsistency - Lask averages 1.8 goals scored vs Hartberg's 1.4 - Lask's defense concedes only 0.5 goals per game compared to Hartberg's 1.2 The path to victory reveals itself through careful observation. Lask Linz arrives not just as favorites, but as a team in tune with their purpose. Their defensive solidity combined with attacking prowess creates a balance that Hartberg has historically struggled to overcome. While Hartberg's recent 3-3 draw shows they can trouble Lask, the visitors' form since that encounter has been ascendant. In the grand scheme, the Force flows strongly with Lask Linz. Their consistency, defensive mastery, and historical dominance over Hartberg create a compelling case for away victory.

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📝 Match Preview

Lask Look Too Strong for Hartberg
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.00
Expected Value:+20.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Austrian Bundesliga clash between Hartberg and Lask Linz. On paper, this looks like a bit of a mismatch if you ask me, but football's a funny old game, innit? Hartberg are sitting in 6th place with 22 points, not too shabby but they've been a bit hit and miss lately. They've only managed 3 wins in their last 10 games, drawing 5 and losing 2. They did beat Ried 2-0 and Austria Vienna 2-1 at home, which shows they can turn it on in front of their own fans. But they also lost 0-1 to Sturm Graz recently, which tells you they struggle against the top sides. Now Lask Linz, blimey, they're on fire! Third in the table with 25 points and their recent form is absolutely sensational - 8 wins, 1 draw, and just 1 loss in their last 10. That's an 80% win rate, proper impressive stuff. They've been smashing good teams too, beating Rapid Vienna 3-0 and Sturm Graz 3-1 away from home. Their defense is rock solid, keeping clean sheets in 7 of their last 10 games. The head-to-head record favours Lask with 4 wins to Hartberg's 1, though they did play out a 3-3 thriller back in October. But looking at Lask's defensive record since then (only 5 goals conceded in 10 games), that result looks more like a bit of a fluke. Hartberg do score at home (1.5 goals per game), but Lask are just too good at the moment. They're winning 80% of their away games and only conceding 0.4 goals per game on their travels. The form book says this should be straightforward for the visitors. Key Points: - Lask Linz in exceptional form with 8 wins in last 10 games - Lask's defense is outstanding - 70% clean sheets in recent matches - Hartberg inconsistent, with only 3 wins in last 10 games - Lask have beaten top teams like Rapid Vienna and Sturm Graz recently - Head-to-head favours Lask despite 3-3 draw in October The Verdict: Look, I'm not one to overcomplicate things. Lask are flying high, defending like troopers, and scoring for fun. Hartberg are decent at home but they've been shown up against better teams recently. Lask at 2.00 looks like a proper gift to me - they're just too strong, too consistent, and too in-form to drop points here.

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📝 Match Preview

Lask Linz Away Win Offers Clear Value
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.00
Expected Value:+34.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the mathematical reality here. Lask Linz are operating at a completely different level right now, and the odds compilers haven't quite caught up. The numbers tell a compelling story. Lask's recent form is exceptional - 8 wins from their last 10 matches, with a staggering 80% win rate on their travels. They're conceding just 0.5 goals per game and keeping clean sheets 70% of the time. This isn't just good; it's dominant. Look at their recent victories: a 3-0 demolition of Rapid Vienna, a 3-1 win at Sturm Graz, and multiple clean sheets against decent opposition. Their only loss in the last 10 was a narrow 1-0 defeat to Wolfsberger AC. Hartberg, while solid in 6th place, simply don't operate at this level. Their recent form shows 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses. They're scoring 1.4 goals per game but conceding 1.2, and they've managed just 2 clean sheets in 10 matches. The head-to-head record reinforces this advantage. Hartberg have never beaten Lask at home in 4 attempts (0W-1D-3L). While their last meeting ended 3-3, that appears to be an statistical outlier given Lask's defensive dominance since then. The market is offering Lask at 2.00, implying a 50% chance. Based on their 80% away win rate, superior defensive record, and head-to-head dominance, the true probability is closer to 65-70%. That's significant value that we simply cannot ignore. Key Points: - Lask Linz have won 80% of their last 5 away games - Lask are keeping clean sheets 70% of the time this season - Hartberg have never beaten Lask at home (0W-1D-3L record) - Lask's recent form includes wins over Rapid Vienna (3-0) and Sturm Graz (3-1) - The odds of 2.00 underestimate Lask's true win probability by at least 15-20% This is a textbook value betting situation. The market has underestimated Lask's dominance, and we're here to capitalize on that mathematical inefficiency.

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