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Match analysis

AustriaBundesliga

Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Bundesliga fixture.

Full time2:1HT 1–0

Match Timeline

7'
J. Mitchell⚽
Normal Goal → T. Horvat
63'
L. Grgic🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Jatta
66'
M. Malone⚽
Normal Goal → F. Rozga
70'
T. Schriebl🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Frieser
74'
Tobias Koch🟨
Yellow Card
80'
F. Rozga🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Hodl
81'
J. Gorenc Stankovic🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Chukwuani
82'
Y. Oberleitner🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Kreuzriegler
82'
T. Schiestl🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Cipot
82'
M. Satin🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Hofleitner
85'
Maurice Malone🟨
Yellow Card
88'
J. Mitchell🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Haider
89'
M. Malone🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Kayombo
90'
C. Lichtenberger⚽
Normal Goal → T. Cipot
90+5'
S. Fofana🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Lichtenberger
90+7'
Tochi Chukwuani🟨
Yellow Card
90+7'
Alexander Hofleitner🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal4
16Total Shots8
4Blocked Shots2
13Shots insidebox6
3Shots outsidebox2
17Fouls12
8Corner Kicks5
1Offsides4
46Ball Possession54
2Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
295Total passes355
191Passes accurate234
65Passes %66

Tipster previews (4)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

A Tale of Two Forces: Graz Derby Wisdom

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
55%
Odds
2.02
Model EV
+11.1%

Hmm, much to ponder in this encounter from the Styrian capital. The Force of history speaks strongly - five meetings, five victories for Sturm Graz. But the present moment tells a different story, it does. Sturm Graz, third in the league they are, yet their recent form has been…

PajimonWon

Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK: Battle of Form vs History

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
2.02
Model EV
+21.2%

Alright folks, let's get down to business with this Graz derby! Now, I know what you're thinking - Sturm Graz are 3rd in the table and should smash the team sitting 11th, but hold your horses! The numbers tell a very different story, and I'm here to give you the real deal. Sturm…

Mr SimpleWon

Graz Derby: Both Teams to Score Looks Value

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
55%
Odds
2.02
Model EV
+11.1%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Graz derby down the pub! On paper, you'd think Sturm Graz should have this one in the bag. They're sitting pretty in 3rd place with 25 points, while Grazer AK are lingering down in 11th with just 15 points. But hold your horses…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Sturm Graz

1W 3D 6L0.60 pts/game

Grazer AK

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Sturm Graz at home vs Grazer AK away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Bundesliga

Overall edge
+185Sturm Graz
Venue edge
+189Sturm Graz
Rating period
Match snapshot
Sturm Graz versus Grazer AK: long term Elo, before the match
Sturm GrazHomeRatingGrazer AKAway
Strength
1,675Overall1,489
1,649Match venue1,461
1,649At home1,494
1,704Away1,461
Attack & defence
1,596Attack1,454
1,588Defence1,515
1,570Home attack1,477
1,627Away attack1,451
1,583Home defence1,510
1,629Away defence1,500
Match profile
1,930Goal environment1,528
1,845Home goals1,507
1,585Away goals1,522
1,517Possession1,485
Specialist ratings
1,525Set-piece attack1,469
1,525Set-piece defence1,470
1,617Close games1,502
1,683Winning margin1,482

Match venue compares Sturm Graz at home with Grazer AK away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Sturm GrazSturm Graz1:1

Starting XI

1O. ChristensenG
17E. KaricD
8F. Rozga3:1
10O. KiteishviliM
38L. GrgicF
35N. GeyrhoferD
4J. Gorenc StankovicM
77M. MaloneF
2J. MitchellD
19T. HorvatM
23A. MalicD

Grazer AKGrazer AK1:1

Starting XI

1J. MeierhoferG
27Y. OberleitnerD
6S. FofanaM
17T. SchiestlM
9D. MadernerF
2D. PinesD
7M. SatinM
22R. HarakateF
82B. OwusuD
8T. KochM
20T. SchrieblM