Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 13:00
La Liga
Spain
Spain
Full Time

Match Timeline

20'
Pape Gueye🟨
Yellow Card
31'
A. Perez
Normal Goal → A. Pedraza
42'
Umar Sadiq🟨
Yellow Card
45+2'
Ayoze Pérez🟨
Yellow Card
49'
Alberto Moleiro🟨
Yellow Card
56'
U. Sadiq🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Barrenetxea
57'
A. Moleiro
Normal Goal → A. Perez
60'
C. Soler
Normal Goal → T. Kubo
67'
Alfonso Pedraza🟨
Yellow Card
68'
G. Moreno🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Mikautadze
68'
P. Gueye🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Parejo
69'
Jon Martin🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Ander Barrenetxea🟨
Yellow Card
73'
Santiago Mouriño🟨
Yellow Card
74'
Luiz Júnior🟨
Yellow Card
77'
C. Soler🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Zakharyan
77'
G. Guedes🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Carrera
78'
A. Pedraza🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Cardona
79'
T. Buchanan🔄
Substitution 4 → I. Akhomach
84'
B. Mendez🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Goti Lopez
85'
T. Kubo🔄
Substitution 5 → B. Turrientes
86'
A. Perez🔄
Substitution 5 → T. Oluwaseyi
87'
A. Barrenetxea
Normal Goal
90'
Juan Foyth🟨
Yellow Card
90'
A. Moleiro
Normal Goal

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal4
17Total Shots10
4Blocked Shots1
8Shots insidebox6
9Shots outsidebox4
15Fouls18
8Corner Kicks2
1Offsides0
60Ball Possession40
3Yellow Cards7
1Goalkeeper Saves5
529Total passes355
454Passes accurate276
86Passes %78
1.07expected_goals1.58
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Real SociedadReal Sociedad1:1

Starting XI

1Álex RemiroG
17Sergio GómezD
18Carlos SolerM
11Gonçalo GuedesM
15Umar SadiqF
6Aritz ElustondoD
4Jon GorrotxategiM
23Brais MéndezM
31Jon MartinD
14Takefusa KuboM
2Jon AramburuD

VillarrealVillarreal1:1

Starting XI

1Luiz JúniorG
24Alfonso PedrazaD
20Alberto MoleiroM
22Ayoze PérezF
4Rafa MarínD
18Pape GueyeM
7Gerard MorenoF
8Juan FoythD
14Santi ComesañaM
15Santiago MouriñoD
17Tajon BuchananM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Form: W-D-W-W-W
Villarreal
Villarreal
Form: L-W-W-L-W
Record
5 W
2 D
3 L
5 W
1 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.6
Scored
vs
1.9
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
1.3
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:1.7
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.3
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.3

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1563
Average
1656
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1579
↑ Momentum (+16)
1745
↑ Momentum (+90)
Expected Outcome
26%
Home Win
30%
Draw
44%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1477
Attack
1651
1555
Defence
1598
Recent Form
1509
Attack
1695
1534
Defence
1645
Post-Match Changes
-9
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Sociedad Home Advantage vs Villarreal's Title Push
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+10.5%

Ag man, this is a proper La Liga clash! Let's break it down properly. Looking at the table, there's a massive gap between these two teams. Villarreal are sitting pretty in 3rd place with 29 points - they've been absolutely bossing it this season with 9 wins from 13 games. Real Sociedad are struggling down in 9th with just 16 points, nearly half of what Villarreal have collected. But here's the thing - Sociedad have been decent at home lately. They've won 75% of their last 4 home games, including that cracking 3-2 win over Athletic Club and a solid 2-1 against Sevilla. They're scoring goals at home too - averaging 1.5 per game at their own patch. Villarreal though... they just got smashed 4-0 by Dortmund in the Champions League. That's gotta hurt, ja? They've also played 2 games in the last 14 days while Sociedad have only played 1 - could be some fatigue creeping in there. Still, they're scoring for fun away from home - 1.83 goals per game on the road is impressive stuff. The head-to-head is pretty even - 4 wins for Sociedad, 3 for Villarreal, and 2 draws. Last time they met it was a 2-2 thriller, and both teams have scored in 5 of their 9 meetings. What I'm seeing is Sociedad's home form against Villarreal's overall quality. Sociedad are scoring freely at home but also letting goals in (1.2 per game). Villarreal are scoring plenty away but also conceding (1.33 per game). This has "both teams score" written all over it, especially with Sociedad's 70% BTTS rate in recent games. The odds for both teams to score at 1.70 look like good value to me. Both sides have the firepower to find the net, and neither defense has been exactly watertight.

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📝 Match Preview

Battle Of Contrasting Fortunes At Reale Arena
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+10.5%

In the grand tapestry of La Liga, two teams travel different paths to this moment. One, Villarreal, sits among the elite in third place with 29 points, their journey marked by nine victories from thirteen encounters. The other, Real Sociedad, finds themselves in ninth position with sixteen points, seeking to find consistency in their campaign. Recent form reveals much about the present state of these warriors. Real Sociedad arrives with momentum from a convincing 3-1 victory over Osasuna, though their path has been uneven with draws against Elche and Celta Vigo. At their home sanctuary, they have shown strength - winning three of their last four encounters there, including notable triumphs over Athletic Club (3-2) and Sevilla (2-1). Yet their defensive resolve remains questionable, having kept only two clean sheets in ten matches. Villarreal, despite a heavy 4-0 defeat to Borussia Dortmund in European competition, has displayed formidable form in domestic matters. Their recent La Liga performances speak of quality - a 2-1 victory over Mallorca, a 2-0 triumph at Espanyol, and an emphatic 4-0 dismantling of Rayo Vallecano. Their attacking prowess averages 1.90 goals per game, though their away form shows vulnerability with an equal split of victories and defeats. The head-to-head history between these sides speaks of balance. In nine previous meetings, Real Sociedad holds a slight edge with four wins to Villarreal's three, while two encounters ended in stalemate. Notably, when they last met, the result was a 2-2 draw, suggesting both sides possess the quality to breach the other's defenses. The wise observer notes that both teams arrive with attacking intent but defensive concerns. Real Sociedad has seen both teams score in 70% of their recent matches, while Villarreal maintains a 40% clean sheet rate but has shown defensive frailties away from home. The goal expectancy suggests both sides may find the net, with each projected to score 1.42 goals. Fatigue may play its part - Villarreal has had fewer days of rest and has played twice in the last fortnight compared to Real Sociedad's single outing. Yet in football, as in life, the mind often matters more than the body. The path of wisdom suggests both teams will score in this encounter. The odds of 1.70 for both teams to score offer value, considering Real Sociedad's home attacking form and Villarreal's away scoring record. In the balance of forces, goals appear likely from both sides.

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📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Expected When High-Flying Villarreal Visits Sociedad
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+15.6%

Get ready for some serious goal-scoring action, folks! The Big O is getting excited about this La Liga showdown between Real Sociedad and the league's third-place team Villarreal. When these two sides meet, we're talking about a perfect storm for goals, goals, and more goals! Let's break it down - Villarreal has been absolutely lethal in front of goal, averaging 1.90 goals per game over their last 10 matches. They've put up some serious numbers recently, including a 4-0 demolition of Rayo Vallecano and a 6-0 thrashing of Ciudad de Lucena in the Copa del Rey. Sure, they had a rough 4-0 loss to Dortmund, but that just shows they're not afraid to play open, attacking football - music to my ears! Real Sociedad might be sitting in 9th place, but they know how to find the back of the net too. They're averaging 1.60 goals per game and have been involved in some absolute thrillers lately. Check out their recent results: 3-1 against Osasuna, 3-2 versus Athletic Club, and a 3-0 cup win. That's the kind of exciting football I live for! Here's what really gets my motor running - Sociedad has seen both teams score in 70% of their last 10 matches. They're consistently involved in games where everyone gets in on the action. And while Villarreal's BTTS rate is lower at 30%, their recent form suggests they're opening up more, especially with that 2-2 draw against Real Betis. The head-to-head history tells us everything we need to know - 5 out of 9 meetings between these sides have gone Over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of those encounters. Their last meeting ended 2-2, which is exactly the kind of result that makes The Big O smile! With goal expectancy sitting at 2.84 total goals and both teams showing attacking intent mixed with defensive vulnerabilities, we're set up for a proper goal fest. Villarreal might be higher in the table, but Sociedad's home form (75% win rate at home) means they won't be sitting back - they'll be looking to attack too. This has all the ingredients for an absolute classic - both teams with something to prove, both capable of scoring, and neither looking particularly solid at the back. That's my kind of match!

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📝 Match Preview

Home Underdogs Ready to Shock High-Flying Villarreal
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.60
Expected Value:+19.6%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone's eyes are on third-placed Villarreal with their fancy 29 points, I'm looking at the real story - the home underdogs Real Sociedad who are ready to bite back! The Basque side might be sitting in 9th place, but their home form tells a completely different story. A fantastic 75% win rate in their last four home matches? That's the kind of underdog spirit that makes my tail wag! Let's look at the recent form, shall we? Real Sociedad have been absolutely scrappy and impressive lately. They just romped to a 3-1 victory away at Osasuna, followed that up with a thrilling 3-2 home win against Athletic Club, and before that, they edged out Sevilla 2-1 at home. These aren't just wins - these are statement performances against decent opposition! Their home fortress has been particularly strong, conceding only 1.0 goals per game while scoring 1.5. Now, about our visitors Villarreal... yes, they're flying high in third place, but have you seen their recent travels? They just suffered a humiliating 0-4 defeat at Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League. Before that, they lost 1-0 at Pafos. Their away form shows a 50% win rate, which hardly strikes fear into the heart of this underdog enthusiast! Plus, they've had less time to recover - only 5 days rest compared to Real Sociedad's 8 days. The head-to-head record is music to my underdog ears! Out of 9 meetings, Real Sociedad have actually won 4 times compared to Villarreal's 3. At home, it's perfectly balanced at 2-0-2. The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw, showing these teams are much closer than the league table suggests. What really excites me is the goal environment. Real Sociedad are averaging 1.6 goals per game recently and have been improving their attacking output. Villarreal might score more overall (1.9 per game), but they've shown defensive vulnerabilities, especially away from home where they concede 1.33 goals per game. The odds makers have Real Sociedad at 2.60 to win at home, implying about a 38.5% chance. But looking at their home form, the balanced head-to-head, Villarreal's recent defensive woes, and the extra rest days - I see a much bigger opportunity here! This is exactly the kind of situation where the little puppy can surprise the big dog.

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