Skip to main content

Match analysis

SpainLa Liga

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this La Liga fixture.

Match Timeline

17'
Koke⚽
Normal Goal
32'
Marc Pubill🟨
Yellow Card
37'
Pepelu⚽
Goal cancelled
42'
Alexander Sørloth🟨
Yellow Card
46'
N. Molina🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Le Normand
55'
D. Lopez🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Beltran
59'
N. Gonzalez🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Gallagher
59'
J. Alvarez🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Griezmann
59'
P. Barrios🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Almada
63'
L. Beltran⚽
Normal Goal → A. Almeida
71'
E. Comert🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Santamaria
72'
F. Ugrinic🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Guerra
74'
A. Griezmann⚽
Normal Goal → M. Pubill
78'
Alexander Sørloth⚽
Goal cancelled
82'
J. Vazquez🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Gaya
82'
Pepelu🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Ramazani
88'
Hugo Duro🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Thiago Almada🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal2
2Shots off Goal7
10Total Shots13
2Blocked Shots4
8Shots insidebox8
2Shots outsidebox5
13Fouls11
5Corner Kicks7
2Offsides1
46Ball Possession54
3Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
444Total passes514
368Passes accurate436
83Passes %85
1.01expected_goals1.28
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonWon

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia: Home Banker on the Cards

The pickAtletico Madrid win

Chance
85%
Odds
1.28
Model EV
+8.8%

Right, let's braai this one up properly. We've got a classic La Liga clash where the form book and the history book are telling the same story: Atletico Madrid should be too strong for Valencia at home. The stats don't lie, and my gut – fueled by a proper boerewors roll – says…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Atletico Madrid

8W 0D 2L2.40 pts/game

Valencia

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Atletico Madrid at home vs Valencia away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within La Liga

Overall edge
+172Atletico Madrid
Venue edge
+370Atletico Madrid
Rating period
Match snapshot
Atletico Madrid versus Valencia: long term Elo, before the match
Atletico MadridHomeRatingValenciaAway
Strength
1,704Overall1,532
1,818Match venue1,448
1,818At home1,572
1,592Away1,448
Attack & defence
1,590Attack1,452
1,655Defence1,570
1,678Home attack1,482
1,502Away attack1,420
1,651Home defence1,614
1,629Away defence1,502
Match profile
1,427Goal environment1,712
1,632Home goals1,635
1,295Away goals1,577
1,511Possession1,492
Specialist ratings
1,557Set-piece attack1,505
1,556Set-piece defence1,505
1,605Close games1,503
1,742Winning margin1,544

Match venue compares Atletico Madrid at home with Valencia away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1:1

Starting XI

13Jan OblakG
3Matteo RuggeriD
23Nicolás GonzálezM
19Julián AlvarezF
17Dávid HanckoD
6KokeM
9Alexander SørlothF
18Marc PubillD
8Pablo BarriosM
16Nahuel MolinaD
20Giuliano SimeoneM

ValenciaValencia1:1

Starting XI

25Julen AgirrezabalaG
3José CopeteD
21Jesús VázquezM
16Diego LópezF
24Eray CömertD
10André AlmeidaM
9Hugo DuroF
20Dimitri FoulquierD
18PepeluM
23Filip UgrinićM
12Thierry CorreiaM