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Match analysis

SpainLa Liga

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this La Liga fixture.

Match Timeline

35'
J. de Frutos⚽
Normal Goal
36'
Álvaro García⚽
Goal confirmed
39'
Mikel Jauregizar🟨
Yellow Card
40'
Isi Palazón🟨
Yellow Card
46'
U. Gomez🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Berenguer
47'
I. Williams⚽
Normal Goal → A. Berenguer
59'
I. Ruiz de Galarreta🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Rego
61'
G. Gumbau🔄
Substitution 1 → U. Lopez
61'
A. Garcia🔄
Substitution 2 → F. Perez
61'
N. Mendy🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Valentin
65'
Oihan Sancet🟨
Yellow Card
69'
I. Palazon🔄
Substitution 4 → P. Diaz
71'
Daniel Vivian🟨
Yellow Card
73'
J. Areso🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Gorosabel
85'
Ilias Akhomach🟨
Yellow Card
86'
I. Akhomach🔄
Substitution 5 → Alemao
86'
M. Jauregizar🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Vesga
86'
O. Sancet🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Sanchez

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal2
15Total Shots8
2Blocked Shots4
9Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox4
8Fouls17
5Corner Kicks4
3Offsides0
50Ball Possession50
2Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves6
310Total passes298
205Passes accurate196
66Passes %66
1.33expected_goals0.54
1goals_prevented1

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Rayo vs Athletic: Goals Galore at Vallecas?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
2.30
Model EV
+49.5%

Howzit my chinas! Grab a cold one and fire up the braai because we've got a lekker La Liga clash coming up this Saturday afternoon. Rayo Vallecano are hosting Athletic Club at the Estadio de Vallecas, and if the recent form is anything to go by, we might need extra beers to calm…

The Big "O"Lost

Over 2.5 Goals Value at Vallecas

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
2.30
Model EV
+49.5%

The Big O is back, and let me tell you, I've got my eye on a real afternoon delight when Rayo Vallecano welcome Athletic Club! We're not looking for a quiet cuddle – we want fireworks, end-to-end action, and the net bulging repeatedly. When it comes to goals, I always aim to go…

Umery UnderdogLost

Athletic Club Offer Value as Away Underdogs

The pickAthletic Club win

Chance
35%
Odds
3.00
Model EV
+5.0%

Hello my lovely little puppies! Umery Underdog here with a delightful La Liga clash from Vallecas. On Saturday 28th February, Rayo Vallecano host Athletic Club in what looks like a classic case of the market getting carried away with home advantage! Now, Rayo did produce an…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

The Force of Goals Awakens in Vallecas

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
2.30
Model EV
+38.0%

Much to consider, young bettor. Rayo Vallecano, near the relegation zone they dwell, yet signs of life in the Force, I sense. Athletic Club arrives with history heavy upon their shoulders—seven victories in nine meetings against these opponents, they hold. But the past, the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Rayo Vallecano

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Athletic Club

5W 1D 4L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Rayo Vallecano at home vs Athletic Club away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within La Liga

Overall edge
+43Athletic Club
Venue edge
+13Athletic Club
Rating period
Match snapshot
Rayo Vallecano versus Athletic Club: long term Elo, before the match
Rayo VallecanoHomeRatingAthletic ClubAway
Strength
1,538Overall1,581
1,531Match venue1,544
1,531At home1,638
1,483Away1,544
Attack & defence
1,437Attack1,480
1,583Defence1,580
1,458Home attack1,512
1,395Away attack1,458
1,581Home defence1,615
1,559Away defence1,585
Match profile
1,807Goal environment1,338
1,663Home goals1,460
1,643Away goals1,378
1,514Possession1,497
Specialist ratings
1,512Set-piece attack1,538
1,512Set-piece defence1,537
1,543Close games1,564
1,540Winning margin1,586

Match venue compares Rayo Vallecano at home with Athletic Club away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1:1

Starting XI

13A. BatallaG
22PachaD
15G. GumbauM
18A. GarciaM
19J. de FrutosF
32N. MendyD
6P. CissM
7I. PalazonM
24F. LejeuneD
12I. AkhomachM
2A. RatiuD

Athletic ClubAthletic Club1:1

Starting XI

1U. SimonG
17Y. BerchicheD
16I. Ruiz de GalarretaM
20U. GomezM
11G. GuruzetaF
14A. LaporteD
18M. JauregizarM
8O. SancetM
3D. VivianD
9I. WilliamsM
12J. AresoD