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Match analysis

SpainLa Liga

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this La Liga fixture.

Match Timeline

5'
A. Sorloth⚽
Normal Goal → J. M. Gimenez
9'
C. Soler⚽
Normal Goal → L. Sucic
20'
Dávid Hancko🟨
Yellow Card
46'
R. Mendoza🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Llorente
49'
Orri Steinn Óskarsson🟨
Yellow Card
53'
A. Lookman🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Griezmann
53'
G. Simeone🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Alvarez
54'
T. Almada🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Gonzalez
55'
P. Marin🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Guedes
56'
O. Oskarsson🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Oyarzabal
61'
Koke🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Cardoso
65'
A. Barrenetxea🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Zakharyan
67'
N. Gonzalez⚽
Normal Goal → A. Griezmann
68'
M. Oyarzabal⚽
Normal Goal
74'
L. Sucic🔄
Substitution 4 → B. Mendez
74'
C. Soler🔄
Substitution 5 → B. Turrientes
81'
N. Gonzalez⚽
Normal Goal → M. Ruggeri

Match Statistics

9Shots on Goal3
12Shots off Goal2
24Total Shots7
3Blocked Shots2
20Shots insidebox4
4Shots outsidebox3
6Fouls10
8Corner Kicks1
3Offsides1
52Ball Possession48
1Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
483Total passes462
398Passes accurate367
82Passes %79
2.29expected_goals0.41
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonWon

Atletico's Home Fortress Too Lekker for Sociedad

The pickAtletico Madrid win

Chance
68%
Odds
1.57
Model EV
+6.8%

Howzit boet! Grab a cold one and fire up the braai because this Saturday evening clash at the Metropolitano is going to be lekker. Atletico Madrid host Real Sociedad and if the stats are anything to go by, we're in for a proper football feast - just don't expect any salads at…

The Big "O"Won

Over 2.5 Goals Value as Atletico Host Sociedad

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

The Big O is absolutely throbbing with excitement for this La Liga clash, and trust me, when I get this feeling, goals usually follow. We're heading to the Metropolitano where Atletico Madrid have been putting on quite the exhibition lately, and I expect nothing less than a…

Value VinnyWon

Over 2.5 Goals the Value Play in Madrid Clash

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

The numbers don't lie, and they're screaming goals at the Metropolitano this Saturday. While the market has correctly identified Atletico Madrid as favorites given their 75% home win rate and dominant head-to-head record against Real Sociedad, the real betting value sits in the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Atletico Madrid

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Real Sociedad

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

Per game

Atletico Madrid at home vs Real Sociedad away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within La Liga

Overall edge
+114Atletico Madrid
Venue edge
+267Atletico Madrid
Rating period
Match snapshot
Atletico Madrid versus Real Sociedad: long term Elo, before the match
Atletico MadridHomeRatingReal SociedadAway
Strength
1,688Overall1,573
1,807Match venue1,540
1,807At home1,574
1,590Away1,540
Attack & defence
1,558Attack1,532
1,650Defence1,544
1,663Home attack1,533
1,482Away attack1,465
1,646Home defence1,556
1,631Away defence1,570
Match profile
1,420Goal environment1,670
1,637Home goals1,613
1,283Away goals1,557
1,519Possession1,499
Specialist ratings
1,549Set-piece attack1,523
1,548Set-piece defence1,523
1,609Close games1,537
1,709Winning margin1,583

Match venue compares Atletico Madrid at home with Real Sociedad away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1:1

Starting XI

13Jan OblakG
3Matteo RuggeriD
11Thiago AlmadaM
22Ademola LookmanF
17Dávid HanckoD
6KokeM
9Alexander SørlothF
2José María GiménezD
4Rodrigo MendozaM
16Nahuel MolinaD
20Giuliano SimeoneM

Real SociedadReal Sociedad1:1

Starting XI

1Álex RemiroG
17Sergio GómezD
7Ander BarrenetxeaM
9Orri Steinn ÓskarssonF
16Duje Ćaleta-CarD
18Carlos SolerM
24Luka SučićF
31Jon MartinD
12Yangel HerreraM
2Jon AramburuD
15Pablo MarínM