Match analysis
SpainLa Liga
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this La Liga fixture.
V. Vanat🔄
Santiago Mouriño🟨P. Navarro⚽Vitor Reis🟨A. Moleiro🔄S. Mourino🔄N. Pepe🔄I. Martin🔄D. Blind🔄Alfonso Pedraza🟨Fran Beltrán🟨A. Pedraza🔄A. Ounahi🔄A. Martinez🔄
Value VinnyLostThe pickVillarreal win
Odds don't lie — but bookies do. That's the mantra. Today we look at Girona hosting Villarreal in La Liga. The numbers tell a clear story, and the value is hiding in plain sight. First, the standings are stark. Villarreal sits 3rd with 58 points from 29 games. Girona is 14th…
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| GironaHome | Rating | VillarrealAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,524 | Overall | 1,702 |
| 1,540 | Match venue | 1,628 |
| 1,540 | At home | 1,673 |
| 1,502 | Away | 1,628 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,475 | Attack | 1,614 |
| 1,533 | Defence | 1,576 |
| 1,505 | Home attack | 1,647 |
| 1,467 | Away attack | 1,554 |
| 1,514 | Home defence | 1,566 |
| 1,518 | Away defence | 1,543 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,702 | Goal environment | 1,818 |
| 1,628 | Home goals | 1,825 |
| 1,573 | Away goals | 1,493 |
| 1,502 | Possession | 1,472 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,465 | Set-piece attack | 1,475 |
| 1,466 | Set-piece defence | 1,476 |
| 1,514 | Close games | 1,662 |
| 1,527 | Winning margin | 1,715 |
Match venue compares Girona at home with Villarreal away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Girona1:1Villarreal1:1
