Fri, 3 Apr 2026, 19:00
La Liga
Spain
Spain
Full Time

Match Timeline

22'
Pedro Bigas🟨
Yellow Card
39'
Pedro Bigas🟨
Yellow Card
39'
Pedro Bigas🟥
Red Card
45'
Rafa Mir🟨
Yellow Card
46'
R. Mir🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Pedrosa
63'
Álvaro Rodriguez🟨
Yellow Card
66'
I. Palazon🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Diaz
66'
O. Valentin🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Nteka
74'
R. Nteka
Normal Goal → A. Garcia
77'
A. Rodriguez🔄
Substitution 2 → Andre Silva
77'
M. Aguado🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Redondo Solari
77'
A. Febas🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Villar
83'
Alemao🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Camello
83'
Buba Sangare🔄
Substitution 5 → Y. Santiago
84'
A. Garcia🔄
Substitution 4 → Pacha
90+3'
J. de Frutos🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Martin

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal2
21Total Shots9
6Blocked Shots3
11Shots insidebox6
10Shots outsidebox3
17Fouls9
9Corner Kicks4
60Ball Possession40
0Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
410Total passes286
348Passes accurate210
85Passes %73
1.35expected_goals0.44
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1:1

Starting XI

13Augusto BatallaG
3Josep ChavarríaD
17Unai LópezM
18Álvaro GarcíaF
5Luiz FelipeD
23Óscar ValentínM
9AlemãoF
24Florian LejeuneD
7Isi PalazónM
19Jorge de FrutosF
2Andrei RațiuD

ElcheElche1:1

Starting XI

1Matías DituroG
21Léo PétrotD
15Tete MorenteM
10Rafa MirF
6Pedro BigasD
14Aleix FebasM
20Álvaro RodriguezF
22David AffengruberD
8Marc AguadoM
11Germán ValeraF
42Buba SangareM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Form: L-L-D-W-D
Elche
Elche
Form: W-L-L-D-L
Record
3 W
4 D
3 L
1 W
3 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
0.9
Conceded
vs
2.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
90%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:2.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1537
Average
1524
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1571
↑ Momentum (+34)
1579
↑ Momentum (+56)
Expected Outcome
34%
Home Win
34%
Draw
32%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1467
Attack
1494
1604
Defence
1485
Recent Form
1485
Attack
1536
1625
Defence
1471
Post-Match Changes
+6
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: Betting Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.00
Expected Value:+40.0%
Confidence:8

Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. Many goals, there will be. Look at the history, you must. Seven out of ten meetings, Over 2.5 Goals happened. A strong pattern, it is. Rayo Vallecano at home, they score. 1.60 goals per game, the data shows. Elche away, they concede. 2.80 goals conceded per game, a leaky defense it is. Combined, 3.10 expected goals. The math does not lie. Elche away form, poor it is. Zero wins in last five away games. Rayo home form, steady it is. 40% win rate. But the defense of Elche, weak it is. 90% Both Teams To Score rate for Elche. 60% for Rayo. Both teams scoring, likely it is. Value, you must find. The bookmakers say 2.00 for Over 2.5. Implied probability 50%. But history says 70%. Edge, significant it is. Do not bet on a single trend. Multiple signals, you need. H2H, xG, and defense stats all agree. Caution, always. Fatigue matters. 12 days rest for Rayo, 13 for Elche. Equal rest, it is. No advantage there. The path is clear. Over 2.5 Goals, the choice is. 70% chance, the data suggests. 8/10 confidence, I give. Do not try to predict the future. Look at the past, you should. The past speaks clearly. Key Points: - H2H: 70% of matches had Over 2.5 Goals. - Rayo Home xG: 2.20. Elche Away xG: 0.90. Total: 3.10. - Elche Away Conceded: 2.80 per game. - Market Odds: 2.00 (50% implied). True Probability: ~70%. Conclusion: Over 2.5 Goals is the wise choice.

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