Renzo Saraviaπ¨
Alex Morenoπ¨L. Ramazaniβ½U. Sadiqβ½C. EcheverriπA. MorenoπT. LemarπJ. Rocaβ½J. GuerraπL. BeltranπA. OunahiπD. BlindπRenzo SaraviaπU. SadiqπL. RamazaniπCristhian Stuaniπ¨Guido RodrΓguezπ¨
Value VinnyWonThe pickValencia win
Odds donβt lie β but bookies do. When you look at the numbers for Valencia versus Girona, the math points clearly toward the home side. The market prices a Valencia victory at 2.15, implying a 46.5% chance. However, the underlying data suggests the true probability sits closerβ¦
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| ValenciaHome | Rating | GironaAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,518 | Overall | 1,542 |
| 1,566 | Match venue | 1,511 |
| 1,566 | At home | 1,544 |
| 1,449 | Away | 1,511 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,470 | Attack | 1,485 |
| 1,559 | Defence | 1,545 |
| 1,503 | Home attack | 1,509 |
| 1,426 | Away attack | 1,469 |
| 1,572 | Home defence | 1,515 |
| 1,534 | Away defence | 1,529 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,720 | Goal environment | 1,703 |
| 1,650 | Home goals | 1,632 |
| 1,570 | Away goals | 1,572 |
| 1,492 | Possession | 1,502 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,525 | Set-piece attack | 1,470 |
| 1,524 | Set-piece defence | 1,471 |
| 1,486 | Close games | 1,527 |
| 1,529 | Winning margin | 1,547 |
Match venue compares Valencia at home with Girona away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Valencia1:1Girona1:1
