Skip to main content

Match analysis

SpainLa Liga

Valencia vs Atletico Madrid

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this La Liga fixture.

Match Timeline

29'
Thiago Almada🟨
Yellow Card
52'
Rodrigo Mendoza🟨
Yellow Card
59'
L. Rioja🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Lopez
59'
F. Ugrinic🔄
Substitution 2 → H. Duro
61'
Obed Vargas🟨
Yellow Card
63'
R. Belaid🔄
Substitution 1 → I. Luque
63'
J. Morcillo🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Cubo
67'
César Tárrega🟨
Yellow Card
73'
L. Ramazani🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Danjuma
73'
J. Gaya🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Vazquez
73'
T. Almada🔄
Substitution 3 → Koke
73'
R. Mendoza🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Griezmann
74'
I. Luque⚽
Normal Goal → O. Vargas
82'
Renzo Saravia🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Raba
82'
M. Cubo⚽
Normal Goal → A. Griezmann
83'
Miguel Cubo⚽
Goal confirmed
90+7'
J. Bonar🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Puric

Match Statistics

0Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal11
12Total Shots20
5Blocked Shots4
8Shots insidebox12
4Shots outsidebox8
9Fouls12
1Corner Kicks7
4Offsides4
53Ball Possession47
1Yellow Cards3
3Goalkeeper Saves0
470Total passes424
392Passes accurate353
83Passes %83
1.11expected_goals1.78
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (3)

The Big "O"Lost

Valencia vs Atletico Madrid: Over 2.5 Goals Preview

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
72%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+29.6%

Life’s too short for nil-nil, and this La Liga clash between Valencia and Atletico Madrid is shaping up to be a proper goal-fest. As The Big O, I’m here for the action, and the numbers scream goals. Let’s dive into why this fixture is primed for an open, high-scoring affair…

PajimonLost

Valencia vs Atletico Madrid: Home Win Preview

The pickValencia win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+24.1%

G’day, footy fans! It’s Pajimon here, ready to dig into this La Liga clash between Valencia and Atletico Madrid. Now, I don’t know about you, but when I look at the stats, it’s like a good braai – you want the meat, not the veggies! Let’s get straight to the action. Valencia…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Valencia

5W 1D 4L1.60 pts/game

Atletico Madrid

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Per game

Valencia at home vs Atletico Madrid away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within La Liga

Overall edge
+114Atletico Madrid
Venue edge
+22Valencia
Rating period
Match snapshot
Valencia versus Atletico Madrid: long term Elo, before the match
ValenciaHomeRatingAtletico MadridAway
Strength
1,535Overall1,649
1,576Match venue1,554
1,576At home1,805
1,449Away1,554
Attack & defence
1,478Attack1,585
1,561Defence1,590
1,509Home attack1,668
1,426Away attack1,498
1,573Home defence1,626
1,534Away defence1,587
Match profile
1,722Goal environment1,452
1,652Home goals1,650
1,570Away goals1,302
1,489Possession1,518
Specialist ratings
1,520Set-piece attack1,529
1,520Set-piece defence1,530
1,502Close games1,580
1,546Winning margin1,668

Match venue compares Valencia at home with Atletico Madrid away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ValenciaValencia1:1

Starting XI

1S. DimitrievskiG
14J. GayaD
23F. UgrinicM
6U. SadiqF
18PepeluD
2G. RodriguezM
17L. RamazaniF
5C. TarregaD
8J. GuerraM
20Renzo SaraviaD
11L. RiojaM

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1:1

Starting XI

1J. MussoG
34J. DiazD
11T. AlmadaM
29R. BelaidF
15C. LengletD
21O. VargasM
24R. Le NormandD
47J. MorcilloM
32J. BonarD
4R. MendozaM
16N. MolinaM