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Match analysis

UkrainePremier League

Obolon'-Brovar vs Polessya

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time0:4HT 0–2

Match Timeline

31'
O. Andriyevski⚽
Normal Goal → V. Veleten
39'
V. Veleten⚽
Normal Goal → O. Filippov
46'
M. Kravchenko🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Hadroj
46'
V. Shepelev🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Nazarenko
51'
S. Chobotenko⚽
Normal Goal → V. Veleten
59'
D. Ustymenko🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Bychek
59'
V. Kurko🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Kulakovskyi
60'
O. Andriyevski🔄
Substitution 3 → Talles Costa
62'
Borel Tomandzoto🟨
Yellow Card
63'
O. Filippov🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Gayduchyk
66'
D. Semenov🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Kozlov
66'
S. Sukhanov🔄
Substitution 4 → Y. Pasich
73'
M. Gayduchyk⚽
Normal Goal → Talles Costa
77'
V. Veleten🔄
Substitution 5 → T. Yosefi
80'
M. Chekh🔄
Substitution 5 → R. Chernenko
82'
Mykola Haiduchyk🟨
Yellow Card

Tipster previews (6)

Umery UnderdogLost

Underdog Alert: Obolon'-Brovar Ready to Bite

The pickObolon'-Brovar win

Chance
25%
Odds
5.35
Model EV
+33.8%

Hello fellow underdog enthusiasts! Today we've got a delightful matchup where our little puppy Obolon'-Brovar gets to host the higher-ranked Polessya, and I'm sensing some serious value here! Looking at the league table, you might think this is straightforward - Polessya sits…

Mr SimpleLost

Home Advantage vs Away Woes - Value in the Draw?

The pickDraw

Chance
35%
Odds
3.65
Model EV
+27.8%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Premier League clash between Obolon'-Brovar and Polessya. On paper, you'd think Polessya have this in the bag - they're sitting pretty in 5th place with 16 points, while Obolon' are down in 8th with 13. But football, my friends, is…

PajimonLost

Home Advantage Could Spoil Polessya's Party

The pickDraw

Chance
30%
Odds
3.65
Model EV
+9.5%

Alright boys, let's fire up the braai and break down this Premier League clash! On paper, you'd think Polessya sitting pretty in 5th should roll over 8th-placed Obolon'-Brovar, but football's not played on paper, hey? Looking at the recent form, both teams are actually identical…

Value VinnyLost

Value Alert: Home Win Heavily Underpriced

The pickObolon'-Brovar win

Chance
28%
Odds
5.35
Model EV
+49.8%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The bookmakers have Polessya as heavy favorites at 1.70, but they're ignoring one crucial piece of data: the head-to-head record. Obolon'-Brovar has NEVER lost at home to Polessya in 4 meetings (2W-2D-0L). That's a…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Obolon'-Brovar

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Polessya

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

Per game

Obolon'-Brovar at home vs Polessya away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+101Polessya
Venue edge
+95Polessya
Rating period
Match snapshot
Obolon'-Brovar versus Polessya: long term Elo, before the match
Obolon'-BrovarHomeRatingPolessyaAway
Strength
1,555Overall1,656
1,517Match venue1,612
1,517At home1,572
1,486Away1,612
Attack & defence
1,401Attack1,529
1,599Defence1,662
1,401Home attack1,493
1,408Away attack1,536
1,578Home defence1,626
1,544Away defence1,603
Match profile
1,382Goal environment1,448
1,428Home goals1,458
1,453Away goals1,490
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,567Close games1,580
1,552Winning margin1,678

Match venue compares Obolon'-Brovar at home with Polessya away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar1:1

Starting XI

1Nazariy FedorivskyiG
5Yevgeniy ShevchenkoD
24Yegor ProkopenkoM
9Denys UstymenkoF
37Valeriy DubkoD
6Maksym ChekhM
55Serhiy SukhanovF
3Vladyslav PryimakD
95Vasyl KurkoM
50Dmytro SemenovD
14Oleh IllinM

PolessyaPolessya1:1

Starting XI

23Yevgen VolynetsG
15Bogdan MykhaylichenkoD
22Vladyslav VeletenM
9Oleksandr FilippovF
5Eduard SarapiyyD
18Oleksandr AndriyevskyiM
44Serhii ChobotenkoD
29Borel TomandzotoM
4Mykyta KravchenkoD
19Volodymyr ShepelievM
45Maksym BragaruM