Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 11:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

20'
Illia Ukhan🟨
Yellow Card
21'
V. Roman⚽
Normal Goal β†’ V. Raileanu
55'
V. RaileanuπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ M. Sapuga
59'
GoulartπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ J. Behiratche
59'
S. BuletsaπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ H. Touati
68'
Y. KopynaπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ D. Pidgurskyi
68'
I. KvasnytsyaπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ V. Runich
72'
Fernando HenriqueπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ D. Shostak
72'
D. SkorkoπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ A. Kulakov
76'
Andrii Kulakov🟨
Yellow Card
76'
Bohdan Slyubyk🟨
Yellow Card
77'
Denys Shostak🟨
Yellow Card
77'
Ostap Prytula🟨
Yellow Card
85'
D. MyshnyovπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ D. Vashchenko
88'
B. FaalπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ D. Slyusar
88'
O. PrytulaπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ A. Kitela
90'
Hussayn Touati🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
Denys Pidgurskyi🟨
Yellow Card

Starting Lineups

OleksandriaOleksandria1:1

Starting XI

1Viktor DolhyiG
2Illia UkhanD
5Fernando HenriqueM
27Tedi CaraM
99Bryan CastilloF
4Arthur GoulartD
9Dmytro MyshniovM
86Anton BolD
8Serhii BuletsaM
22Danil SkorkoD
19JotaF

Ruh LvivRuh Lviv1:1

Starting XI

1Yuriy-Volodymyr GeretaG
4Vitaliy KholodD
73Rostyslav LiakhD
8Vlad RaileanuM
23Yurii KopynaD
10Ostap PrytulaM
99Baboucarr FaalF
92Bohdan SlyubykD
5Edson FernandoM
14Ilya KvasnytsyaM
93Vitalii RomanD

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Oleksandria
Oleksandria
Form: D-L-D-L-D
Ruh Lviv
Ruh Lviv
Form: W-L-L-L-D
Record
2 W
4 D
4 L
β€’
3 W
1 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
20%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:1.6
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:0.3
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:0.7

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1620
Good
1517
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1640
↑ Momentum (+20)
1494
↓ Momentum (-23)
Expected Outcome
46%
Home Win
29%
Draw
25%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1517
Attack
1466
1578
Defence
1591
Recent Form
1506
Attack
1467
1551
Defence
1582
Post-Match Changes
-17
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Relegation Battle: Draw Special on the Cards?
Recommendation:DRAW
Odds:3.00
Expected Value:+95.0%

Right then, let's get down to business with this bottom-of-the-table clash! Both Oleksandria and Ruh Lviv are stuck on 10 points in the relegation zone, and someone needs to start picking up points fast. But here's the thing - these two teams just can't seem to beat each other! Looking at the recent form, Oleksandria have been drawing for fun lately. They've shared the points with Zorya Luhansk (2-2), Kolos Kovalivka (1-1), Veres Rivne (1-1), and even Dynamo Kyiv (2-2). Their only two wins in the last 10 came against SK Poltava (1-0) and a cracking 4-1 victory over second-place LNZ Cherkasy. Not bad, hey? Ruh Lviv, on the other hand, have been struggling big time. They've lost four of their last six, including defeats to Veres Rivne (1-0), Zorya Luhansk (1-0), and LNZ Cherkasy (1-0). Their only recent win was a 4-2 thumping of Kudrivka, but let's be honest - that's like bragging about beating your little brother at FIFA! Now here's where it gets interesting. These two have met 8 times before, and get this - 7 of them have ended in draws! Oleksandria have NEVER beaten Ruh Lviv at home. Never! That's like trying to braai a steak without fire - just not happening! Ruh Lviv's away form is shocking too - they're scoring just 0.33 goals per away game. That's worse than my attempts at eating vegetables! Oleksandria aren't much better at home, scoring only 1.0 per game. Both teams are sitting on 10 points, both need the points, and historically they just cancel each other out. With Oleksandria's recent draw-fest and Ruh Lviv's away struggles, this has "stalemate" written all over it. Key Points: β€’ H2H record shows 7 draws in 8 meetings β€’ Oleksandria have never beaten Ruh Lviv at home (0 wins, 3 draws) β€’ Both teams level on 10 points in relegation zone β€’ Ruh Lviv scoring only 0.33 goals per away game β€’ Oleksandria have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches This looks like a classic case of two teams who are too evenly matched and historically just can't separate. The draw at 3.00 looks like proper value here!

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Relegation Battle: Low-Scoring Affair Expected
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.53
Expected Value:+4.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle in the Ukrainian Premier League. Two sides stuck in the muck at the bottom of the table, both sitting on 10 points and desperately needing a win to climb out of trouble. Oleksandria have been drawing for fun recently - four draws in their last ten games, including a 2-2 with Zorya Luhansk in their last outing. They've only managed two wins all season, and at home, it's been proper hit or miss with a 40% win rate but 60% loss rate. They're scoring just over a goal per game but leaking 1.5, which ain't great. Ruh Lviv, on the other hand, are absolutely shocking away from home. We're talking 0.33 goals per game on their travels - that's one goal every three matches! They've lost two-thirds of their away games and barely create anything. Their recent form shows a 4-2 win over Kudrivka, but before that, it was three straight losses without scoring. Now here's the proper juicy bit - these two sides have met eight times, and SEVEN of them have ended in draws! At home, Oleksandria have never beaten Ruh Lviv in three attempts. The last meeting was 1-1, and looking at the pattern, low-scoring draws seem to be the specialty here. Both teams are struggling to find the back of the net consistently, and when you factor in Ruh Lviv's away scoring record being worse than a broken pencil, you've got all the ingredients for a proper snoozefest. The goal expectations are telling us to expect less than a goal each, and with both teams averaging under 1.5 goals per game combined, the writing's on the wall for a low-scoring affair.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Bottom-Table Battle: Draw Value in Oleksandria vs Ruh Lviv
Recommendation:DRAW
Odds:3.00
Expected Value:+14.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the mathematical reality of this Premier League basement battle. Both sides arrive locked on 10 points, but the head-to-head data tells a story that the odds compilers seem to be missing. Oleksandria's recent form shows they've become draw specialists - four draws in their last ten matches, including creditable 2-2 results against Zorya Luhansk and Dynamo Kyiv. However, their home record tells a different story: just two wins in five home fixtures, with zero draws in that period. Ruh Lviv's away form is statistically dreadful. They're averaging a mere 0.33 goals per game on their travels, with three consecutive 1-0 defeats against Veres Rivne, Zorya Luhansk, and LNZ Cherkasy. Their defensive numbers away from home are solid (0.67 conceded per game), but they simply cannot score. Now for the crucial statistical anomaly: these two sides have met eight times, producing just one Oleksandria win and SEVEN draws. That's an 87.5% draw rate that defies normal football probability. Oleksandria have never beaten Ruh Lviv at home in three attempts. The goal expectancies (Home 0.83, Away 0.87) confirm we're looking at a low-scoring affair where neither side possesses attacking firepower. Both teams average exactly 1.00 point per game over their last ten matches, suggesting they're perfectly matched in current form. The market offers 3.00 for the draw, implying 33.3% probability. Given the overwhelming historical data and current form patterns, this represents clear mathematical value. Even if we regress the 87.5% H2H draw rate significantly, the true probability should sit closer to 38-40%. Key Points: β€’ Head-to-head shows 7 draws in 8 meetings (87.5%) β€’ Oleksandria have never beaten Ruh Lviv at home (0-3-0) β€’ Ruh Lviv average just 0.33 goals scored away from home β€’ Both teams identical on 10 points at bottom of table β€’ Goal expectancies: Home 0.83, Away 0.87 β€’ Draw at 3.00 offers mathematical value vs implied 33.3% probability The numbers don't lie here. While regression to the mean is inevitable, the draw is significantly underpriced given the historical dominance of this outcome and both teams' current scoring struggles.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Battle of the Bottom: Wisdom from the Depths
Recommendation:DRAW
Odds:3.00
Expected Value:+20.0%

In the grand tapestry of football, some matches hold more meaning than others. This, my friends, is such a contest. Two sides, equal in points yet different in spirit, meet in a dance of desperation. Oleksandria, though struggling, has shown resilience against the league's better teams. A 2-2 draw with Zorya Luhansk, another 2-2 with Dynamo Kyiv, and that magnificent 4-1 victory over second-placed LNZ Cherkasy reveal a team that cannot be underestimated. Yet the home form concerns me deeply. Three consecutive home defeats - 0-3 to Polessya, 0-1 to Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, 0-2 to Karpaty - speak of a fortress that has lost its walls. The force is weak in their own domain. Ruh Lviv travels with hope but little firepower. Their away form tells a story of struggle - merely 0.33 goals per game on their travels. Recent defeats of 1-0 to Veres Rivne, 1-0 to Zorya Luhansk, and 1-0 to LNZ Cherkasy paint a picture of a team that cannot find the net when far from home. Though they celebrated a 4-2 victory over Kudrivka, such bounty rarely comes on the road. The history between these sides whispers of stalemate. Eight meetings have produced but one victory and seven draws. Oleksandria has never defeated Ruh Lviv on home soil. The pattern is clear, the force of equilibrium strong. In matches where both sides seek redemption, often the wisest path is patience. Neither can afford defeat, yet neither possesses the strength to dominate. The low goal expectancy (0.83 for home, 0.87 for away) suggests a contest of caution rather than courage.

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