Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 11:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

11'
Anthony Musaba
Penalty cancelled
13'
Lionel Carole🟨
Yellow Card
25'
Anthony Musaba🟨
Yellow Card
30'
Tanguy Coulibaly🟨
Yellow Card
39'
Indrit Tuci🟨
Yellow Card
45'
C. Holse
Normal Goal → L. Tomasson
46'
R. Civelek🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Kapacak
48'
O. Ntcham🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Yuksel
50'
Logi Tomasson🟨
Yellow Card
60'
C. Mane🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Opoku
60'
I. Tuci🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Onugkha
62'
T. Coulibaly🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Kilinc
62'
Marius🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Ndiaye
64'
C. Holse
Normal Goal
65'
Y. Ait Bennasser🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Mendes
68'
Z. Yavru🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Mendes
68'
C. Holse🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Sousa
72'
R. Van Drongelen
Normal Goal
74'
F. Soyalp🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Tokoz
83'
G. Onugkha
Normal Goal → B. Kapacak

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal7
14Total Shots13
2Blocked Shots1
8Shots insidebox10
6Shots outsidebox3
14Fouls13
7Corner Kicks5
1Offsides2
55Ball Possession45
2Yellow Cards3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
407Total passes348
343Passes accurate285
84Passes %82
1.19expected_goals2.62
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

KayserisporKayserispor1:1

Starting XI

25Bilal BayazitG
23Lionel CaroleD
15Youssef Aït BennasserM
7Miguel CardosoM
22Indrit TuciF
54Arif KocamanD
33Furkan SoyalpM
8László BénesM
4Stefano DenswilD
20Carlos ManéM
28Ramazan CivelekD

SamsunsporSamsunspor1:1

Starting XI

1Okan KoçukG
17Logi TomassonD
29Antoine MakoumbouM
7Anthony MusabaM
9Marius MouandilmadjiF
4Rick Van DrongelenD
10Olivier NtchamM
37Ľubomír ŠatkaD
21Carlo HolseM
18Zeki YavruD
70Tanguy CoulibalyM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Kayserispor
Kayserispor
Form: L-D-L-D-D
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Form: D-W-D-W-D
Record
1 W
6 D
3 L
3 W
5 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
0.8
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.7
Conceded
vs
0.9
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.7
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1551
Average
1615
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1576
↑ Momentum (+25)
1672
↑ Momentum (+57)
Expected Outcome
28%
Home Win
31%
Draw
41%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1493
Attack
1529
1533
Defence
1613
Recent Form
1489
Attack
1520
1522
Defence
1627
Post-Match Changes
-13
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Samsunspor to Feast on Struggling Kayserispor
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.35
Expected Value:+34.0%
Confidence:75

Ag man, this one looks like a braai where one team brought the meat and the other brought... well, nothing! Kayserispor is sitting at the bottom of the Süper Lig table with a big fat ZERO wins this season. They've been getting hammered left, right, and center - 4-0 losses to Trabzonspor, Besiktas, and Galatasaray. Their only win this year was against some lower division team in a friendly, which doesn't count for much when you're playing proper football! Samsunspor on the other hand is sitting pretty in 7th place, solid as a rock at the back with 5 clean sheets in their last 10 games. They've been mixing it up with the big boys too - holding Fenerbahce to a 0-0 draw and winning away in Europe against Legia Warszawa. These guys know how to get results when it matters. The head-to-head tells the whole story - Samsunspor has won 5 out of 8 meetings against Kayserispor, including the last three. When you look at Kayserispor's home form, it's proper bleak - only winning 16.67% of their home games and scoring less than a goal per game. They couldn't score in a brothel with a fistful of cash! Samsunspor's away form is much better - 40% win rate on the road and they actually score more goals away from home (1.20 per game) than at home. They're coming off a decent run too, unbeaten in their last 3 matches across all competitions. Look, I love a good underdog story as much as the next ou, but this isn't it. Kayserispor is the worst team in the league by a country mile, and Samsunspor is exactly the kind of organized, solid team that will punish them. The odds of 2.35 for an away win look like finding a spare boerewors at the braai - proper value! Key Points: - Kayserispor is rock bottom of the league with 0 wins all season - Samsunspor sits 7th with a solid defensive record (50% clean sheets) - Head-to-head heavily favors Samsunspor (5 wins vs 2 in 8 meetings) - Kayserispor scores only 0.8 goals per game, Samsunspor concedes just 0.9 - Samsunspor has better away form (40% win rate) than Kayserispor's home form (16.67% win rate) - Recent results show Kayserispor getting hammered by top teams while Samsunspor competes well This one's straightforward - Samsunspor should win this comfortably. Kayserispor can't buy a win and their attack is more useless than a vegetarian at a braai. Take the away win and thank me later when you're counting your winnings!

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📝 Match Preview

The Force Favors Samsunspor in Kayseri Battle
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.35
Expected Value:+5.8%
Confidence:65

In the grand theater of Turkish football, a tale of two paths unfolds before us. One team searches desperately for their first victory, while the other marches steadily toward the light. The Force, it seems, has chosen its side in this encounter. Kayserispor, rooted to the bottom of the Süper Lig table with zero wins from eight matches, finds themselves in a dark place. Their recent form speaks of struggle - heavy defeats of 4-0 against Trabzonspor, Besiktas, and Galatasaray reveal a team that has lost its way. Five draws show they can resist, but victory remains elusive. At home, where they should find strength, they manage only 0.83 goals per game while conceding 1.67. The weight of expectation grows heavier with each passing match. Samsunspor, in contrast, walks a path of balance and purpose. Seventh in the table with thirteen points, they have learned the art of survival and advancement. Their defensive solidity shines through - a 50% clean sheet rate and just 0.9 goals conceded per game speaks of discipline. Away from home, they carry the confidence of warriors, with a 40% win rate on their travels. Recent draws against Fenerbahce and Gazişehir Gaziantep, plus a valuable victory at Legia Warszawa in European competition, show they fear no opponent. The head-to-head record whispers truths that statistics alone cannot tell. Five victories for Samsunspor against two for Kayserispor in eight meetings tells a story of dominance. Even on Kayserispor's home ground, the visitors hold the advantage. Wisdom teaches us that form, more than reputation, guides outcomes. Kayserispor's winless streak in the league weighs heavily, while Samsunspor's defensive organization and away form provide the foundation for success. The goal expectancy of 1.43 for Samsunspor against 0.92 for Kayserispor further illuminates the path ahead. Remember, young bettor: "Patience you must have, my young padawan." The patterns reveal themselves to those who watch closely. In this battle, the balance of power tilts decisively toward the visitors.

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📝 Match Preview

Samsunspor To Sink Winless Kayserispor
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.35
Expected Value:+5.8%
Confidence:65

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Turkish tussle. On paper, this looks about as one-sided as they come, but we're here to find value, not just back the obvious. Kayserispor are having an absolute shocker this season. Rock bottom of the table with zero wins from eight league games - that's not just bad, that's relegation form written all over it. They've been shipping goals for fun, getting hammered 4-0 by Trabzonspor, 4-0 by Besiktas, and 4-0 by Galatasaray. Their only 'win' came against some non-league side in a friendly. In the league, they're drawing 1-1 with everyone else, which tells you they can't score but can't keep a clean sheet either. Samsunspor, on the other hand, are sitting pretty in 7th place. They've been proper solid at the back, keeping five clean sheets in their last ten games. They've held Fenerbahce to a 0-0 draw, picked up a decent 1-0 win away at Legia Warszawa in Europe, and generally look like a team that knows what they're doing. The head-to-head doesn't make pretty reading for Kayserispor fans either. Samsunspor have won five of the eight meetings between these two, including the last three in a row. Even at home, Kayserispor only manage a 40% win rate against these lads. Now, let's talk numbers. Kayserispor are averaging just 0.80 goals scored while conceding 1.70 per game. Samsunspor are much more balanced with 1.00 scored and only 0.90 conceded. The goal expectancy has Samsunspor as clear favorites at 1.43 expected goals vs Kayserispor's 0.92. The bookies have Samsunspor at 2.35 for the away win, which seems decent value to me. They're the better team, in better form, with a better head-to-head record, playing against a side that can't buy a win. Sometimes the simple bet is the best bet, and this looks like one of those times. Key Points: - Kayserispor are winless in 8 league games (0 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses) - Samsunspor sit 7th in the table with 13 points from 8 games - Samsunspor have won 5 of 8 head-to-head meetings - Kayserispor have conceded 4+ goals in three of their last four games - Samsunspor have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 games Sometimes you've got to call it how you see it. Samsunspor are just too good for a Kayserispor side that's struggling at the wrong end of the table. The away win at 2.35 looks like the smart money here.

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