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Match analysis

TurkeySüper Lig

Kasımpaşa vs Göztepe

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Süper Lig fixture.

Full time0:2HT 0–0

Match Timeline

24'
Efkan Bekiroğlu🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Mortadha Ben Ouanes🟨
Yellow Card
52'
Juan Santos⚽
Normal Goal → Janderson
55'
Juan Santos⚽
Normal Goal → E. Bekiroglu
58'
Héliton🟨
Yellow Card
64'
G. Frimpong🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Fall
67'
E. Bekiroglu🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Olaitan
73'
Arda Kurtulan🟨
Yellow Card
78'
A. Szalai🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Kol
85'
Cafu🔄
Substitution 3 → Y. Barasi
86'
P. Gueye🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Tasdemir
89'
Juan Santos🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Ildiz
89'
A. Dennis🔄
Substitution 3 → Rhaldney
90+5'
A. Cherni🔄
Substitution 4 → I. Koybasi
90+5'
Janderson🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Bouajila

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal9
12Total Shots15
3Blocked Shots3
3Shots insidebox11
9Shots outsidebox4
7Fouls24
5Corner Kicks2
2Offsides1
68Ball Possession32
1Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
409Total passes200
321Passes accurate125
78Passes %63
0.46expected_goals2.11
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonWon

Goztepe To Grill Kasimpasa On The Road

The pickGöztepe win

Chance
60%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+26.0%

Ag man, this one looks like a proper braai where one team brought the meat and the other brought the salads! Let me tell you, Kasimpasa are struggling worse than a boerewors without fire. Sitting 14th in the table with only 10 points from 11 games, they've managed just 2 wins…

Mr CertaintyWon

Goztepe Set to Dominate Struggling Kasimpasa

The pickGöztepe win

Chance
68%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+42.8%

This matchup presents a clear hierarchy in Turkish football, with 5th-placed Goztepe visiting 14th-placed Kasimpasa in what appears to be a mismatch on paper. The data overwhelmingly favors the visitors across multiple key metrics. Goztepe has been one of the surprise packages…

Value VinnyWon

Goztepe's Defensive Solidity Offers Value Away

The pickGöztepe win

Chance
50%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+5.0%

The numbers paint a clear picture here, and I'm always on the hunt when the bookies get it wrong. Goztepe arrive as the statistical superior in every meaningful metric, sitting pretty in 5th with 19 points compared to Kasimpasa's 14th-place struggle on 10 points. That's not just…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Kasımpaşa

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Göztepe

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Kasımpaşa at home vs Göztepe away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Süper Lig

Overall edge
+51Göztepe
Venue edge
+43Kasımpaşa
Rating period
Match snapshot
Kasımpaşa versus Göztepe: long term Elo, before the match
KasımpaşaHomeRatingGöztepeAway
Strength
1,547Overall1,598
1,521Match venue1,478
1,521At home1,586
1,560Away1,478
Attack & defence
1,542Attack1,513
1,517Defence1,624
1,556Home attack1,525
1,537Away attack1,492
1,485Home defence1,612
1,534Away defence1,531
Match profile
2,318Goal environment1,685
2,025Home goals1,618
1,793Away goals1,567
1,490Possession1,473
Specialist ratings
1,525Set-piece attack1,495
1,524Set-piece defence1,495
1,514Close games1,527
1,554Winning margin1,631

Match venue compares Kasımpaşa at home with Göztepe away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

KasımpaşaKasımpaşa1:1

Starting XI

1Andreas GianniotisG
21Godfried FrimpongD
8CafúM
77Pape Habib GueyeF
41Attila SzalaiD
16Andri BaldurssonM
17Kubilay KanatsızkuşF
20Nicholas OpokuD
12Mortadha Ben OuanesM
4Adem ArousD
2Cláudio WinckD

GöztepeGöztepe1:1

Starting XI

1Mateusz LisG
26Malcom BokeleD
15Amine CherniM
11Efkan BekiroğluF
9Juan Santos da SilvaF
5HélitonD
20Novatus MiroshiM
39JandersonF
4Taha AltıkardeşD
30Anthony Junior DennisM
2Arda KurtulanM