Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 17:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

17'
Sekou Koita
Card upgrade
18'
Sekou Koita🟥
Red Card
33'
Emmanuel Agbadou🟨
Yellow Card
56'
J. Olaitan⚽
Normal Goal
66'
Pedro Pereira🟨
Yellow Card
67'
O. Kokcu⚽
Normal Goal
68'
M. Mimaroglu🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Canak
68'
G. Gurpuz🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Traore
73'
V. Cerny🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Rashica
73'
K. Asllani🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Under
83'
M. Niang🔄
Substitution 3 → H. Onyekuru
83'
F. Tongya🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Onur
83'
O. Kokcu🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Ucan
89'
J. Olaitan🔄
Substitution 4 → Jota Silva
89'
Oh Hyeon-Gyu🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Hekimoglu
90'
Z. Zuzek🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Hanousek
90+1'
Adama Malouda Traoré🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal10
11Total Shots24
2Blocked Shots7
7Shots insidebox14
4Shots outsidebox10
6Fouls10
6Corner Kicks10
2Offsides4
31Ball Possession69
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves4
215Total passes493
150Passes accurate441
70Passes %89
0.5expected_goals1.49
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.1:1

Starting XI

24Ricardo VelhoG
2Thalisson KelvenD
15Tom Dele-BashiruM
10Metehan MimaroğluM
29M'Baye NiangF
4Žan ŽužekD
70Franco TongyaM
6Dimitris GoutasD
22Sekou KoitaM
13Pedro PereiraD
11Göktan GürpüzM

BeşiktaşBeşiktaş1:1

Starting XI

30Ersin DestanoğluG
33Rıdvan YılmazD
4Wilfred NdidiM
15Junior OlaitanM
9Hyeon-gyu OhF
35Tiago DjalóD
10Orkun KökçüM
12Emmanuel AgbadouD
23Kristjan AsllaniM
62Amir MurilloD
18Václav ČernýM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Form: D-W-D-L-D
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
Form: L-W-W-W-W
Record
2 W
5 D
3 L
•
6 W
3 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
2.0
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.3

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Gençlerbirliği S.K. versus Beşiktaş: long term ELO, before the match
Gençlerbirliği S.K.HomeRatingBeşiktaşAway
Strength
1,495.7Overall1,710.5
1,534.6Match venue1,658.1
1,534.6At home1,665.6
1,387.3Away1,658.1
Attack & defence
1,465.4Attack1,610.4
1,524.2Defence1,622.7
1,490.7Home attack1,584.1
1,396.7Away attack1,574.8
1,518.4Home defence1,595.4
1,505.2Away defence1,632.4
Match profile
1,590Goal environment2,203.3
1,475Home goals1,923.3
1,615Away goals1,780
1,468.4Possession1,519.1
Specialist ratings
1,456.6Set-piece attack1,526.9
1,457.8Set-piece defence1,526
1,493.2Close games1,617.5
1,500.5Winning margin1,737.8

Match venue compares Gençlerbirliği S.K. at home with Beşiktaş away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Gençlerbirliği vs Beşiktaş: Betting Preview and Tips
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.60
Expected Value:+12.0%
Confidence:70

Welcome back to the Süper Lig preview. Today we have Ankara hosting a clash that tells a story of form, history, and value. Gençlerbirliği S.K. sit in 12th place with 25 points, while the visitors Beşiktaş are sitting pretty in 4th with 46 points. That is a massive 21-point gap in the table, and you can see it in the performance metrics. Gençlerbirliği have been struggling to find consistency this season. In their last 10 games, they managed just 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, averaging 1.10 points per game. At home, their win rate is a modest 20.00%, though they have been hard to beat recently. However, when you look at the specific matchup data, the story changes. The head-to-head record is brutal for the hosts. In 9 total matches against Beşiktaş, Gençlerbirliği have won 0 times, drawn 0 times, and lost 3 times at home. That is a 0.00% home win rate against this specific opponent. History suggests the visitors will dominate the narrative here. Beşiktaş come into this match in much stronger form. Their last 10 games show 6 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss, bringing in 2.10 points per game. Away from home, they have a 50.00% win rate and have not lost in their last 4 away games. They are averaging 1.75 goals scored per game on the road, which is significantly higher than Gençlerbirliği's 1.00 goals scored per game away from home. The statistical dominance is clear when you look at the attacking numbers. Beşiktaş averages 18.50 shots per game compared to Gençlerbirliği's 10.38. Possession also tells the tale, with Beşiktaş controlling 59.0% on average versus 44.0% for the hosts. Goal expectancy is another key factor. The model projects Home Goals at 1.32 and Away Goals at 1.48, totaling 2.80 expected goals. This supports a game with action, but the result is the primary angle. With Beşiktaş conceding just 1.00 goals per game in their last 10 and Gençlerbirliği conceding 1.30, the clean sheet is possible, but the attacking output suggests Beşiktaş will find the net. The odds reflect the gap in class, with the Away Win priced at 1.60. Given the 0-0-3 home record against them and the 21-point league disparity, the value is compelling. We are looking for the result here. The data points to a Beşiktaş control of possession and chances, forcing Gençlerbirliği to defend deep. While Gençlerbirliği might score given the BTTS percentage of 70.00% in their recent games, the visiting side has the firepower to secure all three points. We are backing the side that dominates the H2H and the league table. Remember, we are here to win. No vegetables, just straight meat on the board. We don't do politics or excuses, just data and results. If you want to follow the smart money on this one, look at the visitors. **Summary:** The stats and history heavily favor the visitors. Beşiktaş are the clear value pick to secure the win on the road. **Recommended Bet:** Away Win **Confidence:** 70% **Probability of Success:** 70%

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📝 Match Preview

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Beşiktaş Betting Preview & Prediction
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.60
Expected Value:+4.0%
Confidence:65

Hm, a match approaches for the Süper Lig. Gençlerbirliği S.K. versus Beşiktaş, it is. The date is set for March fifteenth, 2026. A challenge for the visitors, this represents. In the world of betting, one must listen to the data. Do not let emotion cloud the judgment. In the league table, fourth sits Beşiktaş. Points forty-six from twenty-five games played. Twelfth is Gençlerbirliği S.K. Points twenty-five. A gap in strength, there is. The table does not lie. Beşiktaş has six wins, three draws, and one loss in their last ten games. Points per game two point one. Gençlerbirliği has two wins, five draws, and three losses. Points per game one point one. Much better, this is for Beşiktaş. Look at the Away form for Beşiktaş. Fifty percent win rate. No losses in the last four away games. Strong, it is. They score two goals per game on average in the last ten. Gençlerbirliği at home? Twenty percent win rate. But they do not lose often. Eighty percent draws in last five home games. A stubborn side, they are. Yet, they concede one point two goals per game at home. Beşiktaş concedes one point two five goals per game away. But look to Head-to-Head. Nine matches played. Seven wins for Beşiktaş. Zero wins for Gençlerbirliği at home against them. History speaks, it does. Last meeting, October 2025. Two to one for the visitors. This is a pattern, this is. Stats show Beşiktaş creates more. Eighteen shots per game average. Gençlerbirliği ten point five. Possession sixty percent for Beşiktaş. Shot accuracy thirty-eight point five percent. Gençlerbirliği twenty-seven point nine percent. Fatigue? Six days rest for home. Eight for away. Both tired, but Beşiktaş manages better. Goal expectancies are one point three two home and one point four eight away. Total roughly two point eight goals. Market odds: Away Win is one point six zero. Implied probability sixty-two point five percent. I see more value here. The H2H record is dominant. The form is superior. Over two point five goals is one point seven three. Both teams to score is one point seven three. But Away Win at one point six zero offers the best certainty. Do not bet on the underdog here. The wise path is the Away Win. Confidence is high. Edge exists. A bet for you. Beşiktaş to win. In this league, the strong tend to prevail. Hm, a bet for you. Beşiktaş Away Win.

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📝 Match Preview

Gençlerbirliği vs Beşiktaş Prediction | Süper Lig Match Analysis & Betting Tips
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.73
Expected Value:+7.3%
Confidence:62

The Süper Lig continues to offer compelling value opportunities, and this weekend's fixture between Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Beşiktaş presents a clear mathematical edge. Standing 12th with 25 points, Gençlerbirliği are struggling for consistency, averaging just 1.10 points per game over their last 10 matches. In contrast, Beşiktaş sit 4th with 46 points, boasting a robust 2.10 points per game average and a 60% win rate in their last 10 fixtures. Form analysis reveals a significant disparity in goal output. Beşiktaş have scored 2.00 goals per game recently, with 1.75 goals per game in away fixtures specifically. Conversely, Gençlerbirliği have conceded 1.30 goals per game on average and only 1.20 scored. While Gençlerbirliği have drawn 80% of their last 5 home games, they have never beaten Beşiktaş at home in the last 9 meetings. The H2H record is heavily skewed toward the visitors, with 7 wins for Beşiktaş against 2 for the home side. The statistical model points toward a high-scoring encounter where both sides find the net. Gençlerbirliği's home Both Teams to Score rate stands at 70.00%, while Beşiktaş have seen BTTS occur in 60.00% of their away games. The goal expectancies provided by the data suggest a combined xG of 2.80, with Home at 1.32 and Away at 1.48. This volume of expected goals aligns perfectly with the BTTS market rather than just the goal line. Bookmakers offer Both Teams to Score Yes at 1.73, implying a 57.8% probability. Based on the combined team trends and goal expectancy, we estimate the true probability closer to 62%. This creates a positive Expected Value of approximately 4.2%, meeting our strict threshold for a value play. The draw risk is present, but it often leads to 1-1 scorelines which support the BTTS outcome. Our analysis confirms that the market odds for Both Teams to Score offer a measurable edge over the implied probability derived from the data. We prioritize Expected Value above all else, and this setup delivers the best risk-reward ratio for the match. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score Yes.

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