Match Timeline
Match Statistics
Starting Lineups
Gençlerbirliği S.K.1:1
Starting XI
Beşiktaş1:1
Starting XI
Head-to-Head
📈 Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,495.7 | Overall | 1,710.5 |
| 1,534.6 | Match venue | 1,658.1 |
| 1,534.6 | At home | 1,665.6 |
| 1,387.3 | Away | 1,658.1 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,465.4 | Attack | 1,610.4 |
| 1,524.2 | Defence | 1,622.7 |
| 1,490.7 | Home attack | 1,584.1 |
| 1,396.7 | Away attack | 1,574.8 |
| 1,518.4 | Home defence | 1,595.4 |
| 1,505.2 | Away defence | 1,632.4 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,590 | Goal environment | 2,203.3 |
| 1,475 | Home goals | 1,923.3 |
| 1,615 | Away goals | 1,780 |
| 1,468.4 | Possession | 1,519.1 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,456.6 | Set-piece attack | 1,526.9 |
| 1,457.8 | Set-piece defence | 1,526 |
| 1,493.2 | Close games | 1,617.5 |
| 1,500.5 | Winning margin | 1,737.8 |
Match venue compares Gençlerbirliği S.K. at home with Beşiktaş away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
Quick Links
📝 Match Preview
Welcome back to the Süper Lig preview. Today we have Ankara hosting a clash that tells a story of form, history, and value. Gençlerbirliği S.K. sit in 12th place with 25 points, while the visitors Beşiktaş are sitting pretty in 4th with 46 points. That is a massive 21-point gap in the table, and you can see it in the performance metrics. Gençlerbirliği have been struggling to find consistency this season. In their last 10 games, they managed just 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, averaging 1.10 points per game. At home, their win rate is a modest 20.00%, though they have been hard to beat recently. However, when you look at the specific matchup data, the story changes. The head-to-head record is brutal for the hosts. In 9 total matches against Beşiktaş, Gençlerbirliği have won 0 times, drawn 0 times, and lost 3 times at home. That is a 0.00% home win rate against this specific opponent. History suggests the visitors will dominate the narrative here. Beşiktaş come into this match in much stronger form. Their last 10 games show 6 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss, bringing in 2.10 points per game. Away from home, they have a 50.00% win rate and have not lost in their last 4 away games. They are averaging 1.75 goals scored per game on the road, which is significantly higher than Gençlerbirliği's 1.00 goals scored per game away from home. The statistical dominance is clear when you look at the attacking numbers. Beşiktaş averages 18.50 shots per game compared to Gençlerbirliği's 10.38. Possession also tells the tale, with Beşiktaş controlling 59.0% on average versus 44.0% for the hosts. Goal expectancy is another key factor. The model projects Home Goals at 1.32 and Away Goals at 1.48, totaling 2.80 expected goals. This supports a game with action, but the result is the primary angle. With Beşiktaş conceding just 1.00 goals per game in their last 10 and Gençlerbirliği conceding 1.30, the clean sheet is possible, but the attacking output suggests Beşiktaş will find the net. The odds reflect the gap in class, with the Away Win priced at 1.60. Given the 0-0-3 home record against them and the 21-point league disparity, the value is compelling. We are looking for the result here. The data points to a Beşiktaş control of possession and chances, forcing Gençlerbirliği to defend deep. While Gençlerbirliği might score given the BTTS percentage of 70.00% in their recent games, the visiting side has the firepower to secure all three points. We are backing the side that dominates the H2H and the league table. Remember, we are here to win. No vegetables, just straight meat on the board. We don't do politics or excuses, just data and results. If you want to follow the smart money on this one, look at the visitors. **Summary:** The stats and history heavily favor the visitors. Beşiktaş are the clear value pick to secure the win on the road. **Recommended Bet:** Away Win **Confidence:** 70% **Probability of Success:** 70%
Read Full Preview →📝 Match Preview
Hm, a match approaches for the Süper Lig. Gençlerbirliği S.K. versus Beşiktaş, it is. The date is set for March fifteenth, 2026. A challenge for the visitors, this represents. In the world of betting, one must listen to the data. Do not let emotion cloud the judgment. In the league table, fourth sits Beşiktaş. Points forty-six from twenty-five games played. Twelfth is Gençlerbirliği S.K. Points twenty-five. A gap in strength, there is. The table does not lie. Beşiktaş has six wins, three draws, and one loss in their last ten games. Points per game two point one. Gençlerbirliği has two wins, five draws, and three losses. Points per game one point one. Much better, this is for Beşiktaş. Look at the Away form for Beşiktaş. Fifty percent win rate. No losses in the last four away games. Strong, it is. They score two goals per game on average in the last ten. Gençlerbirliği at home? Twenty percent win rate. But they do not lose often. Eighty percent draws in last five home games. A stubborn side, they are. Yet, they concede one point two goals per game at home. Beşiktaş concedes one point two five goals per game away. But look to Head-to-Head. Nine matches played. Seven wins for Beşiktaş. Zero wins for Gençlerbirliği at home against them. History speaks, it does. Last meeting, October 2025. Two to one for the visitors. This is a pattern, this is. Stats show Beşiktaş creates more. Eighteen shots per game average. Gençlerbirliği ten point five. Possession sixty percent for Beşiktaş. Shot accuracy thirty-eight point five percent. Gençlerbirliği twenty-seven point nine percent. Fatigue? Six days rest for home. Eight for away. Both tired, but Beşiktaş manages better. Goal expectancies are one point three two home and one point four eight away. Total roughly two point eight goals. Market odds: Away Win is one point six zero. Implied probability sixty-two point five percent. I see more value here. The H2H record is dominant. The form is superior. Over two point five goals is one point seven three. Both teams to score is one point seven three. But Away Win at one point six zero offers the best certainty. Do not bet on the underdog here. The wise path is the Away Win. Confidence is high. Edge exists. A bet for you. Beşiktaş to win. In this league, the strong tend to prevail. Hm, a bet for you. Beşiktaş Away Win.
Read Full Preview →📝 Match Preview
The Süper Lig continues to offer compelling value opportunities, and this weekend's fixture between Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Beşiktaş presents a clear mathematical edge. Standing 12th with 25 points, Gençlerbirliği are struggling for consistency, averaging just 1.10 points per game over their last 10 matches. In contrast, Beşiktaş sit 4th with 46 points, boasting a robust 2.10 points per game average and a 60% win rate in their last 10 fixtures. Form analysis reveals a significant disparity in goal output. Beşiktaş have scored 2.00 goals per game recently, with 1.75 goals per game in away fixtures specifically. Conversely, Gençlerbirliği have conceded 1.30 goals per game on average and only 1.20 scored. While Gençlerbirliği have drawn 80% of their last 5 home games, they have never beaten Beşiktaş at home in the last 9 meetings. The H2H record is heavily skewed toward the visitors, with 7 wins for Beşiktaş against 2 for the home side. The statistical model points toward a high-scoring encounter where both sides find the net. Gençlerbirliği's home Both Teams to Score rate stands at 70.00%, while Beşiktaş have seen BTTS occur in 60.00% of their away games. The goal expectancies provided by the data suggest a combined xG of 2.80, with Home at 1.32 and Away at 1.48. This volume of expected goals aligns perfectly with the BTTS market rather than just the goal line. Bookmakers offer Both Teams to Score Yes at 1.73, implying a 57.8% probability. Based on the combined team trends and goal expectancy, we estimate the true probability closer to 62%. This creates a positive Expected Value of approximately 4.2%, meeting our strict threshold for a value play. The draw risk is present, but it often leads to 1-1 scorelines which support the BTTS outcome. Our analysis confirms that the market odds for Both Teams to Score offer a measurable edge over the implied probability derived from the data. We prioritize Expected Value above all else, and this setup delivers the best risk-reward ratio for the match. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score Yes.
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