Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 14:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

40'
I. Hagi🔄
Substitution 1 → I. Kaya
42'
I. Kaya
Normal Goal → N. Lima
43'
Ibrahim Kaya🟨
Yellow Card
46'
M. Bayo🔄
Substitution 1 → Y. Kabadayi
52'
D. Camara🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Rodrigues
61'
Florent Hadergjonaj🟨
Yellow Card
63'
K. Kozlowski
Normal Goal → K. Rodrigues
69'
G. Yalcin🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Keskin
70'
N. Janvier🔄
Substitution 3 → Maestro
76'
A. Kizildag🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Abena
76'
L. Perez🔄
Substitution 4 → K. Gassama
80'
Christophe Lungoyi🟨
Yellow Card
81'
Kévin Rodrigues🟨
Yellow Card
82'
G. Makouta🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Karaca
82'
Hwang Ui-Jo🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Mounie
89'
C. Lungoyi🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Dragus
90+6'
Efecan Karaca🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal2
15Total Shots8
5Blocked Shots3
8Shots insidebox5
7Shots outsidebox3
16Fouls20
2Corner Kicks2
3Offsides2
58Ball Possession42
2Yellow Cards3
2Goalkeeper Saves4
489Total passes354
428Passes accurate279
88Passes %79
0.83expected_goals1.15
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK1:1

Starting XI

20Zafer GörgenG
4Arda KızıldağD
11Christophe LungoyiM
44Alexandru MaximF
23Tayyip Talha SanuçD
3Drissa CamaraM
9Mohamed BayoF
30Nazım SangaréD
6Melih KabasakalM
10Kacper KozłowskiM
2Luis PérezM

AlanyasporAlanyaspor1:1

Starting XI

48Paulo VictorG
50Ümit AkdağD
11RuanM
16Ui-Jo HwangF
10Güven YalçınF
5Fidan AlitiD
17Nicolas JanvierM
14Ianis HagiF
3Nuno LimaD
42Gaius MakoutaM
94Florent HadergjonajM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Gaziantep FK
Gaziantep FK
Form: L-W-D-L-D
Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor
Form: W-D-D-L-L
Record
3 W
2 D
5 L
3 W
3 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
1.9
Scored
1.9
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:1.7
Away:2.3
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1547
Average
1571
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1550
↑ Momentum (+3)
1578
↑ Momentum (+7)
Expected Outcome
31%
Home Win
34%
Draw
35%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1485
Attack
1497
1525
Defence
1590
Recent Form
1491
Attack
1503
1516
Defence
1586
Post-Match Changes
-1
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor - The Big O's Goal-Fest Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+22.4%
Confidence:7

Life’s too short for nil-nil, and this fixture screams for goals! The Big O is here to tell you why the Over 2.5 Goals market is where the action lies. Gaziantep FK has been leaking goals at home, conceding an average of 2.00 per game on their patch. Meanwhile, Alanyaspor is a scoring machine on the road, averaging 2.25 goals per game away from home. When you add the goal expectancies provided in the data—1.38 for Gaziantep and 2.12 for Alanyaspor—you get a total expected goal count of 3.50. That’s a recipe for fireworks. Looking at the head-to-head record, 6 out of the last 10 meetings finished with Over 2.5 goals. Sure, the last meeting ended 0-0, but the trend is clear: goals are the name of the game here. Gaziantep’s recent form shows they are scoring 1.50 goals per game but conceding 1.90, while Alanyaspor is averaging 1.90 scored and 1.50 conceded in their last 10 matches. Both teams have a 70% Both Teams to Score rate, which further supports the Over market. The bookies have set the Over 2.5 Goals odds at 1.80. With a calculated probability of success around 68% based on the goal expectancies, there is significant value here. The edge is well above the 6% threshold required for a solid long-term profit. Alanyaspor’s away attack is firing, and Gaziantep’s home defense is porous. Expect a high-scoring affair. So, don’t be the one betting on the Under when the stats scream Over. The Big O is backing the goals. Get your slips ready for the Over 2.5 Goals.

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📝 Match Preview

Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+22.4%
Confidence:7

Right, let's have a proper chat about this Süper Lig clash. Gaziantep FK hosting Alanyaspor is a classic mid-table scrap. Both teams are sitting right in the middle of the table – Gaziantep on 33 points, Alanyaspor on 31. It's tight, but the numbers tell a different story when you look at the goals. Gaziantep are conceding a lot. In their last 10 games, they've let in 1.9 goals per game on average. At home, that figure is even worse at 2.00 goals conceded per game. Alanyaspor, on the other hand, are firing on all cylinders. They're scoring 1.9 goals per game in their last 10, and away from home, that jumps to 2.25 goals per game. When you combine a leaky defence with a hungry attack, you're looking at a high-scoring affair. The head-to-head record is quite telling. Alanyaspor have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, with Gaziantep only winning 2. In recent clashes, Alanyaspor have scored freely – look at the 0-3 and 0-3 results in 2024. While the most recent meeting ended 0-0, the goal expectancy for this fixture is set at 3.5 total goals. That's a strong signal for action. The bookies are offering 1.80 for Over 2.5 Goals. Based on the goal expectancy and the teams' recent form, the probability of seeing three or more goals is around 68%. That gives us a nice edge over the bookmaker's implied probability of 55.6%. It's not a guaranteed win, but the value is there. Key Points: - Gaziantep concedes 1.9 goals per game (10-game average). - Alanyaspor scores 2.25 goals per game away. - Head-to-Head: Alanyaspor dominates with 6 wins to Gaziantep's 2. - Goal Expectancy suggests 3.5 total goals. - Over 2.5 Goals offers value at 1.80. So, here's the call. With both teams showing high goal rates and the H2H history favouring goals, the smart play is to back the action. The stats back a high-scoring game, and the odds offer a decent edge. My pick is Over 2.5 Goals.

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📝 Match Preview

Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor: Goal Expectancy Analysis
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+22.4%
Confidence:7

Listen, you must. To the numbers, pay attention. A match this is, where goals are expected, many. Gaziantep FK at home, defense is leaky, 2.00 goals conceded per game. Alanyaspor away, attack is strong, 2.25 goals scored per game. Together, 3.50 goals expected, the math says. History, we must check. In 10 meetings, Alanyaspor wins 6 times. Over 2.5 goals happened in 6 of those matches. A pattern, there is. Odds of 1.80, the bookies offer. Implied probability, 55.56% it is. But the stats say 68% chance, the data suggests. Edge of 12%, clear it is. Do or do not bet, there is no try. But hedge your bets, you should. Over 2.5 Goals, the choice is. Key Points: - Gaziantep Home Conceded: 2.00/game - Alanyaspor Away Scored: 2.25/game - H2H: 6/10 matches Over 2.5 - Goal Expectancy: 3.50 total - Odds: 1.80 The path is clear. Over 2.5 Goals, we choose.

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