Match analysis
PortugalPrimeira Liga
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Primeira Liga fixture.
Nacional were beaten 2-1 at home by Arouca on Saturday 20 September 2025 (Primeira Liga). At the break it was 0-0. Nacional had 15 shots and Arouca 10, with Nacional enjoying 58% possession.
J. Ramirez (66') scored for Nacional. For Arouca, B. Popovic (74') and E. van Ee (89') were on target. Nacional lost Matheus Dias to a red card in the 80th minute. In the 85th minute, Jose Fontán saw red for Arouca.
In 14 meetings since September 2013, Nacional have won two, Arouca have taken seven and five were drawn. Every tip we publish on the two sides together sits on our Nacional vs Arouca prediction page.
3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| NacionalHome | Rating | AroucaAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,449 | Overall | 1,546 |
| 1,444 | Match venue | 1,520 |
| 1,444 | At home | 1,528 |
| 1,382 | Away | 1,520 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,441 | Attack | 1,499 |
| 1,514 | Defence | 1,529 |
| 1,462 | Home attack | 1,467 |
| 1,380 | Away attack | 1,496 |
| 1,482 | Home defence | 1,540 |
| 1,516 | Away defence | 1,530 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,730 | Goal environment | 1,508 |
| 1,590 | Home goals | 1,493 |
| 1,640 | Away goals | 1,515 |
| 1,488 | Possession | 1,503 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,500 | Set-piece attack | 1,495 |
| 1,500 | Set-piece defence | 1,495 |
| 1,413 | Close games | 1,550 |
| 1,455 | Winning margin | 1,546 |
Match venue compares Nacional at home with Arouca away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.