Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 15:30
Full Time
1:1
HT: 0 - 1

Match Timeline

5'
S. Garcia
Normal Goal → Murilo de Souza
33'
Zé Carlos🟨
Yellow Card
42'
Pablo Felipe
Penalty confirmed
46'
S. Bane🔄
Substitution 1 → Pedro Lima
46'
Ze Carlos🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Hevertton
65'
Santi García🟨
Yellow Card
71'
Kiki🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Rivas
71'
Tomane🔄
Substitution 3 → Nene
71'
T. Akinsola🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Duarte
75'
S. Garcia🔄
Substitution 2 → Ze Carlos
75'
J. Fernandes🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Fernandez
75'
Pablo🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Varela
76'
Gustavo Varela🟨
Yellow Card
79'
Gustavo Assunção🟨
Yellow Card
80'
R. Semedo🔄
Substitution 5 → Ponck
82'
Marvin Elimbi🟨
Yellow Card
84'
Zé Carlos🟨
Yellow Card
87'
Nene
Normal Goal → Pedro Lima
89'
Murilo de Souza🔄
Substitution 5 → T. Toure

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal5
15Total Shots12
3Blocked Shots2
13Shots insidebox10
2Shots outsidebox2
12Fouls19
1Corner Kicks4
0Offsides1
44Ball Possession56
1Yellow Cards5
4Goalkeeper Saves7
335Total passes432
262Passes accurate347
78Passes %80
1.77expected_goals1.95
1goals_prevented1

Starting Lineups

AVSAVS1:1

Starting XI

99Joao GoncalvesG
24KikiD
15J. GrauM
14O. PereaM
7TomaneF
42C. DevenishD
6G. AssuncaoM
2D. SpencerM
35R. SemedoD
11T. AkinsolaM
4S. BaneD

GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1:1

Starting XI

42A. da Silva VenturaG
3G. KonanD
10L. EstevesM
11J. FernandesM
9PabloF
39J. BuatuD
5F. CaseresM
95S. GarciaM
4M. ElimbiD
77Murilo de SouzaM
2Ze CarlosD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

AVS
AVS
Form: D-L-W-L-L
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
Form: W-W-L-W-L
Record
1 W
2 D
7 L
6 W
1 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.3
Scored
vs
1.4
Scored
2.1
Conceded
vs
0.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
70%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
20%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.6
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:2.2
Away:2.0
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:0.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1434
Average
1549
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1375
↓ Momentum (-59)
1597
↑ Momentum (+48)
Expected Outcome
24%
Home Win
29%
Draw
47%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1423
Attack
1457
1425
Defence
1649
Recent Form
1382
Attack
1453
1359
Defence
1730
Post-Match Changes
+2
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

GIL Vicente to feast on struggling AVS
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.73
Expected Value:+12.4%

Ag man, this one looks like a proper braai where one team brought the meat and the other brought... well, nothing! AVS is absolutely kak this season - sitting dead last in the Primeira Liga with only 2 points from 10 games. They haven't won a single match all season and their home form is shocking stuff - 0 wins in their last 5 home games with an 80% loss rate. They're scoring just 0.60 goals at home while letting in 2.20. That's not football, that's just giving away points! On the other side, GIL Vicente is flying high in 4th place with 22 points. These boys know how to win - 6 victories in their last 10 games and their defense is tighter than a boerewors on the braai! They've kept clean sheets in 70% of their matches and only concede 0.60 goals per game. Recent results show they're no joke - smashing Alverca 4-0, beating Santa Clara 1-0, and taking down Estrela 2-0. The stats don't lie here. GIL Vicente takes 14 shots per game to AVS's 9.44, and gets 5 shots on target compared to AVS's pathetic 2.67. They're also much better with the ball - 79.2% pass accuracy vs 74.4%. Yeah, AVS did beat them 1-0 at home earlier this year, but that was probably just luck! GIL Vicente is averaging 1.90 points per game while AVS is scraping by with 0.50. This is like watching a Springbok play against a school team - there's only going to be one winner here.

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📝 Match Preview

GIL Vicente Set for Dominant Away Victory
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.73
Expected Value:+24.6%

This Primeira Liga clash presents one of the most clear-cut mismatches of the season based on current form and statistical performance. AVS sits rock bottom of the table with just 2 points from 10 matches, while GIL Vicente occupies 4th place with 22 points - a massive 20-point gap that tells the story of these teams' contrasting seasons. AVS's home form has been nothing short of disastrous. They've failed to win a single home game this season, losing 80% of their matches on their own patch. Their defensive record is alarming, conceding 2.2 goals per game at home while scoring only 0.6. Recent results show they managed a 2-2 draw against 17th-placed Tondela, but suffered defeats against Santa Clara (2-0), Alverca (3-1), and Estrela (3-0). Their only victory in the last 10 games came against lower division opposition in the cup (7-0), which highlights their struggles against Primeira Liga competition. In stark contrast, GIL Vicente has been exceptional this season. Their defensive record is outstanding with a 70% clean sheet rate and just 0.6 goals conceded per game overall. Away from home, they've maintained a solid 40% win rate, averaging 1.4 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded. Recent away performances include impressive victories at Alverca (4-0) and SC Braga (1-0), demonstrating their ability to perform on the road against quality opposition. The statistical disparity is overwhelming. GIL Vicente averages 14 shots per game with 35.5% accuracy, compared to AVS's 9.44 shots with just 29.9% accuracy. The visitors also boast superior pass accuracy (79.2% vs 74.4%) and have shown much greater consistency throughout the season. While AVS did win the previous home meeting 1-0 in January, that result came against a very different context. Current form suggests that pattern is unlikely to repeat, especially given GIL Vicente's dramatic improvement this season and AVS's continued struggles. Key Points: • AVS has the worst home record in the league (0% win rate) • GIL Vicente boasts a 70% clean sheet rate this season • Visitors have won 6 of their last 10 matches • AVS concedes 2.2 goals per game at home • GIL Vicente has recent away wins against Alverca (4-0) and SC Braga (1-0) • 20-point gap in league standings highlights quality difference Summary: The data overwhelmingly points to a GIL Vicente victory. Their defensive solidity combined with AVS's porous home defense and poor overall form creates a scenario where the away win appears highly probable. The visitors' superior shot accuracy, pass completion, and recent results against quality opposition further reinforce this conclusion. This represents exactly the type of situation where discipline and patience pay off - avoiding risky bets and focusing on clear statistical advantages.

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📝 Match Preview

The Force Strong With GIL Vicente
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.73
Expected Value:+12.4%

In the grand tapestry of football's destiny, two paths converge. One team, AVS, finds themselves at the bottom of the Primeira Liga, having gathered but 2 points from 10 matches. Their journey has been fraught with struggle - 8 defeats, 2 draws, and not a single victory to their name. The Force has not been with them, especially on their home ground where they have failed to win in 5 attempts, scoring a mere 0.60 goals per game while conceding 2.20. GIL Vicente, however, walks a different path. Sitting 4th in the league with 22 points, they have demonstrated mastery in 7 of their 10 encounters. Their recent form speaks of wisdom and discipline - 6 victories in their last 10 matches, with an impressive 70% clean sheet rate. Away from home, they have found balance, scoring 1.40 goals per game while conceding only 0.80. The recent results tell a tale of two destinies. AVS managed a 2-2 draw against Tondela, but fell to Santa Clara (2-0), Alverca (3-1), and Estrela (3-0). Their only victory came against lower opposition in the cup, a 7-0 triumph that speaks more of their opponent's weakness than their strength. GIL Vicente, meanwhile, has been collecting victories like a Jedi collects wisdom - 1-0 against Santa Clara, 4-0 at Alverca, 2-0 against Estrela and Estoril. Their only defeats came against the league's giants - Benfica and FC Porto. Though history shows AVS won 1-0 when these teams last met in January, the current form suggests the Force has shifted. GIL Vicente's defensive solidity, combined with AVS's home struggles (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses in last 5 home games), creates a compelling narrative. In football, as in life, momentum matters. GIL Vicente carries it like a lightsaber - sharp, focused, and deadly. AVS carries the burden of expectation without the results to match. Key Points: • AVS remains winless in the league after 10 matches, sitting bottom with just 2 points • GIL Vicente sits 4th with 22 points, having won 7 of their 10 matches • AVS has failed to win in 5 home games this season (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses) • GIL Vicente boasts a 70% clean sheet rate in their last 10 matches • AVS scores only 0.60 goals per game at home while conceding 2.20 • GIL Vicente averages 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded away from home • The visitors have won 4 of their last 6 league matches • AVS has drawn their last two matches but both came against bottom-half opposition The path forward seems clear. While the home advantage may offer some resistance, the quality gap and form difference are too significant to ignore. GIL Vicente's defensive discipline and attacking efficiency should prevail against a side struggling to find their footing.

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📝 Match Preview

Bottom Boys vs Top Four: Goals Likely at a Premium
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+8.6%

Right then, let's have a proper gander at this one. It's a classic tale of two sides going in completely opposite directions, innit? AVS are propping up the entire Primeira Liga table with just 2 points from 10 games - no wins, 2 draws, 8 losses. They're getting battered week in, week out, shipping goals like there's no tomorrow with a -17 goal difference. Meanwhile, GIL Vicente are living it up in 4th place with 22 points on the board. They've been proper solid this season, winning 7 of their 10 games and keeping things tight at the back. The stats don't lie here - there's a massive gulf between these two teams. Looking at recent form, AVS have been shocking. In their last 10, they've managed just 1 win (and that was a 7-0 hammering of some lower division side in the cup), 2 draws, and 7 defeats. At home, it's even worse - they haven't won a single game at their own patch all season, scoring just 0.6 goals per game while letting in 2.2. That's not championship form, is it? GIL Vicente, on the other hand, are flying. 6 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses in their last 10. The key stat for me is they've kept 7 clean sheets in those 10 games - that's a 70% clean sheet rate! They're only conceding 0.6 goals per game, which is proper solid. Away from home, they're still decent with a 40% win rate. The head-to-head is interesting though - only 2 meetings ever. AVS actually won 1-0 at home back in January, so they've got some historical advantage against these lot. But that was then and this is now. When you look at the attacking stats, GIL Vicente are much more potent - 14 shots per game vs AVS's 9.44, and 5 on target vs 2.67. They're also more accurate with their shooting. But here's the thing for me - this looks like a low-scoring affair. AVS can't buy a goal at home, and GIL Vicente are tight as a drum at the back. The goal expectancies back this up - just 0.70 for AVS and 1.80 for GIL Vicente. Key Points: • AVS are rock bottom with 0 wins at home all season • GIL Vicente sitting pretty in 4th with 7 clean sheets in 10 games • AVS scoring just 0.6 goals per game at home • GIL Vicente conceding only 0.8 goals per game away • Head-to-head shows AVS won 1-0 at home in January • Both teams tend to be involved in low-scoring games recently The betting odds have GIL Vicente as clear favorites at 1.73, but there's not much value there for me. The smart money looks to be on goals being at a premium. Both teams' recent records point towards a tight, low-scoring game, and that's where I'm putting my cash.

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