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Match analysis

PortugalPrimeira Liga

Moreirense vs Famalicao

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Primeira Liga fixture.

Full time2:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

19'
Tom Van De Looi🟨
Yellow Card
21'
Y. Zabiri⚽
Normal Goal → Gil Dias
46'
Kiko🔄
Substitution 1 → Michel
46'
Marcelo🔄
Substitution 2 → Kiko Bondoso
47'
Guilherme Schettine⚽
Normal Goal → Landerson
57'
G. Sa⚽
Normal Goal → I. Ba
64'
Guilherme Schettine🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Semedo
65'
Bernardo🔄
Substitution 4 → V. Sousa
73'
Maracás🟨
Yellow Card
73'
Justin De Haas🟨
Yellow Card
75'
Alan🟨
Yellow Card
79'
Rodrigo Pinheiro🟨
Yellow Card
80'
D. Pinto⚽
Normal Goal → Alanzinho
81'
Y. Zabiri🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Elisor
83'
Lazar Carević🟨
Yellow Card
83'
M. Stjepanovic🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Assis
88'
Maracás🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Vasco Sousa🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Maracás🟥
Red Card
88'
Mathias De Amorim🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
Sorriso🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Joujou

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal6
11Total Shots17
2Blocked Shots3
4Shots insidebox13
7Shots outsidebox4
17Fouls22
5Corner Kicks4
1Offsides0
48Ball Possession52
4Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves4
391Total passes407
321Passes accurate334
82Passes %82
1.19expected_goals1.82
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Umery UnderdogLost

Moreirense Ready to Bark Against Famalicao

The pickMoreirense win

Chance
38%
Odds
3.60
Model EV
+36.8%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone might be looking at Famalicao as the favorites, my underdog senses are tingling with excitement for Moreirense! Let me tell you why these little puppies might just surprise everyone. Looking at the league table, you'll…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Battle of Mid-Table Minds

The pickFamalicao win

Chance
58%
Odds
2.05
Model EV
+18.9%

In the grand tapestry of Primeira Liga, two sides separated by mere points yet worlds apart in approach, they are. Moreirense, the 6th placed warriors with 18 points, live by the code of extremes - 6 victories, 5 defeats, but no draws to balance their path. Famalicao, sitting…

Value VinnyLost

Famalicao's Away Form Creates Value Opportunity

The pickFamalicao win

Chance
53%
Odds
2.05
Model EV
+8.6%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the numbers. Moreirense sit 6th with 18 points, Famalicao 5th with 19 - virtually identical league positions, but the underlying data tells a different story. Moreirense's recent form reads 4 wins, 0 draws, 6 losses - that's a concerning…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Moreirense

4W 0D 6L1.20 pts/game

Famalicao

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Moreirense at home vs Famalicao away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Primeira Liga

Overall edge
+48Famalicao
Venue edge
+58Moreirense
Rating period
Match snapshot
Moreirense versus Famalicao: long term Elo, before the match
MoreirenseHomeRatingFamalicaoAway
Strength
1,569Overall1,617
1,591Match venue1,533
1,591At home1,579
1,475Away1,533
Attack & defence
1,523Attack1,495
1,550Defence1,656
1,513Home attack1,479
1,457Away attack1,496
1,579Home defence1,654
1,525Away defence1,559
Match profile
1,418Goal environment1,538
1,458Home goals1,473
1,460Away goals1,565
1,495Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,478Set-piece attack1,511
1,479Set-piece defence1,511
1,539Close games1,521
1,581Winning margin1,650

Match venue compares Moreirense at home with Famalicao away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

MoreirenseMoreirense1:1

Starting XI

13A. FerreiraG
27KikoD
11AlanzinhoM
78LandersonF
26MaracasD
8M. StjepanovicM
95Guilherme SchettineF
44MarceloD
20BernardoM
2TravassosF
76D. PintoD

FamalicaoFamalicao1:1

Starting XI

25L. CarevicG
28Pedro BondoD
14M. De AmorimM
7SorrisoM
21Y. ZabiriF
16J. De HaasD
6T. Van de LooiM
20G. SaM
55I. BaD
23Gil DiasM
17R. PinheiroD