Match analysis
PortugalPrimeira Liga
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Primeira Liga fixture.
Sandro LimaSandro Lima🟥Nabil Touaizi🟨Kaiky Naves🟨Figueiredo🔄
Puche🔄H. Lee⚽Tiago Esgaio🟨B. Popovic🔄D. Nandin🔄Lincoln🟨Amorim🔄Lincoln🔄N. Djouahra🔄E. van Ee🔄B. Meupiyou🔄S. Abdulai🔄Francisco Chissumba🟨Arouca beat Alverca 1-0 on Sunday 14 December 2025 in a Primeira Liga fixture. At the break it was 0-0. Arouca had 18 shots and Alverca 5, with Arouca enjoying 69% possession.
H. Lee (59') scored for Arouca. Alverca lost Sandro Lima to a red card in the 22nd minute.
2W 1D 7L0.70 pts/game
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| AroucaHome | Rating | AlvercaAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,490 | Overall | 1,527 |
| 1,503 | Match venue | 1,500 |
| 1,503 | At home | 1,509 |
| 1,499 | Away | 1,500 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,484 | Attack | 1,495 |
| 1,470 | Defence | 1,524 |
| 1,439 | Home attack | 1,477 |
| 1,507 | Away attack | 1,517 |
| 1,512 | Home defence | 1,511 |
| 1,493 | Away defence | 1,501 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,542 | Goal environment | 1,505 |
| 1,500 | Home goals | 1,495 |
| 1,542 | Away goals | 1,510 |
| 1,492 | Possession | 1,490 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,460 | Set-piece attack | 1,464 |
| 1,461 | Set-piece defence | 1,465 |
| 1,540 | Close games | 1,496 |
| 1,477 | Winning margin | 1,532 |
Match venue compares Arouca at home with Alverca away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Arouca1:1Alverca1:1
PajimonLostThe pickAlverca win
Lekker, let's talk about this Primeira Liga clash. On one side, you've got Arouca sitting 17th with a goal difference of -23, the worst in the league. On the other, Alverca comfortably in 9th. This isn't a braai where both teams bring good meat; this looks like one side forgot…
The Big "O"LostThe pickOver 2.5
The Primeira Liga serves up a classic relegation-battler versus mid-table clash this weekend, and from where I'm sitting, it has all the ingredients for a proper goal-fest. Arouca, rooted in 17th place, welcome an Alverca side sitting comfortably in 9th. On paper, it might not…
Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLostThe pickOver 2.5
At the foot of the table, Arouca finds itself. Great trouble, they are in. With only nine points from thirteen games, their position is precarious. At home, even more concerning, their form is. No victories in their last four home matches, there have been. Scored only once in…
Mr SimpleLostThe pickOver 2.5
Right then, let's have a proper look at this Primeira Liga scrap. It's Arouca, propping up the table, welcoming a mid-table Alverca side. On paper, it's a classic 'strugglers vs. comfortable' clash, but the numbers tell a story that's more one-sided than a Sunday league match…
Value VinnyLostThe pickAlverca win
Right, let's cut through the noise. On paper, this is a mid-table side visiting a relegation battler. But the numbers tell a far more compelling story, and for a value hunter like me, they're screaming one thing: the market has mispriced the away win. Arouca aren't just…
In two meetings since December 2025, Arouca have won one and Alverca have taken one. Every tip we publish on the two sides together sits on our Arouca vs Alverca prediction page.
