Skip to main content

Match analysis

PortugalPrimeira Liga

Nacional vs Rio Ave

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Primeira Liga fixture.

Full time4:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

34'
Gabriel Veron⚽
Normal Goal → Ze Vitor
46'
F. Petrasso🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Liavas
46'
B. Aguilera Zamora🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Pohlmann
46'
J. Ramirez⚽
Normal Goal → A. Nunez
52'
Léo Santos🟨
Yellow Card
61'
J. Silva🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Labidi
67'
D. Spikic🔄
Substitution 3 → Diogo Bezerra
67'
Andre Luiz🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Papakanellos
72'
Leo Santos⚽
Normal Goal → Jose Gomes
77'
Paulinho Boia🔄
Substitution 2 → Witi
77'
Gabriel Veron🔄
Substitution 3 → Daniel Junior
77'
J. Tome🔄
Substitution 5 → O. Richards
85'
Ze Vitor🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Liziero🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Sousa
88'
J. Ramirez🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Joao
90'
Witi⚽
Normal Goal → Matheus Dias
90+2'
José Gomes🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal2
14Total Shots11
1Blocked Shots3
10Shots insidebox9
4Shots outsidebox2
18Fouls6
5Corner Kicks5
0Offsides6
47Ball Possession53
3Yellow Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves1
347Total passes401
277Passes accurate345
80Passes %86
1.53expected_goals0.47
-2goals_prevented-2

Tipster previews (5)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Defences in Disarray: Goals Flow in Madeira

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
70%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+22.5%

A battle in the lower half, this is. Nacional, 14th with 17 points, hosts Rio Ave, 11th with 20 points. Close in the table, they are. Yet, in recent form, clues we find. Nacional's path, troubled it has been. Just one victory in their last ten matches, that lone 3-1 win over…

Value VinnyLost

Relegation Scrap Offers Value in the Draw

The pickDraw

Chance
40%
Odds
3.25
Model EV
+30.0%

Alright, let's crunch the numbers on this Primeira Liga basement battle. Nacional (14th, 17 points) host Rio Ave (11th, 20 points) in a genuine six-pointer. On the surface, it's a match between two struggling sides, but my job isn't to judge the quality of football—it's to find…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Nacional

1W 3D 6L0.60 pts/game

Rio Ave

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Nacional at home vs Rio Ave away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Primeira Liga

Overall edge
+87Rio Ave
Venue edge
+32Rio Ave
Rating period
Match snapshot
Nacional versus Rio Ave: long term Elo, before the match
NacionalHomeRatingRio AveAway
Strength
1,451Overall1,538
1,448Match venue1,480
1,448At home1,548
1,388Away1,480
Attack & defence
1,485Attack1,507
1,494Defence1,512
1,503Home attack1,501
1,392Away attack1,465
1,465Home defence1,542
1,519Away defence1,502
Match profile
1,748Goal environment1,405
1,613Home goals1,428
1,635Away goals1,477
1,482Possession1,487
Specialist ratings
1,458Set-piece attack1,436
1,459Set-piece defence1,438
1,408Close games1,524
1,461Winning margin1,539

Match venue compares Nacional at home with Rio Ave away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

NacionalNacional1:1

Starting XI

1Kaique PereiraG
5Jose GomesD
28LizieroM
11Paulinho BoiaF
38Ze VitorD
6Matheus DiasM
9J. RamirezF
34Leo SantosD
26J. SilvaM
27Gabriel VeronF
16A. NunezD

Rio AveRio Ave1:1

Starting XI

22K. ChamorroG
6N. AbbeyD
17M. VrousaiM
18D. SpikicF
9ClaytonF
32J. BrabecD
10B. Aguilera ZamoraM
11Andre LuizF
23F. PetrassoD
44T. NikitscherM
20J. TomeM