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Match analysis

Portugal flagPortugalPrimeira Liga

Nacional vs Casa Pia

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Primeira Liga fixture.

Full time0:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

46'
Casa PiaT. Morais🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Marques
64'
Casa PiaKaly🟨
Yellow Card
71'
Casa PiaJ. Livolant🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Osundina
71'
Casa PiaR. Brito🔄
Substitution 3 → I. Mohamed
77'
Casa PiaI. Mohamed🟨
Yellow Card
80'
Casa PiaCassiano🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Mendes
83'
NacionalLeo Santos🟨
Yellow Card
84'
NacionalJose Gomes🔄
Substitution 2 → Witi
84'
NacionalGabriel Veron🔄
Substitution 1 → Daniel Junior
85'
NacionalM. Baeza🟨
Yellow Card
86'
Casa PiaA. Geraldes🟨
Yellow Card
89'
NacionalM. Baeza🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Silva
90+2'
NacionalPaulinho Boia🔄
Substitution 4 → Pablo Ruan

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal3
12Shots off Goal4
21Total Shots9
5Blocked Shots2
11Shots insidebox5
10Shots outsidebox4
15Fouls11
12Corner Kicks1
0Offsides7
69Ball Possession31
2Yellow Cards3
3Goalkeeper Saves4
483Total passes224
402Passes accurate151
83Passes %67
0.97expected_goals0.64
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

The Big "O"The Big "O"Lost

Primeira Liga's Party Poopers Set for a Goal-Fest?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+21.0%

Alright, let's talk about the kind of football that gets me excited. We've got two teams in the lower half of the Primeira Liga, both desperate for points, and both with defenses that have more holes than a sieve. Nacional hosting Casa Pia might not be a glamour tie, but for us…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

NacionalNacional

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Casa PiaCasa Pia

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Per game

Nacional at home vs Casa Pia away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Primeira Liga

Overall edge
+40Casa Pia
Venue edge
+41Casa Pia
Rating period
Match snapshot
Nacional versus Casa Pia: long term Elo, before the match
NacionalNacionalHomeRatingCasa PiaCasa PiaAway
Strength
1,468Overall1,508
1,462Match venue1,502
1,462At home1,496
1,387Away1,502
Attack & defence
1,504Attack1,491
1,513Defence1,504
1,518Home attack1,467
1,399Away attack1,484
1,480Home defence1,536
1,524Away defence1,503
Match profile
1,755Goal environment1,473
1,618Home goals1,432
1,637Away goals1,542
1,481Possession1,482
Specialist ratings
1,447Set-piece attack1,454
1,448Set-piece defence1,456
1,403Close games1,543
1,490Winning margin1,497

Match venue compares Nacional at home with Casa Pia away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

NacionalNacional1:1

Starting XI

1KaiqueG
5José GomesD
8Miguel BaezaM
11Paulinho BóiaF
38Ze VitorD
6Matheus DiasM
9Jesús RamírezF
34Léo SantosD
28LizieroM
27Gabriel VeronF
16Alan NúñezD

Casa PiaCasa Pia1:1

Starting XI

1Patrick SequeiraG
18André GeraldesD
5Abdu ContéM
21Tiago MoraisF
3Domingos Jose Gabriel BandeiraD
8Rafael BritoM
90CassianoF
4João GoulartD
80Lawrence OforiM
29Jérémy LivolantF
72Gaizka LarrazabalM