Match analysis
PortugalPrimeira Liga
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Primeira Liga fixture.
Tiago Esgaio🟨
Chiheb Labidi🟨M. Baeza🔄A. Trezza⚽Chiheb Labidi🟨Chiheb Labidi🟥Ivan Barbero🟨Espen Van Ee🟨Ze Vitor🟨N. Djouahra🔄I. Barbero🔄H. Lee⚽Matheus Dias🔄J. Ramirez🔄D. Nandin⚽Gabriel Veron🔄Hyun-ju Lee🟨Paulinho Boia🔄Hyun-ju Lee🟨Hyun-ju Lee🟥Tiago Esgaio🔄E. van Ee🔄A. Trezza🔄It finished Arouca 3-0 Nacional on Saturday 21 February (Primeira Liga). It was goalless at half-time, with Arouca doing the damage after the restart. Arouca had 61% of the ball, and the shot count went 15-10 to Nacional.
A. Trezza (47'), H. Lee (67') and D. Nandin (72') got on the scoresheet for Arouca. Nacional lost Chiheb Labidi to a red card in the 51st minute. In the 83rd minute, Hyun-ju Lee saw red for Arouca.
Five of our six tips landed, with Arouca to win and over 2.5 goals coming in.
4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| AroucaHome | Rating | NacionalAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,519 | Overall | 1,467 |
| 1,524 | Match venue | 1,387 |
| 1,524 | At home | 1,460 |
| 1,497 | Away | 1,387 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,514 | Attack | 1,484 |
| 1,484 | Defence | 1,536 |
| 1,472 | Home attack | 1,495 |
| 1,507 | Away attack | 1,399 |
| 1,514 | Home defence | 1,503 |
| 1,498 | Away defence | 1,524 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,553 | Goal environment | 1,742 |
| 1,510 | Home goals | 1,605 |
| 1,543 | Away goals | 1,637 |
| 1,502 | Possession | 1,486 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,472 | Set-piece attack | 1,460 |
| 1,473 | Set-piece defence | 1,461 |
| 1,553 | Close games | 1,405 |
| 1,514 | Winning margin | 1,487 |
Match venue compares Arouca at home with Nacional away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Arouca1:1Nacional1:1
PajimonWonThe pickArouca win
Howzit my bru! Grab a cold one and pull up a chair because we've got a lekker clash in the Primeira Liga this Saturday afternoon. Arouca hosting Nacional at 15:30, and let me tell you, this is the kind of fixture that could put some serious meat on the braai! Arouca comes into…
The Big "O"WonThe pickOver 2.5
When The Big O looks at this Primeira Liga clash, I see a match absolutely dripping with potential for a satisfying climax. Arouca hosting Nacional has all the hallmarks of a net-busting spectacle that should deliver the kind of high-scoring action we crave. Arouca's recent home…
Umery UnderdogLostThe pickNacional win
Hello my fellow puppy lovers! Umery Underdog here, sniffing around the Primeira Liga for some hidden value where the big bookies fear to tread. Today we're heading to Arouca, where the home side sit 12th with 23 points, hosting my little underdog puppies Nacional down in 14th…
Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWonThe pickArouca win
In the depths of the Primeira Liga, where the light of the top three fades into the mid-table shadows, wisdom we must seek. Arouca and Nacional meet, separated by merely two points yet divided by a greater force—the power of home advantage, strong with the hosts it is. Arouca…
Mr SimpleWonThe pickArouca win
Right then, gather round for this Saturday afternoon scrap in the Primeira Liga! Arouca host Nacional in what looks a proper relegation six-pointer, with both sides hovering dangerously close to the drop zone. Arouca sit 12th on 23 points, just two ahead of Nacional down in…
Value VinnyWonThe pickArouca win
The Primeira Liga's basement battleground throws up a fascinating value proposition this weekend as Arouca host Nacional. While the table shows these sides separated by just two points in the lower reaches, the underlying mathematics and venue dynamics paint a very different…
The head-to-head covers 14 games since September 2013, and Arouca have won seven, Nacional have taken two and five were drawn. Every tip we publish on the two sides together sits on our Arouca vs Nacional prediction page.
