Fri, 3 Apr 2026, 14:30
Full Time
3:0
HT: 2 - 0

Match Timeline

11'
G. Varela
Normal Goal → L. Esteves
20'
Tomané🟨
Yellow Card
34'
Murilo de Souza
Normal Goal
45+2'
Antonio Espigares🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Ponck🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Duarte
64'
G. Konan🔄
Substitution 1 → Weverson
64'
F. Caseres🔄
Substitution 2 → Ze Carlos
71'
A. Green🔄
Substitution 2 → Kiki
71'
D. Rivas🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Perea
76'
A. Moreira🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Fernandes
76'
L. Esteves🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Fernandez
80'
G. Varela
Normal Goal
82'
Tomane🔄
Substitution 4 → Nene
82'
T. Akinsola🔄
Substitution 5 → G. Neiva
87'
Zé Carlos🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Murilo de Souza🔄
Substitution 5 → G. Pinto Martins

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal1
16Total Shots11
3Blocked Shots7
10Shots insidebox3
6Shots outsidebox8
8Fouls15
3Corner Kicks1
1Offsides1
59Ball Possession41
2Yellow Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
482Total passes334
418Passes accurate271
87Passes %81
1.91expected_goals0.42
-1goals_prevented-1

Starting Lineups

GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1:1

Starting XI

99Figueira DanielG
3G. KonanD
95S. GarciaM
27A. MoreiraM
89G. VarelaF
39J. BuatuD
5F. CaseresM
10L. EstevesM
48A. EspigaresD
77Murilo de SouzaM
2Ze CarlosD

AVSAVS1:1

Starting XI

1AdrielG
12D. RivasD
23G. MendoncaM
25A. GreenF
3Paulo VitorD
26PonckM
7TomaneF
33A. SantosD
8Pedro LimaM
11T. AkinsolaF
97Mateus PivoD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
Form: L-D-D-L-L
AVS
AVS
Form: D-L-D-D-L
Record
4 W
2 D
4 L
1 W
5 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.7
Scored
vs
0.9
Scored
1.6
Conceded
vs
1.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.4
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:2.0
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1567
Average
1405
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1630
↑ Momentum (+63)
1363
↓ Momentum (-42)
Expected Outcome
53%
Home Win
26%
Draw
21%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1500
Attack
1400
1593
Defence
1460
Recent Form
1550
Attack
1358
1577
Defence
1485
Post-Match Changes
+8
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

GIL Vicente vs AVS: Goal-Filled Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+14.7%
Confidence:7

Welcome back, goal-hungry fans! I'm The Big O, and life is simply too short for nil-nil affairs. Today, we're diving into the Primeira Liga clash between GIL Vicente and AVS. With the goal expectancy sitting at a juicy 3.22, this fixture screams for action. GIL Vicente at home is a force to be reckoned with. Their home goal average is a robust 2.40 per game, and they've kept just one clean sheet in their last 10 matches. That's a 10% clean sheet rate, meaning goals are flowing both ways. On the other side, AVS away from home concedes 1.83 goals per game. Combine that with Vicente's attacking prowess, and you've got a recipe for a high-scoring affair. Looking at the Head-to-Head history, the last three meetings saw 5 goals scored by Vicente and 4 conceded, averaging 1.67 goals per game for the home side. While one match ended 1-1, the 4-2 thriller and the 0-1 result show volatility. But recent form tells a different story. GIL Vicente's last 10 games averaged 1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded. That's 3.30 total goals per game on average. AVS, meanwhile, has been struggling to find the net, averaging just 0.90 goals scored in their last 10, but they do concede freely away (1.83 per game). The Goal Expectancy model predicts 2.12 goals for the home side and 1.10 for the away side, totaling 3.22. This strongly points towards the Over 2.5 Goals market. The odds are sitting at 1.85, which implies a 54% chance. However, based on the 3.22 expectancy, the true probability is closer to 62%. That's a solid edge for us. Key Points: - GIL Vicente Home Goals: 2.40 per game. - AVS Away Conceded: 1.83 per game. - Goal Expectancy: 3.22 total goals. - Recent H2H: 4-2, 1-1, 0-1. - Over 2.5 Goals odds: 1.85. In summary, the numbers don't lie. With a 3.22 goal expectancy and Vicente's leaky defense meeting AVS's struggling attack, the Over 2.5 Goals market is the play. Life's too short for nil-nil, so let's chase the goals.

Read Full Preview →